Rochester (NY)
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1067 (#111) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1140 (#65) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +14.2 (#55) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.586 (#415) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.591 (#205) | NetEff +2.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.916 (#199) | AdjNet +20.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.919 (#198) | AdjNet +20.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.759 (#198) | AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 59.0 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | FDU-Florham | W | 84 - 49 |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Whitman | L | 49 - 74 |
| 2024-11-15 | @ | SUNY Oneonta | W | 55 - 43 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Hartwick | W | 75 - 48 |
| 2024-11-21 | vs | St. John Fisher | L | 62 - 71 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Nazareth | L | 78 - 87 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | William Smith | W | 86 - 56 |
| 2024-12-03 | vs | Ithaca | W | 92 - 42 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Hamilton | L | 65 - 67 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Cortland | W | 91 - 81 |
| 2025-01-07 | vs | RIT | W | 70 - 46 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Emory | W | 74 - 51 |
| 2025-01-17 | @ | Brandeis | L | 41 - 58 |
| 2025-01-19 | @ | NYU | L | 68 - 101 |
| 2025-01-24 | vs | WashU | L | 76 - 86 |
| 2025-01-26 | vs | UChicago | W | 63 - 55 |
| 2025-01-31 | vs | CWRU | W | 72 - 60 |
| 2025-02-02 | vs | Carnegie Mellon | L | 55 - 72 |
| 2025-02-07 | @ | CWRU | L | 42 - 53 |
| 2025-02-09 | @ | Carnegie Mellon | L | 46 - 59 |
| 2025-02-14 | vs | Brandeis | W | 70 - 52 |
| 2025-02-16 | vs | NYU | L | 58 - 87 |
| 2025-02-21 | @ | WashU | L | 64 - 80 |
| 2025-02-23 | @ | UChicago | W | 54 - 53 |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | Emory | W | 61 - 56 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abby Gress | - | 25 | 29.6 | 17.2 | 7.4 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 15.6 | 12.1 | 22 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 41.9 | 29.9 | 77.5 | 0.3 | 50.4 | 47.1 |
| Molly Benetti | - | 1 | 30.0 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | -32 | -1.0 | -1.3 | 60.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0.5 | 68.9 | 65.0 |
| Katie MacLachlan | - | 1 | 24.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 19 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 54.5 | 25.0 | 0 | 1.01 | 59.1 | 59.1 |
| Erin Lillis | - | 25 | 28.0 | 12.2 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.3 | 5.6 | 27 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 42.4 | 29.7 | 78.0 | 0.46 | 51.9 | 46.7 |
| Tessa Schuey | - | 1 | 26.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 15.0 | -20 | -0.7 | -1.7 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | -0.11 | 112.7 | 125.0 |
| Leah Fusilli | - | 1 | 24.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | -28 | -1.1 | -1.8 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.0 | 64.4 | 66.7 |
| Payton Littlefield | - | 1 | 20.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 41 | 1.3 | 3.1 | 30.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0.45 | 46.0 | 45.0 |
| Sarina McDowell | - | 1 | 18.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | -44 | -1.3 | -1.7 | 66.7 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.14 | 69.9 | 66.7 |
| Tia Poulakidas | - | 25 | 20.1 | 7.0 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 6.4 | 5.0 | -14 | -0.5 | -0.7 | 39.6 | 37.0 | 69.1 | -0.12 | 47.5 | 42.8 |
| Madilann Johnson | - | 1 | 21.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | -22 | -0.8 | -1.6 | 20.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -0.02 | 42.5 | 30.0 |
| Madalyn Kelly | - | 1 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | -31 | -1.0 | -1.4 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.03 | 41.7 | 41.7 |
| Franki Gomez | - | 25 | 19.4 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 25 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 37.3 | 33.9 | 65.0 | 0.15 | 49.6 | 47.5 |
| Grace Corelli | - | 25 | 14.7 | 4.2 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 35 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 36.6 | 35.1 | 66.7 | 0.26 | 48.7 | 46.5 |
| Rylee Drahos | - | 19 | 15.5 | 4.1 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 3.7 | 5.6 | 16 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 41.4 | 30.4 | 92.9 | 0.03 | 51.2 | 46.4 |
| Annelise Dexter | - | 25 | 11.6 | 3.9 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 23 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 33.3 | 25.7 | 85.2 | 0.24 | 44.2 | 37.9 |
| Bridget Miller | - | 22 | 11.2 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 3.5 | 3.1 | 44 | 1.6 | 3.3 | 37.2 | 37.5 | 50.0 | 0.25 | 41.7 | 41.0 |
| Raquel Williams | - | 25 | 11.0 | 3.1 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 3.3 | 4.1 | 11 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 36.1 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.16 | 39.5 | 36.1 |
| Deniz Alparslan | - | 25 | 13.9 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 2.6 | 5.1 | 30 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 47.7 | 10.0 | 43.5 | 0.23 | 48.6 | 48.5 |
| Claire Groenewoud | - | 24 | 11.4 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 3.5 | 0.7 | 46 | 1.6 | 3.0 | 27.1 | 16.7 | 69.2 | 0.73 | 34.2 | 31.2 |
| Melis Alparslan | - | 25 | 4.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 0.4 | -14 | -0.6 | -2.2 | 26.8 | 10.0 | 0 | 0.02 | 28.0 | 28.0 |
| Jazzy Perez | - | 13 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 7 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 33.3 | 16.7 | 100.0 | -0.13 | 42.7 | 37.5 |
| Macy Bacon | - | 23 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0.6 | -14 | -0.8 | -7.0 | 30.0 | 20.0 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 34.2 | 35.0 |
| Alex Sullivan | - | 11 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | -67 | -2.8 | -2.7 | 16.7 | 25.0 | 25.0 | -0.59 | 25.8 | 25.0 |
| Peyton Jones | - | 25 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | -8 | -0.5 | -4.9 | 40.0 | 20.0 | 33.3 | -0.32 | 44.2 | 45.0 |
| Allison Dauer | - | 25 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 16.7 | 50.0 | - | 31.1 | 29.2 |
| Chianna Williams | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -7 | -0.3 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Morgan Caraballo | - | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -7 | -0.3 | -0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Brayden Schultz | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -12 | -0.5 | -2.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.28 | 0 | 0 |
| Kiara Anglin | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -73 | -2.4 | -2.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG