🐻⬇️🏀

Roanoke

Also known as: Roanoke
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 933 (#359) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 979 (#259) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -2.2 (#206) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.608 (#399) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -4.8 More → 0.339 (#289) NetEff -4.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +2.8 More → 0.581 (#354) AdjNet +2.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +2.4 More → 0.572 (#358) AdjNet +2.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 64.0 More → 0.506 (#369) AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 64.0

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-11 @ N.C. Wesleyan L 65 - 81
2024-11-16 vs Wilkes W 82 - 36
2024-11-17 vs Gettysburg L 69 - 91
2024-11-22 @ Johns Hopkins L 41 - 93
2024-11-23 @ Dickinson L 46 - 56
2024-11-26 @ Hollins L 46 - 57
2024-12-03 @ Mary Washington W 58 - 42
2024-12-07 @ Randolph-Macon L 54 - 74
2024-12-14 vs Methodist W 52 - 46
2024-12-29 vs Maryville (TN) W 70 - 59
2024-12-30 vs Oglethorpe L 49 - 66
2025-01-04 vs Averett W 68 - 61
2025-01-08 vs Va. Wesleyan W 68 - 52
2025-01-11 @ Shenandoah L 47 - 77
2025-01-15 @ Bridgewater (VA) L 46 - 73
2025-01-18 vs Wash. & Lee L 50 - 77
2025-01-22 vs Guilford W 73 - 68
2025-01-25 @ East. Mennonite W 61 - 43
2025-01-29 @ Lynchburg W 73 - 61
2025-02-01 vs Randolph W 58 - 51
2025-02-05 vs Ferrum W 63 - 57
2025-02-08 @ Va. Wesleyan W 68 - 56
2025-02-12 vs Hollins W 69 - 47
2025-02-18 vs Bridgewater (VA) L 41 - 71
2025-02-22 @ Wash. & Lee L 65 - 79
2025-02-25 @ Shenandoah L 66 - 80

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Grace Soltes - 1 23.0 15.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 8.0 13.0 59 2.2 3.7 75.0 60.0 0 0.95 93.8 93.8
Paige Breuer - 26 30.6 13.0 3.2 1.7 1.0 0.2 2.7 11.4 4.9 57 1.7 1.8 37.7 33.6 90.1 -0.01 50.8 44.6
Emily Collins - 1 23.0 12.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 13.0 -51 -1.4 -4.5 66.7 0 0 -1.07 66.7 66.7
Layla Henderson - 1 25.0 11.0 11.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 9.0 14.0 47 1.3 2.5 44.4 33.3 50.0 0.69 51.1 50.0
Michaela O'Neil - 1 16.0 10.0 5.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 11.0 110 3.7 3.8 62.5 0 0 0.9 62.5 62.5
Beth Corelli - 1 23.0 9.0 5.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 7.0 7.0 20 0.7 1.6 42.9 60.0 0 0.19 64.3 64.3
Quinn ODonnell - 1 14.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 1.0 -1 -0.1 -0.5 37.5 28.6 0 -0.01 50.0 50.0
Elisabeth Peebles - 1 11.0 8.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 5.0 13 1.6 1.6 50.0 50.0 0 -0.02 66.7 66.7
Macie Feldman - 1 15.0 8.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 5.0 11.0 44 1.5 1.2 60.0 0 50.0 0.14 59.2 60.0
Ashley Fowler - 26 22.0 7.3 3.7 1.1 0.5 0.1 1.2 7.3 4.2 61 1.8 2.2 34.9 30.0 82.6 0.07 47.7 45.2
Mariah Cain - 26 26.7 7.0 7.7 2.8 1.9 0.9 3.3 5.5 11.5 113 3.5 4.1 44.1 27.3 57.4 0.92 49.6 45.1
Peyton Kirchner - 24 18.1 6.4 3.4 0.5 0.2 1.0 1.0 5.5 5.0 -42 -1.9 -3.0 37.1 38.9 70.0 -0.52 51.5 47.7
Jadyn Murray - 1 9.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 -1.0 5 0.2 0.3 28.6 0 100.0 -0.4 38.1 28.6
Nadia Snesarev - 26 30.3 5.2 2.5 1.9 1.2 0.1 1.1 5.2 4.6 44 1.3 1.4 32.8 30.5 68.8 0.41 47.9 46.3
Alicea Farmer - 26 16.5 5.2 4.0 1.3 1.5 0.4 2.3 5.0 5.0 -13 -0.4 -0.7 35.9 28.0 56.9 -0.29 42.8 38.5
Kiley Hylton - 19 11.7 4.2 3.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 1.8 4.7 1.0 - - - 40.0 10.0 70.0 - 42.4 40.6
Abigail Rice - 26 11.4 3.8 1.8 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.3 3.3 1.9 120 1.8 3.7 41.4 30.4 65.6 -0.37 49.5 45.4
Ingrid Moraes - 25 10.1 3.2 1.6 0.7 0.8 0.0 1.2 3.6 1.5 21 0.8 2.0 34.8 15.4 75.0 -0.17 40.4 36.0
Greta Miller - 1 15.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 102 3.4 3.4 33.3 0.0 100.0 1.05 43.6 33.3
Reese Fritz - 26 7.3 2.0 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.6 2.4 0.2 -20 -1.0 -3.3 28.6 24.4 75.0 -0.2 39.8 37.3
Katie Lam - 25 4.0 1.6 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 2.2 -0.2 -15 -0.8 -4.5 25.5 17.9 43.8 -0.17 32.2 30.0
Parker Childress - 17 4.5 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.0 5 0.6 1.8 35.0 26.7 0.0 0.12 43.1 45.0
Caroline Donaldson - 26 4.0 0.9 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 0.2 3 0.1 0.7 25.7 8.3 44.4 -0.1 29.5 27.1
Kayla Lee - 21 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 -11 -1.8 -7.2 33.3 0.0 50.0 -0.14 38.7 33.3
Gaby Lopresti - 2 7.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 2.0 -34 -1.5 -11.4 0.0 0 0 -0.26 0.0 0.0
Kadidiatou Diallo - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1 0.1 0.5 0 0 0 -0.07 0 0
Kendall Dunham - 1 10.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 53 1.8 1.7 0.0 0 0 0.11 0.0 0.0
Zoe Soule - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Lauren Knudson - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 66 2.5 5.2 0 0 0 0.91 0 0
Natalie Mann - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Amanda Parker - 1 12.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 -2 -0.2 -1.4 0 0 0 -0.07 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG