Robert Morris Colonials
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 998 (#159) | Preseason prior 997 (returning production + recruiting): last season 977, returning +22, transfers -2, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 987 (#167) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 988 (#166) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -2.7 (#186) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -2.6 (#185) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.613 (#129) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.475 (#165) | AdjNet -1.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.504 (#161) | AdjNet +0.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.405 (#213) | AdjO 55.4 | AdjD 62.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.407 (#212) | AdjO 55.4 | AdjD 62.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.470 (#174) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.470 (#174) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 992 (#160) | RD 178 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.476 (#167) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-05 | vs | UIC Flames | L | 58 - 71 |
| 2026-11-08 | vs | Delaware State Hornets | W | 69 - 53 |
| 2026-11-11 | vs | Eastern Michigan Eagles | W | 69 - 51 |
| 2026-11-16 | @ | Duquesne Dukes | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-20 | @ | Akron Zips | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Myriam Traore
|
G | 3 | 28.3 | 14.3 | 5.7 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3.3 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 29 | 3 | 9.7 | 13.5 | 48.5 | 45.5 | 100.0 | 1.63 | 60.3 | 56.1 |
Teigh Yeast
|
G | 3 | 33.0 | 11.7 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.3 | 8.0 | 43 | 3 | 14.3 | 17.4 | 42.9 | 25.0 | 75.0 | 1.8 | 52.6 | 46.4 |
Ava Leroux
|
C | 3 | 23.0 | 10.7 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 8.7 | 8.3 | 17 | 3 | 5.7 | 9.8 | 42.3 | 50.0 | 75.0 | -1.5 | 51.2 | 44.2 |
Meghan Murray
|
G | 3 | 25.7 | 10.0 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 4.7 | 27 | 3 | 9.0 | 14.2 | 42.9 | 36.4 | 100.0 | 0.24 | 61.2 | 52.4 |
Timberlynn Yeast
|
F | 3 | 22.7 | 7.3 | 6.3 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 4.3 | 12.3 | 13 | 3 | 4.3 | 7.7 | 61.5 | 0.0 | 60.0 | -0.34 | 63.2 | 61.5 |
Mackenzie Blackford
|
G | 3 | 23.7 | 5.0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 5.7 | 2.0 | 11 | 3 | 3.7 | 6.2 | 29.4 | 18.2 | 75.0 | -1.43 | 40.0 | 35.3 |
Page Greenburg
|
G | 3 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 4.3 | 2.3 | -11 | 3 | -3.7 | -8.2 | 30.8 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -3.17 | 44.6 | 42.3 |
Sira Diarra
|
C | 3 | 11.3 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 12 | 3 | 4.0 | 14.3 | 28.6 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.33 | 38.1 | 28.6 |
Maeva Fotsa
|
F | 3 | 5.3 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.7 | -0.3 | -8 | 3 | -2.7 | -18.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -4.61 | 8.5 | 0.0 |
London Creach
|
G | 2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | -6 | 2 | -3.0 | -58.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -2.09 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Mallory Daly
|
G | 3 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.7 | -22 | 3 | -7.3 | -37.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -4.88 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Eva Levingston
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Sanai Troutman
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
166 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Myriam TraoreTeigh YeastAva LerouxMeghan MurrayMackenzie BlackfordPage GreenburgMaeva Fotsa
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 24-45 | 53.3 | 48 | Teigh Yeast 25% (12 pts) | Timberlynn Yeast 25% (12 pts) | Ava Leroux 24% (5 misses) | Sira Diarra 24% (5 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 18-47 | 38.3 | 36 | Ava Leroux 28% (10 pts) | Myriam Traore 22% (8 pts) | Ava Leroux 28% (8 misses) | Myriam Traore 28% (8 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 1-4 | 25.0 | 2 | Meghan Murray 100% (2 pts) | - | Ava Leroux 33% (1 misses) | Mallory Daly 33% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 2-3 | 66.7 | 4 | Ava Leroux 50% (2 pts) | Myriam Traore 50% (2 pts) | Myriam Traore 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Mid-range right | 5-12 | 41.7 | 10 | Teigh Yeast 40% (4 pts) | Mackenzie Blackford 20% (2 pts) | Maeva Fotsa 29% (2 misses) | Teigh Yeast 29% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 3-7 | 42.9 | 9 | Myriam Traore 67% (6 pts) | Meghan Murray 33% (3 pts) | Meghan Murray 50% (2 misses) | Mackenzie Blackford 25% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 1-4 | 25.0 | 3 | Page Greenburg 100% (3 pts) | - | Page Greenburg 67% (2 misses) | Teigh Yeast 33% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 5-17 | 29.4 | 15 | Meghan Murray 60% (9 pts) | Mackenzie Blackford 20% (3 pts) | Mackenzie Blackford 25% (3 misses) | Myriam Traore 25% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 1-2 | 50.0 | 3 | Myriam Traore 100% (3 pts) | - | Meghan Murray 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Above-break 3 right | 7-25 | 28.0 | 21 | Page Greenburg 29% (6 pts) | Teigh Yeast 29% (6 pts) | Mackenzie Blackford 28% (5 misses) | Page Greenburg 22% (4 misses) |