Roanoke
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 933 (#359) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 979 (#259) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -2.2 (#206) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.608 (#399) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.339 (#289) | NetEff -4.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.581 (#354) | AdjNet +2.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.572 (#358) | AdjNet +2.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.506 (#369) | AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 64.0 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-11 | @ | N.C. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Wilkes | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-17 | vs | Gettysburg | L | 69 - 91 |
| 2024-11-22 | @ | Johns Hopkins | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Dickinson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Hollins | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-03 | @ | Mary Washington | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Randolph-Macon | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Methodist | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-29 | vs | Maryville (TN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-30 | vs | Oglethorpe | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Averett | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Va. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Shenandoah | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Bridgewater (VA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Wash. & Lee | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Guilford | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | East. Mennonite | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Lynchburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Randolph | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Ferrum | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Va. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Hollins | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-18 | vs | Bridgewater (VA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Wash. & Lee | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-25 | @ | Shenandoah | - | Incomplete score |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Soltes | - | 1 | 23.0 | 15.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 59 | 2.2 | 3.7 | 75.0 | 60.0 | 0 | 0.95 | 93.8 | 93.8 |
| Paige Breuer | - | 25 | 30.3 | 12.8 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 11.2 | 4.9 | 57 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 37.4 | 33.3 | 89.9 | -0.01 | 50.7 | 44.3 |
| Emily Collins | - | 1 | 23.0 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | -51 | -1.4 | -4.5 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | -1.07 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Layla Henderson | - | 1 | 25.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 47 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 44.4 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0.69 | 51.1 | 50.0 |
| Michaela O'Neil | - | 1 | 16.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 110 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 62.5 | 0 | 0 | 0.9 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Beth Corelli | - | 1 | 23.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 20 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 42.9 | 60.0 | 0 | 0.19 | 64.3 | 64.3 |
| Quinn ODonnell | - | 1 | 14.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.5 | 37.5 | 28.6 | 0 | -0.01 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Elisabeth Peebles | - | 1 | 11.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 13 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.02 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Macie Feldman | - | 1 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 44 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 60.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.14 | 59.2 | 60.0 |
| Ashley Fowler | - | 25 | 21.8 | 7.0 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 7.3 | 3.9 | 61 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 34.1 | 28.2 | 81.0 | 0.07 | 46.0 | 43.7 |
| Mariah Cain | - | 25 | 26.3 | 6.9 | 7.4 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 3.3 | 5.5 | 11.2 | 113 | 3.5 | 4.1 | 44.5 | 27.3 | 58.0 | 0.92 | 49.8 | 45.6 |
| Peyton Kirchner | - | 23 | 17.6 | 6.2 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5.4 | 4.6 | -42 | -1.9 | -3.0 | 37.1 | 37.9 | 68.4 | -0.52 | 50.8 | 47.2 |
| Jadyn Murray | - | 1 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | -1.0 | 5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 28.6 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.4 | 38.1 | 28.6 |
| Nadia Snesarev | - | 25 | 30.0 | 5.4 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 5.2 | 4.8 | 44 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 34.1 | 31.9 | 68.8 | 0.41 | 49.6 | 48.1 |
| Alicea Farmer | - | 25 | 16.7 | 5.3 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 5.2 | 5.1 | -13 | -0.4 | -0.7 | 35.7 | 29.2 | 56.9 | -0.29 | 42.7 | 38.4 |
| Kiley Hylton | - | 19 | 11.7 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 4.7 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 10.0 | 70.0 | - | 42.4 | 40.6 |
| Abigail Rice | - | 25 | 11.4 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 120 | 1.8 | 3.7 | 41.9 | 30.4 | 60.9 | -0.37 | 48.4 | 45.9 |
| Ingrid Moraes | - | 24 | 10.4 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 21 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 35.2 | 15.4 | 75.0 | -0.17 | 40.8 | 36.4 |
| Greta Miller | - | 1 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 102 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 1.05 | 43.6 | 33.3 |
| Reese Fritz | - | 25 | 7.6 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.5 | 0.2 | -20 | -1.0 | -3.3 | 28.6 | 24.4 | 75.0 | -0.2 | 39.8 | 37.3 |
| Katie Lam | - | 24 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.3 | -0.2 | -15 | -0.8 | -4.5 | 25.5 | 17.9 | 43.8 | -0.17 | 32.2 | 30.0 |
| Parker Childress | - | 17 | 4.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 5 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 35.0 | 26.7 | 0.0 | 0.12 | 43.1 | 45.0 |
| Caroline Donaldson | - | 25 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 25.7 | 8.3 | 44.4 | -0.1 | 29.5 | 27.1 |
| Kayla Lee | - | 20 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | -11 | -1.8 | -7.2 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.14 | 38.7 | 33.3 |
| Gaby Lopresti | - | 2 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | -34 | -1.5 | -11.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.26 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kadidiatou Diallo | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.07 | 0 | 0 |
| Kendall Dunham | - | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 53 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Zoe Soule | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Lauren Knudson | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 66 | 2.5 | 5.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.91 | 0 | 0 |
| Natalie Mann | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Amanda Parker | - | 1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -2 | -0.2 | -1.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.07 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG