🐻⬇️🏀

Rivier

Also known as: Rivier
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1015 (#235) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1032 (#220) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -7.5 (#234) HCA +2.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.407 (#525) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +4.5 More → 0.622 (#221) NetEff +4.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.9 More → 0.185 (#556) AdjNet -12.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -13.1 More → 0.179 (#556) AdjNet -13.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 79.2 More → 0.290 (#558) AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 79.2

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-04 @ UMass Lowell L 59 - 115
2024-11-09 vs MCLA W 88 - 65
2024-11-12 vs Hartford W 72 - 61
2024-11-14 @ Fitchburg St. W 82 - 65
2024-11-16 @ Roger Williams L 89 - 103
2024-11-21 @ Lesley W 91 - 87
2024-11-23 vs Brooklyn W 90 - 63
2024-11-26 @ Plymouth St. W 100 - 88
2024-12-03 @ Fisher L 81 - 85
2024-12-05 @ Salem St. L 74 - 86
2024-12-07 vs Framingham St. W 84 - 54
2025-01-02 @ Brandeis L 65 - 84
2025-01-04 @ Emmanuel (MA) W 87 - 81
2025-01-07 vs Elms W 85 - 67
2025-01-11 vs New England Col. W 94 - 68
2025-01-15 vs Norwich L 63 - 77
2025-01-18 @ Saint Joseph (CT) L 70 - 81
2025-01-21 @ Anna Maria L 70 - 72
2025-01-25 vs Albertus Magnus L 75 - 78
2025-01-29 @ Lasell L 81 - 92
2025-02-01 @ JWU (Providence) L 49 - 59
2025-02-04 @ St. Joseph's (ME) L 64 - 91
2025-02-08 vs Regis (MA) W 88 - 71
2025-02-12 vs Colby-Sawyer W 74 - 66
2025-02-15 vs Dean W 72 - 66
2025-02-18 @ Mitchell W 91 - 66
2025-02-25 @ Saint Joseph (CT) L 63 - 83

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kyler Bosse - 20 31.0 18.2 4.8 0.8 0.5 0.2 1.2 14.4 8.8 56 4.7 10.0 49.5 37.5 67.7 1.61 57.5 55.7
Matt Constant - 23 31.7 17.6 4.1 2.7 1.3 0.7 2.2 12.6 11.7 -10 -1.0 -1.7 43.8 39.7 86.8 -0.05 62.6 58.4
Joey Merrill - 27 34.8 12.1 8.1 3.9 1.7 0.6 1.9 11.7 12.7 25 1.8 3.3 36.8 28.3 55.0 0.8 46.7 44.9
Odarius Cade - 23 25.2 10.8 3.0 2.6 1.6 0.0 1.4 10.0 6.5 27 2.5 5.1 44.6 28.9 85.7 1.06 51.6 49.8
Robenson Baguidy - 19 35.1 8.9 3.9 4.4 1.4 0.2 2.2 6.9 9.7 58 4.8 8.6 44.3 35.8 61.2 1.59 55.7 53.4
Ra'Quan Groves - 22 22.2 6.1 4.2 1.5 0.9 0.1 1.0 5.0 6.7 31 3.1 13.3 48.6 21.2 73.1 0.45 54.7 51.8
Cheikh Gueye - 22 11.4 3.3 3.3 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.6 2.2 4.8 11 1.4 9.6 63.3 100.0 50.0 -0.01 63.1 64.3
Matt Youngquist - 25 8.6 3.0 1.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.4 2.5 2.2 -17 -1.3 -8.4 47.6 20.0 77.8 0.07 53.6 49.2
Steph Barnes - 22 9.3 2.8 0.6 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.8 2.4 1.4 21 1.9 20.2 40.4 36.4 60.0 -0.0 51.0 48.1
Terrance McCormack - 21 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 8 1.6 37.1 40.0 50.0 0 -0.63 60.0 60.0
Indy Dosanjh - 20 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 -4 -0.8 -436.4 100.0 100.0 50.0 -1.47 106.4 150.0
Woodson Jean-Baptiste - 23 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 -5 -2.5 -28.8 100.0 0 50.0 -0.74 86.8 100.0
Donald Clark IV - 20 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 - - - 25.0 0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Chris Kozlosky - 17 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Joseph Melvin - 21 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Adam Razzaboni - 18 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 -2 -2.0 -32.4 0 0 0 -1.13 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG