Rivier
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 822 (#463) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 807 (#447) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -7.3 (#265) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.425 (#482) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.350 (#283) | NetEff -4.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.172 (#502) | AdjNet -13.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.159 (#505) | AdjNet -14.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.307 (#498) | AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 70.7 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Westfield St. | L | 75 - 91 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | WPI | L | 71 - 74 |
| 2024-11-19 | @ | Brandeis | L | 56 - 69 |
| 2024-11-21 | @ | Trinity (CT) | L | 82 - 91 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Suffolk | L | 73 - 77 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Plymouth St. | W | 55 - 40 |
| 2024-12-03 | vs | Framingham St. | W | 64 - 49 |
| 2024-12-06 | vs | Salve Regina | W | 79 - 57 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Utica | W | 70 - 63 |
| 2025-01-02 | @ | WPI | L | 58 - 69 |
| 2025-01-03 | @ | Babson | L | 66 - 84 |
| 2025-01-07 | vs | Elms | W | 80 - 55 |
| 2025-01-09 | @ | Emmanuel (MA) | W | 60 - 56 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | New England Col. | W | 73 - 51 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Norwich | W | 64 - 45 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Saint Joseph (CT) | L | 60 - 72 |
| 2025-01-21 | @ | Anna Maria | W | 79 - 68 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Albertus Magnus | L | 64 - 76 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Lasell | W | 83 - 64 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | JWU (Providence) | L | 61 - 66 |
| 2025-02-04 | @ | St. Joseph's (ME) | W | 56 - 55 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Regis (MA) | W | 85 - 48 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Colby-Sawyer | W | 84 - 61 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Dean | W | 95 - 62 |
| 2025-02-18 | @ | Mitchell | W | 87 - 57 |
| 2025-02-25 | @ | Saint Joseph (CT) | L | 84 - 93 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyric Grumblatt | - | 26 | 33.9 | 26.3 | 8.8 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 20.8 | 16.7 | 46 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 42.6 | 32.5 | 87.1 | 0.42 | 54.6 | 47.6 |
| Hannah Muchemore | - | 26 | 34.5 | 13.0 | 3.7 | 4.7 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 8.3 | 36 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 33.5 | 29.2 | 76.2 | 0.38 | 47.4 | 41.9 |
| Alexa Dufries | - | 26 | 22.8 | 9.2 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 9.9 | 2.9 | -5 | -0.2 | -0.3 | 35.8 | 31.5 | 78.6 | 0.14 | 45.6 | 44.6 |
| Gianna Donato | - | 17 | 22.5 | 9.2 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 3.0 | 8.8 | 4.4 | 21 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 39.3 | 23.7 | 65.8 | -0.06 | 47.1 | 44.0 |
| Sydney Perry | - | 26 | 21.7 | 6.9 | 7.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 5.3 | 8.9 | 27 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 51.8 | 0.0 | 74.5 | -0.03 | 56.4 | 51.8 |
| Rachel Guinn | - | 23 | 15.3 | 5.0 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 5.2 | 4.2 | -32 | -1.5 | -2.6 | 37.0 | 31.3 | 55.6 | -0.52 | 46.4 | 45.8 |
| Alyssa Scharn | - | 26 | 21.8 | 2.7 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 3.3 | 3.8 | 12 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 29.1 | 14.3 | 53.8 | 0.06 | 35.4 | 32.0 |
| Emily Coleman | - | 22 | 6.7 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 1.8 | -30 | -1.2 | -3.0 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.43 | 41.7 | 41.7 |
| Jessica Carrier | - | 17 | 20.5 | 0.9 | 3.6 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 5.9 | 49 | 3.1 | 4.0 | 27.3 | 20.0 | 75.0 | 0.22 | 33.7 | 29.5 |
| Hannah Smith | - | 22 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.9 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 62.5 | 0.22 | 54.2 | 50.0 |
| Anna Stawasz | - | 21 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 27.3 | 25.0 | - | 33.8 | 34.4 |
| Taylor Rioux | - | 22 | 7.9 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | -12 | -0.7 | -2.7 | 11.1 | 0.0 | 62.5 | -0.13 | 28.0 | 11.1 |
| Lily Papatola | - | 15 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 0 | 0 | - | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Ava Kreie | - | 15 | 5.9 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.02 | 8.5 | 0.0 |
| Mia Fantauzzi | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Maya Puma | - | 6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jocelyn Eosue | - | 16 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Natalie Lyons | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG