Roanoke
Model Outputs
2023-2024
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1076 (#82) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1121 (#68) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +12.9 (#7) | HCA +2.5 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-10 | @ | Stockton | W | 85 - 74 |
| 2023-11-11 | @ | Widener | L | 74 - 85 |
| 2023-11-17 | vs | Brooklyn | W | 77 - 55 |
| 2023-11-18 | vs | Berry | W | 79 - 58 |
| 2023-11-29 | vs | Ferrum | L | 82 - 84 |
| 2023-12-02 | @ | Shenandoah | L | 71 - 79 |
| 2023-12-06 | vs | Guilford | L | 53 - 65 |
| 2023-12-10 | @ | Va. Wesleyan | L | 58 - 70 |
| 2023-12-19 | @ | Eastern | W | 79 - 71 |
| 2023-12-20 | @ | Catholic | L | 72 - 99 |
| 2023-12-29 | vs | Worcester St. | W | 87 - 73 |
| 2023-12-30 | vs | Ohio Wesleyan | W | 79 - 75 |
| 2024-01-03 | vs | Averett | W | 77 - 59 |
| 2024-01-06 | @ | Randolph-Macon | L | 57 - 85 |
| 2024-01-10 | @ | Lynchburg | W | 85 - 73 |
| 2024-01-13 | vs | Randolph | W | 79 - 53 |
| 2024-01-17 | vs | Wash. & Lee | W | 80 - 65 |
| 2024-01-19 | vs | Regent | W | 88 - 45 |
| 2024-01-24 | vs | Bridgewater (VA) | W | 75 - 55 |
| 2024-01-27 | @ | Hampden-Sydney | L | 48 - 74 |
| 2024-01-31 | @ | East. Mennonite | W | 70 - 41 |
| 2024-02-03 | vs | Lynchburg | W | 78 - 54 |
| 2024-02-10 | @ | Bridgewater (VA) | W | 73 - 72 |
| 2024-02-14 | @ | Guilford | L | 43 - 53 |
| 2024-02-17 | vs | East. Mennonite | W | 88 - 58 |
| 2024-02-22 | @ | Wash. & Lee | L | 70 - 80 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Kuthan | - | 26 | 30.4 | 14.4 | 8.1 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 9.2 | 14.2 | 5 | 2.5 | 5.8 | 64.4 | 33.3 | 59.6 | 0.29 | 66.4 | 66.1 |
| Zach Rosenthal | - | 25 | 28.4 | 12.8 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 10.0 | 5.9 | 48 | 4.0 | 56.6 | 35.3 | 39.0 | 89.0 | 0.17 | 55.2 | 47.8 |
| Joshua McClary | - | 26 | 27.3 | 12.3 | 4.0 | 4.6 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 2.5 | 10.7 | 10.0 | 70 | 14.0 | 81.1 | 42.2 | 38.1 | 69.7 | 0.35 | 51.4 | 48.0 |
| Joshua Morse | - | 26 | 28.0 | 11.0 | 5.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 7.0 | 10.6 | 50 | 10.0 | 57.5 | 50.5 | 36.8 | 83.5 | 0.26 | 61.7 | 52.5 |
| Marcus Morgan | - | 26 | 29.8 | 10.7 | 6.6 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 9.5 | 8.9 | 93 | 6.2 | 116.9 | 42.9 | 22.2 | 62.8 | 0.17 | 48.0 | 44.1 |
| Clayton Gaither | - | 24 | 16.2 | 4.7 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 4.1 | 2.3 | 24 | 6.0 | 70.9 | 40.4 | 36.6 | 70.8 | -0.24 | 51.1 | 48.0 |
| Trent Dawson | - | 17 | 13.1 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 11 | 5.5 | 51.6 | 32.6 | 20.0 | 47.6 | -0.45 | 38.0 | 34.8 |
| Gavin O'Malley | - | 26 | 5.8 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 61 | 4.1 | 677.8 | 44.4 | 0 | 66.7 | -0.9 | 54.0 | 44.4 |
| Patrick Clevenger | - | 23 | 5.2 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 22.7 | 22.6 | 80.0 | - | 33.5 | 30.7 |
| Max Rottmann | - | 26 | 7.7 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1.8 | - | - | - | 32.0 | 33.3 | 88.9 | - | 51.8 | 44.0 |
| Porter Stanley | - | 26 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 62 | 4.4 | 865.1 | 45.0 | 0.0 | 60.0 | -1.04 | 50.8 | 45.0 |
| Colin Fayed | - | 26 | 5.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 39.1 | 44.4 | 0 | - | 47.8 | 47.8 |
| Jack Brestel | - | 26 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 40.0 | 50.0 | - | 50.4 | 50.0 |
| Jackson Bell | - | 26 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 35 | 2.9 | 162.8 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.05 | 44.4 | 20.0 |
| Andrew Maddalon | - | 24 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 25.0 | 0 | - | 35.7 | 35.7 |
| Jack Adair | - | 26 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | - | 7.4 | 0.0 |
| Jake Chisholm | - | 15 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Myles Morgan | - | 25 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 93 | 6.2 | 116.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG