Roger Williams
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1087 (#70) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1149 (#43) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.1 (#135) | HCA +2.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.683 (#351) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.784 (#136) | NetEff +12.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.349 (#426) | AdjNet -5.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.341 (#427) | AdjNet -5.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.422 (#413) | AdjO 79.1 | AdjD 82.5 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Clark (MA) | L | 82 - 84 |
| 2024-11-13 | vs | Coast Guard | W | 105 - 72 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Rivier | W | 103 - 89 |
| 2024-11-20 | @ | Framingham St. | W | 70 - 54 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Wheaton (MA) | W | 96 - 69 |
| 2024-12-01 | @ | Connecticut Col. | L | 68 - 81 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Wentworth | W | 81 - 69 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Nichols | L | 77 - 97 |
| 2024-12-10 | vs | Curry | W | 91 - 68 |
| 2025-01-02 | vs | Salve Regina | W | 73 - 57 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Suffolk | W | 83 - 59 |
| 2025-01-07 | @ | Western New Eng. | L | 70 - 90 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | U New England | W | 110 - 77 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Endicott | L | 72 - 86 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Gordon | W | 110 - 82 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Hartford | W | 77 - 63 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Nichols | W | 70 - 68 |
| 2025-01-28 | @ | Wentworth | W | 74 - 70 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Suffolk | L | 81 - 93 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Western New Eng. | L | 56 - 78 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Curry | W | 99 - 84 |
| 2025-02-11 | vs | Hartford | W | 101 - 53 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Gordon | W | 90 - 72 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | Endicott | L | 82 - 91 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | U New England | W | 115 - 65 |
| 2025-02-25 | vs | Nichols | W | 83 - 75 |
| 2025-02-27 | @ | Western New Eng. | L | 65 - 97 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keenan Robertson | - | 1 | 36.0 | 37.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 | -85 | -4.7 | -10.1 | 73.7 | 33.3 | 88.9 | 0.61 | 80.6 | 76.3 |
| Danny Yardemian | - | 1 | 37.0 | 23.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 31.0 | -75 | -4.4 | -8.9 | 75.0 | 0.0 | 71.4 | 0.57 | 76.3 | 75.0 |
| Mac Annus | - | 26 | 30.4 | 20.2 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 12.0 | 124 | 7.8 | 11.1 | 53.4 | 46.3 | 87.2 | 1.38 | 66.1 | 62.9 |
| Finn Miller | - | 26 | 25.4 | 11.0 | 6.3 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 8.8 | 11.7 | 99 | 4.5 | 9.7 | 50.4 | 30.0 | 51.1 | 1.21 | 53.3 | 52.4 |
| Ryan Higgins | - | 22 | 22.8 | 9.6 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 6.1 | 7.7 | 49 | 4.1 | 25.1 | 51.5 | 46.8 | 87.5 | 0.2 | 73.0 | 70.9 |
| Ty Higgins | - | 25 | 21.1 | 9.2 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.3 | 4.6 | 91 | 6.1 | 8.8 | 42.9 | 40.0 | 63.6 | 1.42 | 60.0 | 59.3 |
| Nate Lopes | - | 26 | 20.1 | 9.0 | 3.8 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 6.6 | 9.3 | 111 | 6.9 | 11.0 | 48.5 | 37.7 | 75.0 | 0.98 | 59.3 | 55.3 |
| Jake Gomez | - | 1 | 26.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | -54 | -3.2 | -6.4 | 57.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.21 | 53.8 | 57.1 |
| Philip Sughrue | - | 26 | 23.6 | 6.6 | 3.9 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 5.7 | 9.2 | 145 | 6.3 | 14.5 | 40.8 | 45.7 | 57.6 | 1.01 | 52.9 | 51.7 |
| Will MacDonald | - | 24 | 11.7 | 6.1 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 10 | 1.7 | 7.7 | 41.9 | 43.8 | 93.8 | 0.05 | 56.1 | 53.2 |
| Ashton Leclerc | - | 22 | 15.5 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 4.0 | 3.8 | 20 | 1.5 | 15.1 | 40.9 | 40.0 | 83.3 | -0.18 | 53.6 | 51.1 |
| Sean Gogolin | - | 26 | 8.5 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 3.3 | 3.8 | -8 | -1.1 | -11.5 | 40.0 | 26.8 | 65.7 | -0.2 | 50.8 | 46.5 |
| Ryan Hammarlund | - | 21 | 12.4 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 4.8 | 39 | 3.0 | 31.4 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 57.1 | -0.05 | 56.5 | 55.6 |
| Devin Dzikas | - | 1 | 18.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | -49 | -4.1 | -19.5 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.2 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Joey Dwyer | - | 24 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 55.0 | 0 | - | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Nate Mullen | - | 24 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 5.9 | 31.2 | 30.8 | 100.0 | -0.72 | 50.7 | 43.8 |
| Kyle Monahan | - | 23 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 55.6 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 61.1 | 61.1 |
| Asher Hercek | - | 22 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Nate Holmes | - | 21 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 21.0 | 33.3 |
| Jack McHale | - | 19 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Declan Davis | - | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -23 | -2.6 | -43.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.34 | 0 | 0 |
| Connor Strickland | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | -71 | -7.9 | -294.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.64 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG