Roger Williams
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 975 (#292) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1002 (#235) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +4.5 (#138) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.787 (#318) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.742 (#145) | NetEff +8.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.678 (#317) | AdjNet +6.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.717 (#308) | AdjNet +7.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.582 (#315) | AdjO 61.9 | AdjD 58.2 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Montclair St. | L | 57 - 72 |
| 2024-11-15 | vs | Babson | L | 57 - 72 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Salve Regina | W | 68 - 62 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Tufts | W | 57 - 54 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | UMass Dartmouth | L | 73 - 77 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Wentworth | W | 73 - 39 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Nichols | W | 83 - 58 |
| 2024-12-10 | vs | Curry | W | 60 - 52 |
| 2024-12-30 | vs | Wesleyan (CT) | W | 70 - 60 |
| 2024-12-31 | @ | Smith | L | 50 - 63 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Suffolk | W | 67 - 62 |
| 2025-01-07 | @ | Western New Eng. | L | 63 - 76 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | U New England | W | 70 - 63 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Endicott | W | 74 - 61 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Gordon | W | 86 - 54 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Hartford | L | 63 - 68 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Nichols | W | 88 - 49 |
| 2025-01-28 | @ | Wentworth | W | 57 - 27 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Suffolk | W | 71 - 59 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Western New Eng. | L | 69 - 71 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Curry | W | 85 - 47 |
| 2025-02-11 | vs | Hartford | W | 61 - 49 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Gordon | W | 87 - 54 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | Endicott | L | 49 - 62 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | U New England | W | 65 - 63 |
| 2025-02-25 | vs | Suffolk | W | 64 - 59 |
| 2025-02-27 | @ | Endicott | L | 0 - 47 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Coppola | - | 27 | 28.8 | 15.2 | 6.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 2.9 | 13.5 | 7.5 | -7 | -0.2 | -0.2 | 38.5 | 42.9 | 72.2 | -0.23 | 48.1 | 42.2 |
| Elizabeth Dufrane | - | 27 | 32.6 | 12.3 | 4.0 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 2.6 | 12.2 | 8.5 | 30 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 39.5 | 23.9 | 83.6 | 0.32 | 47.0 | 43.5 |
| Chloe Richardson | - | 27 | 27.7 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 8.4 | 5.3 | 27 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 40.8 | 36.4 | 89.6 | -0.12 | 54.0 | 49.6 |
| Lilli Clark | - | 27 | 25.6 | 8.7 | 7.0 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 7.0 | 9.9 | 17 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 48.4 | 0 | 63.4 | 0.63 | 52.2 | 48.4 |
| Meg Qualey | - | 27 | 26.2 | 6.0 | 4.7 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 4.7 | 7.7 | 62 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 48.8 | 0 | 55.7 | 0.25 | 51.6 | 48.8 |
| Ava Azzaro | - | 27 | 8.6 | 3.6 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 119 | 3.1 | 8.4 | 40.5 | 0.0 | 71.7 | 0.3 | 48.9 | 40.5 |
| Abrielle Racine | - | 27 | 10.0 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 4.0 | 1.5 | -4 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 29.9 | 8.3 | 60.0 | -0.33 | 33.0 | 30.8 |
| Sakoya Sweeney | - | 27 | 7.0 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 1.5 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 32.8 | 31.8 | 88.9 | -0.47 | 46.3 | 38.8 |
| Maia Riccio | - | 27 | 5.1 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 42 | 1.2 | 4.0 | 34.5 | 40.0 | 67.7 | 0.05 | 50.4 | 37.9 |
| Reese Codero | - | 26 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | -25 | -1.1 | -3.5 | 31.7 | 24.2 | 77.8 | -0.62 | 45.6 | 41.5 |
| Caroline Aaron | - | 26 | 12.4 | 1.5 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3.4 | 10 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 34.9 | 0 | 37.5 | 0.35 | 36.4 | 34.9 |
| Cara Murphy | - | 25 | 5.0 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.2 | -28 | -0.9 | -3.5 | 71.4 | 50.0 | 40.0 | -0.77 | 76.1 | 85.7 |
| Natalie Santiago | - | 26 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 42.9 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.24 | 68.4 | 42.9 |
| Julia Ball | - | 26 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.4 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.6 | 44.4 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.11 | 51.5 | 44.4 |
| Giana Pye | - | 26 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 18 | 1.2 | 11.6 | 12.5 | 33.3 | 75.0 | 0.09 | 30.7 | 18.8 |
| Hailey Bassett | - | 12 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG