Rockford
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 995 (#271) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 949 (#321) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.6 (#250) | HCA +2.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.495 (#475) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.628 (#217) | NetEff +4.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.241 (#495) | AdjNet -10.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.233 (#496) | AdjNet -10.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.323 (#512) | AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 77.1 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Verhagen | - | 1 | 33.0 | 26.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 16.0 | 20.0 | -21 | -0.8 | -1.7 | 62.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.86 | 69.7 | 62.5 |
| Matt Merlo | - | 1 | 28.0 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 18.0 | -5 | -0.2 | -0.4 | 80.0 | 66.7 | 83.3 | 1.67 | 98.2 | 100.0 |
| Micah Swanson | - | 25 | 30.3 | 14.2 | 8.7 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 10.1 | 14.7 | -17 | -1.3 | -2.2 | 53.6 | 20.0 | 58.0 | 1.05 | 56.2 | 53.8 |
| Grady Thompson | - | 1 | 19.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 79 | 4.6 | 8.1 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 1.63 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Jaden Bell | - | 25 | 28.5 | 11.8 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 9.8 | 8.8 | -55 | -2.8 | -7.1 | 44.1 | 36.8 | 81.1 | 0.38 | 56.6 | 54.3 |
| Jack Fritz | - | 1 | 26.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | -29 | -2.4 | -5.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 1.14 | 105.0 | 100.0 |
| Logan Landers | - | 1 | 26.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 45 | 1.9 | 3.9 | 62.5 | 0 | 0.0 | 1.79 | 56.3 | 62.5 |
| Anthony Espensen | - | 21 | 18.0 | 9.4 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 7.6 | 5.9 | -21 | -4.2 | -6.6 | 45.6 | 37.8 | 71.9 | 0.48 | 56.6 | 54.4 |
| DeVon Oregon | - | 25 | 25.0 | 9.0 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 5.6 | 8.4 | -2 | -0.2 | -0.4 | 49.6 | 36.1 | 85.9 | 1.04 | 66.1 | 59.0 |
| Nick Kennedy | - | 1 | 22.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 25 | 1.2 | 6.4 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.44 | 56.2 | 56.2 |
| Tre Miller | - | 12 | 15.7 | 8.2 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 5.5 | 5.2 | -4 | -0.4 | -1.5 | 42.4 | 29.2 | 71.4 | 0.38 | 56.0 | 47.7 |
| Joey Coppola IV | - | 1 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 19 | 1.2 | 16.4 | 50.0 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.11 | 58.3 | 58.3 |
| Cooper Jackson | - | 25 | 11.7 | 6.6 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 4.8 | 4.1 | -8 | -1.1 | -4.1 | 52.1 | 50.0 | 75.0 | 0.06 | 57.7 | 52.5 |
| Noody Lacey | - | 23 | 20.6 | 6.2 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.2 | 4.7 | -13 | -1.9 | -4.5 | 43.7 | 28.8 | 63.3 | 0.18 | 53.7 | 51.7 |
| Severin Hilt | - | 1 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 28 | 1.6 | 4.9 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 0 | 1.1 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Zach Leahy | - | 1 | 23.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | -32 | -1.9 | -3.8 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.29 | 61.5 | 50.0 |
| Matthew Elliott | - | 26 | 15.3 | 5.7 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 5.9 | 2.7 | -15 | -2.5 | -5.6 | 32.5 | 20.5 | 68.9 | 0.51 | 42.6 | 38.0 |
| Garrett Baumhover | - | 1 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | -6 | -0.8 | -2.7 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.09 | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Mekhi Sutton | - | 1 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 25 | 1.8 | 4.9 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.58 | 51.2 | 50.0 |
| Seth Childers | - | 24 | 20.0 | 4.7 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 3.7 | 6.1 | -57 | -5.2 | -9.9 | 47.7 | 39.2 | 64.3 | 0.22 | 60.0 | 59.1 |
| Keegan Zimmerman | - | 1 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 31 | 2.1 | 5.2 | 28.6 | 0 | 0 | 0.77 | 28.6 | 28.6 |
| Daeshawn Jackson | - | 23 | 6.7 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 3.1 | 1.5 | -22 | -7.3 | -40.6 | 36.1 | 31.5 | 60.0 | -0.36 | 49.1 | 47.9 |
| Malik Marshall | - | 26 | 9.1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 2.6 | 2.8 | -16 | -2.3 | -7.8 | 40.3 | 30.8 | 69.0 | 0.13 | 48.9 | 43.3 |
| Jerrod Jessie Jr. | - | 1 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 16 | 3.2 | 35.7 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.37 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Preston Mast | - | 1 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 61.5 | 50.0 |
| Jacob Christjohn | - | 1 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | -16 | -1.5 | -34.2 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.27 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jonah Jurss | - | 1 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 41 | 3.4 | 8.6 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 1.1 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Eli Rogers | - | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Donovan Grunloh | - | 26 | 8.8 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 27 | 2.1 | 9.0 | 33.3 | 35.3 | 100.0 | 0.5 | 48.0 | 46.7 |
| Ryan Bella | - | 11 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | -10 | -2.0 | -233.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -1.26 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Joseph Richbourg | - | 17 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 2 | 0.5 | 39.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.19 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Kooper Staley | - | 15 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | -14 | -2.8 | -277.7 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.19 | 56.8 | 0 |
| Joshua Burkett | - | 7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1 | 1.0 | 19.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.19 | 0 | 0 |
| Da'Mon Dantzler | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jonathan Gray | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -135 | -7.1 | -15.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.32 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Grunloh | - | 23 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | -9 | -1.5 | -80.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.86 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Joshua Miller | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11 | 2.2 | 290.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.02 | 0 | 0 |
| Blake Ritsema | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Keegan Spees | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Isiah Stokes | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kelso Tennant | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Welcome | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Carter Ahnquist | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Cael Amos | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Zach Bauer | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Dylan Hibicke | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 63 | 2.6 | 14.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Jalen Dale | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Quincy Underwood | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jacob Williams | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 38 | 3.5 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.11 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaylin McCants | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 26 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.99 | 0 | 0 |
| Jalen Scott | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | 77 | 4.8 | 7.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Sunday John | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -38 | -2.9 | -5.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 |
| Wyatt Kocurek | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Myles Leavy | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6 | 3.0 | 46.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.81 | 0 | 0 |
| Daxter Lee | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ian Mindrup | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Luke Morton | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Senica | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -10 | -3.3 | -32.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.53 | 0 | 0 |
| Jax Effertz | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Will Bauer | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Javanni Blackman | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 0.4 | 26.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.85 | 0 | 0 |
| Adam Bruins | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1 | -0.2 | -1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.18 | 0 | 0 |
| Luke Eggemeyer | - | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 37 | 2.5 | 10.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.63 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jaden Guyton | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2 | -0.5 | -2.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.14 | 0 | 0 |
| Jermel Grigsby | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -3 | -3.0 | -135.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.48 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG