Roanoke
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1076 (#82) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1121 (#68) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +17.8 (#6) | HCA +2.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.910 (#236) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.806 (#127) | NetEff +13.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.926 (#162) | AdjNet +21.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.915 (#170) | AdjNet +20.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.786 (#185) | AdjO 80.5 | AdjD 66.1 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Eastern | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-10 | vs | SUNY Geneseo | W | 83 - 68 |
| 2024-11-15 | vs | Springfield | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Saint Vincent | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Wash. & Lee | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Randolph | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Hampden-Sydney | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-20 | @ | Montclair St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-21 | @ | Coast Guard | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-29 | vs | Bryn Athyn | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-30 | vs | Maryville (TN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Bridgewater (VA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Averett | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Va. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Lynchburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Shenandoah | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Ferrum | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Randolph-Macon | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | East. Mennonite | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Guilford | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Randolph | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-13 | @ | Wash. & Lee | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Hampden-Sydney | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-18 | vs | Ferrum | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Apprentice | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-26 | vs | Ferrum | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | Lynchburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-03-02 | vs | Guilford | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-03-07 | vs | Pfeiffer | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-03-08 | @ | Chris. Newport | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-03-14 | vs | Catholic | - | Incomplete score |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Gray | - | 1 | 41.0 | 34.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 26.0 | 11.0 | -86 | -7.2 | -13.4 | 42.3 | 42.9 | 100.0 | 0.68 | 59.4 | 53.8 |
| Jahn Hines | - | 1 | 36.0 | 32.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 19.0 | 27.0 | 70 | 3.2 | 4.8 | 42.1 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 2.07 | 57.6 | 42.1 |
| Joshua McClary | - | 25 | 27.6 | 17.2 | 4.3 | 4.8 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 13.5 | 12.8 | 149 | 9.9 | 14.0 | 46.3 | 38.5 | 68.8 | 1.48 | 55.8 | 52.5 |
| Jake Hart | - | 1 | 40.0 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | -43 | -3.1 | -4.6 | 66.7 | 75.0 | 66.7 | 0.71 | 86.8 | 91.7 |
| Marcus Morgan | - | 26 | 28.2 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 9.8 | 12.2 | 173 | 7.9 | 16.0 | 49.8 | 0.0 | 62.5 | 1.0 | 53.8 | 49.8 |
| Jackson Bell | - | 25 | 24.8 | 12.0 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 7.9 | 7.2 | 224 | 9.7 | 23.7 | 55.6 | 45.8 | 64.8 | 3.11 | 67.4 | 66.7 |
| Piercen Young | - | 1 | 32.0 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 15.0 | 3.0 | -97 | -8.8 | -12.6 | 33.3 | 20.0 | 50.0 | -0.2 | 37.8 | 36.7 |
| Jamarcus Brown | - | 1 | 25.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 15.0 | 3 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 80.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | -0.91 | 81.4 | 90.0 |
| Jonathan Foust | - | 1 | 35.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | -55 | -5.0 | -6.8 | 44.4 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 1.37 | 47.7 | 50.0 |
| John Henderson | - | 1 | 19.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | -19 | -1.9 | -5.3 | 80.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.4 | 90.0 | 90.0 |
| Gavin O'Malley | - | 26 | 19.2 | 8.4 | 4.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 4.9 | 8.7 | 163 | 6.8 | 18.0 | 63.8 | 0 | 65.9 | 2.45 | 66.3 | 63.8 |
| Ethan Ward | - | 1 | 30.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 91 | 3.0 | 7.6 | 100.0 | 0 | 60.0 | 1.66 | 83.3 | 100.0 |
| Joshua Morse | - | 26 | 21.0 | 6.6 | 5.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 4.3 | 8.5 | 49 | 4.9 | 10.0 | 51.3 | 22.2 | 79.4 | 1.12 | 60.2 | 52.2 |
| Tyson Henderson | - | 1 | 33.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 98 | 3.5 | 7.6 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 1.6 | 43.6 | 33.3 |
| Clayton Gaither | - | 25 | 15.7 | 5.6 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 22 | 2.4 | 12.4 | 54.2 | 44.7 | 63.6 | 0.1 | 65.8 | 65.1 |
| Patrick Clevenger | - | 26 | 21.8 | 5.2 | 4.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 4.5 | 6.0 | 127 | 5.8 | 14.5 | 38.8 | 31.2 | 67.7 | 1.21 | 52.5 | 49.6 |
| Porter Stanley | - | 26 | 8.7 | 3.7 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 48 | 2.7 | 48.2 | 46.8 | 37.5 | 55.0 | 0.0 | 55.4 | 54.5 |
| Ryan Truitt | - | 25 | 13.4 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 3.1 | 3.4 | 69 | 3.6 | 33.9 | 42.3 | 22.2 | 62.5 | 0.63 | 48.9 | 44.9 |
| Ryan MacKinnon | - | 1 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 57 | 6.3 | 42.9 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.16 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Milyan Smith-Walker | - | 1 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.0 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Grant Hamilton | - | 25 | 4.6 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 2 | 0.2 | 3.1 | 41.8 | 45.2 | 60.0 | -0.13 | 59.4 | 59.1 |
| Caleb Franze | - | 25 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 7 | 0.5 | 8.2 | 40.9 | 45.5 | 86.7 | -0.15 | 58.3 | 52.3 |
| Elijah Thomas | - | 1 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | -4 | -0.2 | -38.9 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.94 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Colin Fayed | - | 25 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.8 | -1 | -0.1 | -4.4 | 73.3 | 66.7 | 50.0 | -0.65 | 74.0 | 80.0 |
| Jack Adair | - | 25 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.1 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 0 | 75.0 | - | 62.8 | 57.1 |
| Tyler Barnes | - | 25 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Nik Edwards | - | 25 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | -14 | -0.8 | -2.3 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 1.26 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Andrew Maddalon | - | 25 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 38.7 | 33.3 |
| Myles Morgan | - | 23 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | -0.0 | 173 | 7.9 | 16.0 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.0 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Trey Williams | - | 25 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 30 | 1.4 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.94 | 56.8 | 0 |
| Jake Chisholm | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Zach Rosenthal | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Tyler Buggs | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.53 | 0 | 0 |
| Cole Callaway | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -32 | -2.7 | -12.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jayson Easton | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.23 | 0 | 0 |
| Dezmond Hopkins | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1 | -0.5 | -2.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.35 | 0 | 0 |
| Tobias Labaque | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1 | -0.3 | -4.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.61 | 0 | 0 |
| Mason Makovec | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -35 | -5.0 | -15.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.23 | 0 | 0 |
| Van Nellessen | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -34 | -3.8 | -15.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 |
| Shawn Valentine | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jason Ofcarcik | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 145 | 7.2 | 11.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.02 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG