🐻⬇️🏀

Roanoke

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Roanoke
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1076 (#82) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1121 (#68) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +17.8 (#6) HCA +2.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.910 (#236) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +13.3 More → 0.806 (#127) NetEff +13.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +21.9 More → 0.926 (#162) AdjNet +21.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +20.4 More → 0.915 (#170) AdjNet +20.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 80.5 | AdjD 66.1 More → 0.786 (#185) AdjO 80.5 | AdjD 66.1

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-09 @ Eastern L 71 - 73
2024-11-10 vs SUNY Geneseo W 83 - 68
2024-11-15 vs Springfield W 90 - 59
2024-11-16 vs Saint Vincent W 101 - 57
2024-11-20 vs Wash. & Lee W 98 - 64
2024-11-26 vs Randolph W 88 - 82
2024-12-04 @ Hampden-Sydney L 80 - 85
2024-12-20 @ Montclair St. W 93 - 73
2024-12-21 @ Coast Guard W 81 - 57
2024-12-29 vs Bryn Athyn W 103 - 65
2024-12-30 vs Maryville (TN) L 79 - 83
2025-01-04 @ Bridgewater (VA) W 70 - 48
2025-01-08 @ Averett W 75 - 55
2025-01-11 vs Va. Wesleyan W 77 - 67
2025-01-15 @ Lynchburg W 80 - 79
2025-01-18 vs Shenandoah W 70 - 52
2025-01-22 @ Ferrum W 98 - 66
2025-01-25 vs Randolph-Macon L 64 - 78
2025-01-29 @ East. Mennonite W 76 - 62
2025-02-05 vs Guilford W 78 - 53
2025-02-08 @ Randolph W 94 - 66
2025-02-13 @ Wash. & Lee W 84 - 57
2025-02-15 vs Hampden-Sydney W 81 - 72
2025-02-18 vs Ferrum W 75 - 73
2025-02-22 vs Apprentice W 92 - 64
2025-02-26 vs Ferrum W 89 - 75
2025-03-01 vs Lynchburg W 92 - 0
2025-03-02 vs Guilford L 74 - 79
2025-03-07 vs Pfeiffer W 71 - 70
2025-03-08 @ Chris. Newport W 77 - 75
2025-03-14 vs Catholic L 91 - 95

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Michael Gray - 1 41.0 34.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 26.0 11.0 -86 -7.2 -13.4 42.3 42.9 100.0 0.68 59.4 53.8
Jahn Hines - 1 36.0 32.0 11.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 19.0 27.0 70 3.2 4.8 42.1 0.0 80.0 2.07 57.6 42.1
Joshua McClary - 28 28.2 17.4 4.3 4.9 2.1 0.3 2.3 14.0 12.7 149 9.9 14.0 45.5 37.6 70.6 1.48 54.9 51.5
Jake Hart - 1 40.0 15.0 3.0 9.0 2.0 0.0 8.0 6.0 15.0 -43 -3.1 -4.6 66.7 75.0 66.7 0.71 86.8 91.7
Marcus Morgan - 29 28.6 13.2 6.3 3.3 1.6 0.2 1.9 9.7 13.1 173 7.9 16.0 51.1 9.1 61.8 1.0 55.0 51.2
Jackson Bell - 28 25.5 12.1 2.6 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.9 8.2 7.7 224 9.7 23.7 53.9 43.8 66.2 3.11 65.7 64.6
Piercen Young - 1 32.0 12.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 15.0 3.0 -97 -8.8 -12.6 33.3 20.0 50.0 -0.2 37.8 36.7
Jamarcus Brown - 1 25.0 11.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 5.0 15.0 3 0.2 0.6 80.0 100.0 50.0 -0.91 81.4 90.0
Jonathan Foust - 1 35.0 9.0 7.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 9.0 11.0 -55 -5.0 -6.8 44.4 25.0 0.0 1.37 47.7 50.0
John Henderson - 1 19.0 9.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 -19 -1.9 -5.3 80.0 50.0 0 0.4 90.0 90.0
Gavin O'Malley - 29 19.7 8.4 4.7 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.9 4.8 8.8 163 6.8 18.0 63.0 0 68.6 2.45 66.7 63.0
Joshua Morse - 29 21.4 7.4 5.2 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.8 4.6 8.9 49 4.9 10.0 53.4 20.0 83.5 1.12 63.1 54.1
Ethan Ward - 1 30.0 7.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 91 3.0 7.6 100.0 0 60.0 1.66 83.3 100.0
Tyson Henderson - 1 33.0 6.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 7.0 98 3.5 7.6 33.3 0.0 100.0 1.6 43.6 33.3
Clayton Gaither - 28 15.3 5.2 2.0 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.7 3.6 4.1 22 2.4 12.4 52.0 42.3 69.2 0.1 64.4 62.7
Patrick Clevenger - 29 21.1 5.0 4.8 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.7 4.5 5.6 127 5.8 14.5 36.6 29.3 68.8 1.21 50.0 46.9
Porter Stanley - 29 8.6 3.7 2.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.3 2.9 3.7 48 2.7 48.2 48.2 37.1 54.5 0.0 56.5 55.9
Ryan Truitt - 28 13.5 3.5 1.2 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.9 3.0 3.1 69 3.6 33.9 41.7 21.1 62.2 0.63 48.4 44.0
Ryan MacKinnon - 1 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 57 6.3 42.9 100.0 100.0 0 0.16 150.0 150.0
Milyan Smith-Walker - 1 8.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 0 0.0 0.0 50.0 100.0 0 -0.0 75.0 75.0
Grant Hamilton - 28 4.5 2.6 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 2.1 1.1 2 0.2 3.1 41.7 44.7 60.0 -0.13 59.5 59.2
Caleb Franze - 27 3.4 2.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.3 1.8 0.9 7 0.5 8.2 39.6 45.8 86.7 -0.15 56.8 51.0
Elijah Thomas - 1 14.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 -4 -0.2 -38.9 100.0 0 0 -0.94 100.0 100.0
Colin Fayed - 27 3.6 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 -1 -0.1 -4.4 68.8 66.7 50.0 -0.65 70.5 75.0
Jack Adair - 27 1.4 0.5 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 - - - 62.5 0 75.0 - 66.6 62.5
Tyler Barnes - 27 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 - - - 80.0 0 0 - 80.0 80.0
Andrew Maddalon - 27 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 - - - 50.0 100.0 25.0 - 52.1 62.5
Nik Edwards - 27 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 -14 -0.8 -2.3 50.0 100.0 0 1.26 75.0 75.0
Myles Morgan - 25 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 -0.0 173 7.9 16.0 33.3 0.0 0 1.0 33.3 33.3
Jake Chisholm - 9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Zach Rosenthal - 6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Trey Williams - 27 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 30 1.4 7.3 0 0 33.3 0.94 37.9 0
Tyler Buggs - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 -1 -0.1 -0.4 0 0 0 0.53 0 0
Cole Callaway - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -32 -2.7 -12.1 0.0 0.0 0 0.2 0.0 0.0
Jayson Easton - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4 2.0 1.9 0 0 0 0.23 0 0
Dezmond Hopkins - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1 -0.5 -2.2 0 0 0 -0.35 0 0
Tobias Labaque - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1 -0.3 -4.1 0 0 0 -0.61 0 0
Mason Makovec - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -35 -5.0 -15.1 0 0 0 0.23 0 0
Van Nellessen - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -34 -3.8 -15.7 0 0 0 0.04 0 0
Shawn Valentine - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jason Ofcarcik - 1 5.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 145 7.2 11.6 0 0 0 3.02 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG