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Roger Williams

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Roger Williams
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 941 (#478) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1005 (#377) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1005 (#415) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -7.6 (#225) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -6.2 (#461) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.683 (#351) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -5.4 More → 0.349 (#426) AdjNet -5.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.6 More → 0.341 (#427) AdjNet -5.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 79.1 | AdjD 82.5 More → 0.422 (#413) AdjO 79.1 | AdjD 82.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.7 | AdjD 75.4 More → 0.507 (#390) AdjO 75.7 | AdjD 75.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.411 (#474) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.428 (#462) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 103 | GP 21 More → 1022 (#328) RD 103 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 vs Clark (MA) L 67 - 74
2025-11-12 @ Coast Guard L 87 - 91
2025-11-15 vs Emmanuel (MA) L 80 - 90
2025-11-19 vs Curry W 89 - 88
2025-11-22 vs Framingham St. W 93 - 62
2025-11-24 @ Anna Maria W 95 - 81
2025-11-30 vs Connecticut Col. L 57 - 81
2025-12-02 @ JWU (Providence) W 99 - 70
2025-12-06 vs U New England W 87 - 81
2025-12-10 @ Fitchburg St. W 92 - 78
2025-12-13 vs UMass Boston L 71 - 96
2025-12-31 @ Salve Regina W 87 - 84
2026-01-03 vs Wentworth W 83 - 60
2026-01-06 @ Curry W 108 - 71
2026-01-10 vs Nichols L 75 - 80
2026-01-14 @ Suffolk L 64 - 82
2026-01-20 @ Hartford L 71 - 73
2026-01-24 vs Western New Eng. L 53 - 55
2026-01-28 @ Gordon W 87 - 77
2026-01-31 @ U New England W 84 - 79
2026-02-03 vs Endicott L 83 - 84

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Marcus Montagnino - 1 34.5 29.0 11.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 6.0 20.0 21.0 154 8.1 31.4 55.0 0.0 87.5 4.07 61.6 55.0
Javen Flowers-Smith - 1 36.5 28.0 7.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 6.0 17.0 20.0 4 0.2 2.5 52.9 0.0 100.0 0.6 65.4 52.9
Noah Beaudet - 1 31.2 25.0 6.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 21.0 -23 -1.3 -4.6 72.7 75.0 100.0 -1.2 101.5 100.0
Jake Bernardo - 1 31.6 23.0 12.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 15.0 27.0 -9 -0.6 -4.7 66.7 0 60.0 1.53 66.9 66.7
Kyle Winters - 1 36.1 23.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 17.0 12.0 73 3.8 18.3 52.9 42.9 100.0 1.22 64.3 61.8
Jalen Jackson - 1 35.0 21.0 12.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 17.0 13.0 -3 -0.8 -1.6 52.9 0.0 60.0 0.61 54.7 52.9
Olivier St. Louis - 1 32.1 20.0 19.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 10.0 31.0 - - - 70.0 66.7 80.0 - 82.0 80.0
Mahari Guerrier - 1 25.0 19.0 7.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 12.0 18.0 -31 -1.8 -7.4 50.0 0.0 63.6 1.72 56.4 50.0
Dylan Olson - 1 28.1 18.0 9.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 12.0 15.0 -45 -3.2 -19.6 50.0 50.0 100.0 1.17 69.9 66.7
Manny Hidalgo - 1 43.4 17.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 8.0 14.0 4.0 -27 -1.5 -6.0 50.0 0.0 75.0 1.18 53.9 50.0
Matt Boen - 1 30.3 17.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 8.0 15.0 79 4.2 21.7 75.0 50.0 50.0 -0.94 79.9 87.5
Dominic Mello - 1 39.7 16.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 17.0 8.0 -22 -1.0 -11.0 29.4 0.0 100.0 -1.39 40.7 29.4
Hansy Jacques - 1 26.4 16.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 14.0 -25 -1.7 -8.3 75.0 0 80.0 -0.58 78.4 75.0
Caden Sullivan - 1 34.4 16.0 4.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 15.0 77 4.3 20.3 54.5 66.7 0 -0.49 72.7 72.7
Finn Miller - 13 29.6 15.5 8.3 4.4 1.2 0.2 3.0 12.5 14.1 78 4.1 17.3 48.8 26.3 57.6 0.3 52.6 50.3
Nicolas Von Zboray - 1 18.0 15.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 8.0 30 2.5 19.8 50.0 50.0 0 4.59 75.0 75.0
Ryan Hammarlund - 12 27.8 14.0 4.3 2.5 2.1 0.2 1.7 10.0 11.5 45 2.5 14.1 55.0 32.6 72.4 1.29 63.3 61.3
Tommy Mallinson - 1 40.8 14.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 9.0 -51 -3.2 -13.1 22.2 33.3 90.0 -0.66 52.2 27.8
Ryan Higgins - 12 27.8 13.4 3.8 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.8 8.8 9.4 36 2.1 8.6 48.6 41.0 86.2 0.23 68.4 64.8
Ashton Leclerc - 12 23.9 13.2 3.2 1.3 0.3 0.2 1.2 8.1 9.1 31 1.9 9.5 55.7 52.7 88.0 0.64 73.6 70.6
Greg Keane - 1 24.0 12.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 8.0 14.0 -4 -0.3 -1.8 62.5 0 100.0 2.61 67.6 62.5
Danny Adams - 1 21.1 12.0 1.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 9.0 8 0.4 1.9 71.4 0.0 50.0 0.24 68.5 71.4
Jeremiah Predin - 1 22.3 12.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 4.0 14.0 -60 -3.5 -18.6 100.0 0 66.7 -0.96 90.4 100.0
Cam Keliher - 1 30.6 12.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 10.0 89 4.7 26.9 50.0 50.0 50.0 2.71 67.6 68.8
Russell Dolabany - 1 26.3 11.0 5.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 8.0 -65 -4.6 -29.0 30.0 16.7 100.0 1.02 46.8 35.0
Takoma Rosario - 1 29.0 11.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 7.0 3 0.2 2.3 57.1 0.0 100.0 0.45 66.1 57.1
Shawn Charles - 1 13.4 10.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 11.0 -20 -1.4 -16.9 100.0 0 100.0 -1.71 102.5 100.0
Elijah Kinney - 1 23.6 10.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 8.0 10.0 126 7.9 35.1 37.5 0.0 57.1 2.2 45.1 37.5
Kaosi Chijioke - 1 32.8 9.0 11.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 9.0 34 2.3 14.9 27.3 33.3 100.0 -1.05 37.9 31.8
Drew Stack - 1 24.1 9.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 11.0 0.0 65 3.4 28.4 27.3 11.1 100.0 2.48 37.9 31.8
Manny Duran - 1 33.6 8.0 8.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 9.0 28 2.2 20.3 33.3 0.0 100.0 0.21 40.5 33.3
Joshua Petion - 1 25.3 8.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 6.0 8.0 54 2.7 15.2 33.3 0 66.7 5.05 46.3 33.3
Ethan Minarik - 1 34.5 7.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 2.0 -19 -0.9 -20.5 33.3 20.0 0 -0.1 38.9 38.9
Grady Ceccucci - 1 31.0 7.0 6.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 13.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 100.0 - 71.7 62.5
River Eberhardt - 1 22.8 7.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 8.0 5 0.3 1.9 50.0 0.0 100.0 -2.02 54.3 50.0
Philip Sughrue - 13 22.7 6.2 3.5 3.3 1.5 0.4 1.0 5.2 8.7 75 3.9 23.4 38.2 36.1 84.2 0.99 53.0 47.8
Ty Higgins - 13 20.4 6.1 2.1 1.6 0.7 0.1 1.2 5.9 3.5 50 2.6 17.5 35.1 31.3 100.0 2.48 50.2 48.7
Colin Mannke - 1 24.8 6.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 4.0 -69 -5.3 -32.0 25.0 0.0 100.0 -0.79 33.8 25.0
Chase Mello - 1 20.3 6.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 1.0 -42 -3.2 -30.7 40.0 50.0 0 -1.55 60.0 60.0
Isaiah Andino - 1 14.8 6.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 -70 -4.1 -16.7 100.0 0 50.0 -0.54 79.8 100.0
Joey Dwyer - 11 12.8 5.7 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.5 4.5 3.3 37 2.2 19.3 46.9 40.0 71.4 0.09 60.5 59.2
Jayden Williams - 1 16.6 5.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 4.0 2.0 -100 -7.1 -75.4 50.0 0.0 25.0 -2.75 43.4 50.0
Kauny Teng - 1 14.9 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 3.0 -39 -4.9 -36.7 40.0 33.3 0 -1.68 50.0 50.0
Jack Assini - 1 21.2 5.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 -6 -0.5 -5.6 50.0 33.3 0 -2.03 62.5 62.5
Jaron Broomfield - 1 26.8 5.0 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 12.0 44 2.1 12.3 40.0 0.0 50.0 0.5 42.5 40.0
Leonard Pelzer - 1 8.4 5.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 6.0 -44 -2.2 -44.7 66.7 0 50.0 -2.17 64.4 66.7
Aiden Flaherty - 1 15.2 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -18 -1.5 -29.9 100.0 0 0 -0.42 100.0 100.0
Favour Okeke - 1 38.4 4.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 2.0 20 3.3 17.4 33.3 0.0 0 -0.04 33.3 33.3
Dayn Campbell - 1 17.4 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 -1.0 -6 -1.2 -17.7 50.0 0.0 0 0.51 50.0 50.0
Asher Hercek - 10 9.4 3.7 1.8 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.4 3.6 2.1 -24 -1.7 -19.6 27.8 20.0 68.4 -1.35 41.7 33.3
Donovan Holway - 1 19.1 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 -66 -5.1 -26.7 50.0 0 33.3 -1.05 45.2 50.0
Hunter Larson - 1 11.2 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 - - - 25.0 33.3 0 - 37.5 37.5
Mike Yentin - 1 10.1 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 -12 -1.1 -13.4 33.3 33.3 0 -1.48 50.0 50.0
Connor Hanavan - 1 6.3 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -52 -3.2 -23.4 100.0 100.0 0 -0.92 150.0 150.0
Duvall Price - 1 10.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 2 0.2 3.9 33.3 0.0 50.0 -0.11 38.7 33.3
Ben Miller - 1 6.3 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 -4 -0.2 -2.1 33.3 0.0 50.0 -2.56 38.7 33.3
Cassidy Bonsu - 1 7.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 25 1.6 21.4 0.0 0 50.0 0.52 36.2 0.0
Luke Chapman - 1 24.1 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 -2.0 1 0.0 0.6 20.0 0.0 0 0.2 20.0 20.0
Ryan Rangel - 1 10.4 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 -2.0 -41 -2.3 -13.4 25.0 0.0 0 -2.59 25.0 25.0
JD Heneke - 1 11.2 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -3.0 -9 -0.5 -3.2 33.3 0.0 0 -1.03 33.3 33.3
Jeremiah Simeon - 1 18.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 -6 -0.6 -8.1 0.0 0.0 100.0 -1.56 53.2 0.0
Tyriek Williams - 1 11.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 -13 -1.6 -11.0 20.0 0.0 0 -1.9 20.0 20.0
Nate Holmes - 7 5.4 1.7 1.4 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.7 1.1 -1 -0.1 -1.8 50.0 0.0 0 0.38 50.0 50.0
Kyle Monahan - 7 6.5 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.6 1.6 0.7 -13 -1.3 -56.8 36.4 20.0 0 1.07 40.9 40.9
Andy Weeman - 1 7.8 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 -46 -3.5 -36.2 0 0 50.0 1.2 56.8 0
Thomas Engel-Chatten - 1 5.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -30 -3.8 -21.4 0.0 0 50.0 -2.05 17.4 0.0
Jack McHale - 4 2.6 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.8 - - - 33.3 50.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Marcus Lozius - 1 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Davis Lunn - 1 11.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -4.0 -35 -2.5 -17.5 0.0 0.0 0 1.34 0.0 0.0
Sean Racette - 1 8.4 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 -42 -4.2 -127.9 0 0 0 -0.51 0 0
Harrison Stanwood - 1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -9 -0.6 -9.1 0 0 0 -0.81 0 0
Anthony Zingarella - 1 2.4 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 -14 -0.8 -16.2 0 0 0 0.5 0 0
James Meklis - 1 26.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 2 0.7 71.6 0.0 0.0 0 0.49 0.0 0.0
Aidan Oliveira - 1 19.2 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 -2.0 -55 -3.2 -16.5 0.0 0 0 -0.43 0.0 0.0
Damante Vanheyningen - 1 5.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -20 -3.3 -57.7 0.0 0.0 0 -0.98 0.0 0.0
Malik Gelinas - 1 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -2.0 -50 -6.2 -140.4 0.0 0.0 0 -2.17 0.0 0.0
James Scali - 1 5.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -20 -1.5 -12.0 0 0 0 1.26 0 0
Joey DaSilva - 1 4.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 48 3.7 79.9 0.0 0.0 0 0.55 0.0 0.0
Max Grenert - 1 5.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 6 0.4 9.3 0.0 0.0 0 -2.44 0.0 0.0
Jeff Hill - 1 17.4 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -1.0 35 1.9 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.34 0.0 0.0
Carter Koenig - 1 5.8 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4 0.4 8.4 0 0 0 1.22 0 0
Andrew Mitchell - 1 10.3 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 13 1.2 11.2 0.0 0.0 0 -2.47 0.0 0.0
Jason Romans - 1 3.2 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 22 1.7 52.2 0 0 0 0.34 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG