Rockford
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 763 (#475) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 734 (#472) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -16.5 (#330) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.210 (#579) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.175 (#333) | NetEff -11.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.055 (#593) | AdjNet -24.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.049 (#594) | AdjNet -25.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.195 (#590) | AdjO 52.7 | AdjD 68.3 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Beloit | W | 64 - 48 |
| 2024-11-11 | @ | Elmhurst | L | 64 - 68 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Grinnell | L | 67 - 72 |
| 2024-11-22 | @ | Lawrence | L | 58 - 79 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | MSOE | L | 56 - 66 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Wis. Lutheran | L | 55 - 74 |
| 2024-12-12 | vs | Judson (IL) | L | 55 - 59 |
| 2024-12-31 | vs | Luther | L | 64 - 89 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Cornell College | L | 41 - 53 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Alverno | W | 75 - 57 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | St. Norbert | L | 52 - 79 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Illinois Tech | W | 87 - 51 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | MSOE | L | 51 - 67 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Aurora | L | 60 - 70 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Lakeland | L | 48 - 70 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Edgewood | L | 48 - 90 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Wis. Lutheran | L | 40 - 70 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Concordia Wisconsin | L | 56 - 59 |
| 2025-02-10 | @ | Concordia Chicago | W | 65 - 53 |
| 2025-02-13 | vs | Dominican (IL) | W | 75 - 46 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Marian (WI) | L | 75 - 78 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Benedictine (IL) | L | 59 - 63 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Concordia Chicago | L | 47 - 48 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'asia Washington | - | 1 | 30.0 | 18.0 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 16.0 | 14.0 | 39 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 43.8 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.63 | 50.7 | 43.8 |
| Lexi Keating | - | 23 | 25.4 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 3.4 | 9.6 | 5.2 | 26 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 35.5 | 29.2 | 64.5 | 0.49 | 46.3 | 43.0 |
| Katie Paredes | - | 23 | 28.7 | 9.1 | 6.7 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 9.7 | 7.3 | -39 | -1.3 | -1.4 | 36.2 | 29.8 | 75.6 | -0.68 | 43.4 | 40.0 |
| Alyssa Havard | - | 23 | 25.0 | 8.0 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 9.9 | 1.5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 28.6 | 28.7 | 68.4 | 0.09 | 39.1 | 37.7 |
| Nia Wilkerson | - | 23 | 30.3 | 6.2 | 5.6 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 8.3 | 5.1 | -116 | -3.7 | -3.9 | 27.7 | 15.3 | 65.8 | -1.26 | 34.2 | 30.6 |
| Jocelyn Callahan | - | 23 | 26.1 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 5.6 | 3.7 | 12 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 32.6 | 30.2 | 63.6 | 0.31 | 45.8 | 43.8 |
| Kyla Wilkerson | - | 23 | 17.7 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 66 | 2.5 | 3.8 | 29.1 | 12.5 | 50.0 | 0.81 | 33.6 | 32.0 |
| Allie Wintemute | - | 23 | 7.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 13 | 0.8 | 3.4 | 26.3 | 40.0 | 83.3 | 0.16 | 38.1 | 34.2 |
| Clare Strong | - | 23 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 9 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 27.6 | 30.8 | 40.0 | 0.06 | 35.3 | 34.5 |
| Maureen Shelton | - | 20 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | -44 | -3.1 | -8.7 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.33 | 50.9 | 41.7 |
| Reem Aldi | - | 14 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | -90 | -8.2 | -22.8 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -0.99 | 69.4 | 75.0 |
| Da Sani Hannah | - | 13 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 66.7 | - | 26.2 | 0.0 |
| Natalie Posadas | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG