🐻⬇️🏀

Rivier

Also known as: Rivier
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 896 (#533) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 946 (#439) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 937 (#622) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -10.6 (#349) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -15.4 (#618) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.407 (#525) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.9 More → 0.185 (#556) AdjNet -12.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -13.1 More → 0.179 (#556) AdjNet -13.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 79.2 More → 0.290 (#558) AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 79.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 74.0 More → 0.331 (#642) AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 74.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.258 (#621) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.268 (#619) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 106 | GP 22 More → 930 (#444) RD 106 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ UMass Lowell - Incomplete score
2025-11-07 vs Fitchburg St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-10 @ JWU (Providence) - Incomplete score
2025-11-12 @ Nichols - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 vs Colby - Incomplete score
2025-11-18 @ U New England - Incomplete score
2025-11-20 @ Salve Regina - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 @ Hartford - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 vs Plymouth St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-04 vs Salem St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 vs Bridgewater St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-08 @ Mitchell - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 vs Anna Maria - Incomplete score
2026-01-06 @ Emmanuel (MA) - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 @ Dean - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 vs Mitchell - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs Lasell - Incomplete score
2026-01-20 vs Norwich - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 @ Regis (MA) - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 @ Colby-Sawyer - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs Saint Joseph (CT) - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Albertus Magnus - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Dante Kikuba - 1 36.9 25.0 5.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 8.0 15.0 13.0 -94 -5.9 -37.7 46.7 62.5 85.7 -2.61 69.1 63.3
Kyle Winters - 1 39.1 24.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 19.0 11.0 73 3.8 18.3 57.9 33.3 0.0 -0.1 60.4 63.2
Jalen Jackson - 1 35.0 21.0 9.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 14.0 17.0 -3 -0.8 -1.6 57.1 0.0 83.3 0.08 63.1 57.1
Abdul Mansaray - 2 37.0 20.5 8.0 3.0 1.5 2.0 4.0 16.0 15.0 -43 -2.4 -18.2 59.4 0 42.9 -1.05 58.4 59.4
Ali Barry - 1 34.8 20.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 13.0 15.0 3 0.3 5.2 53.8 50.0 60.0 -1.26 65.8 65.4
Joshua Jean Charles - 1 21.9 20.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 17.0 23 3.3 53.7 80.0 0 80.0 -0.3 82.0 80.0
Torran Bosworth - 1 33.8 19.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 16.0 -38 -2.0 -12.3 55.6 40.0 100.0 1.25 78.6 66.7
Indy Dosanjh - 13 34.4 18.2 7.2 1.2 0.5 0.8 2.4 13.8 11.5 - - - 55.3 29.4 71.7 1.97 59.2 56.7
Noah Beaudet - 1 30.1 18.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 20.0 2.0 -23 -1.3 -4.6 35.0 44.4 0 1.53 45.0 45.0
Troy Butler - 2 32.2 18.0 1.0 1.0 2.5 0.5 0.5 19.5 3.0 49 2.9 18.8 38.5 22.2 66.7 4.25 43.2 41.0
Robenson Baguidy - 11 38.8 17.9 4.2 6.1 2.5 0.2 2.5 15.6 12.7 -16 -1.1 -17.6 41.9 18.2 64.2 0.79 48.9 44.8
Ben Miller - 1 20.1 16.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 11.0 -4 -0.2 -2.1 62.5 75.0 100.0 -0.98 85.8 81.2
Omri Merryman - 1 32.3 16.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 14.0 10.0 11 0.7 3.2 35.7 28.6 80.0 -3.53 49.4 42.9
Zach Taylor - 1 34.9 16.0 9.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 17.0 8.0 -58 -3.9 -22.8 47.1 0.0 0.0 1.11 44.7 47.1
Samuel Omisore - 1 23.9 15.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 12.0 11.0 - - - 58.3 0.0 50.0 0.63 58.2 58.3
Yansel Reyes - 1 36.0 14.0 6.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 16.0 4.0 13 0.8 3.9 25.0 25.0 66.7 1.5 37.6 31.2
Sam Sweeney - 1 33.3 14.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.0 5.0 -13 -0.8 -4.2 30.8 44.4 66.7 1.68 48.9 46.2
Mahari Guerrier - 1 30.6 13.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 15.0 5.0 -31 -1.8 -7.4 33.3 33.3 50.0 0.61 40.9 40.0
Cameron Snowden - 1 26.3 13.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 8.0 -43 -3.1 -14.0 55.6 0.0 75.0 -3.35 60.4 55.6
Jamel Walker - 1 28.9 13.0 6.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 9.0 10.0 28 2.0 7.6 66.7 0.0 100.0 0.38 68.9 66.7
Xavier Smaltz - 1 27.0 13.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 9.0 7.0 -3 -0.3 -2.8 33.3 33.3 75.0 -1.19 51.9 38.9
Jaron Broomfield - 1 32.4 12.0 11.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 18.0 44 2.1 12.3 50.0 25.0 100.0 0.21 64.4 56.2
Danny Adams - 1 24.0 11.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 11.0 8 0.4 1.9 71.4 0.0 25.0 1.64 62.8 71.4
Will Mollica - 1 31.8 10.0 7.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 16.0 -58 -3.2 -20.6 80.0 0.0 100.0 -3.75 85.0 80.0
Matt Youngquist - 13 25.1 9.6 4.4 0.9 0.5 0.5 1.3 8.3 6.3 8 0.4 3.6 43.5 36.1 64.3 -1.39 54.7 53.7
Jaxyn Beaudet - 2 23.3 9.5 7.0 1.0 0.5 2.5 0.5 5.5 14.5 17 0.9 16.6 72.7 50.0 66.7 -0.31 77.1 77.3
Ryan Rangel - 1 21.2 9.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 5.0 -41 -2.3 -13.4 44.4 25.0 0 -1.84 50.0 50.0
Takoma Rosario - 1 24.7 9.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 10.0 3 0.2 2.3 50.0 0 100.0 -1.22 72.6 50.0
Kent Olewiler - 1 22.8 8.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 9.0 4.0 24 2.7 64.6 33.3 40.0 0 1.78 44.4 44.4
Keegan Martinez - 1 22.4 8.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 6.0 -52 -2.9 -27.5 50.0 100.0 0.0 -2.5 54.6 66.7
Raheim Orleans - 1 23.5 8.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 8.0 20 1.3 4.6 50.0 0 100.0 0.95 58.1 50.0
Louis Jennings - 1 23.9 8.0 9.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 10.0 -21 -1.4 -9.7 28.6 0.0 100.0 1.27 45.7 28.6
Steph Barnes - 11 33.5 7.9 2.5 2.9 0.9 0.1 1.9 7.5 4.9 30 1.6 11.8 40.2 32.4 58.8 1.17 48.6 47.0
Braedon White - 1 20.1 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 4.0 -15 -3.8 -18.5 75.0 0 50.0 -1.96 71.7 75.0
Terrance McCormack - 13 27.7 6.7 7.1 0.3 0.8 0.2 0.7 3.8 10.5 - - - 68.0 50.0 75.0 0.24 71.8 69.0
Adrian Alicea - 2 14.0 6.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 2.5 -58 -3.9 -152.5 50.0 50.0 50.0 -2.46 67.6 68.8
Leonard Pelzer - 1 13.9 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 -44 -2.2 -44.7 75.0 0 0.0 -3.4 67.6 75.0
Asante' Aurora - 1 21.6 6.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 5.0 -44 -2.4 -26.2 50.0 0.0 100.0 -0.36 61.5 50.0
Brady Hulland - 1 29.3 6.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 9.0 4.0 -30 -1.7 -12.8 33.3 0.0 0 0.67 33.3 33.3
Damani Williams - 1 15.7 6.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 4.0 31 3.4 92.7 40.0 50.0 0 0.89 60.0 60.0
Lukas Sward - 2 15.3 5.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.5 -85 -4.7 -43.7 75.0 0 100.0 -2.14 86.8 75.0
Aidan Rock - 1 12.3 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 -66 -4.7 -35.6 100.0 0 100.0 -1.3 107.8 100.0
Nicolas Von Zboray - 1 15.2 5.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 5.0 30 2.5 19.8 66.7 50.0 0 3.98 83.3 83.3
Aidan Oliveira - 1 36.4 4.0 5.0 8.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 11.0 -55 -3.2 -16.5 25.0 0.0 0 -2.54 25.0 25.0
Collin Jefferson - 2 17.3 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 1.5 -20 -1.0 -9.2 60.0 66.7 0 -0.34 80.0 80.0
Zaveyn Tate - 2 13.1 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.5 4.0 0 0.0 0.0 80.0 0 0 -0.74 80.0 80.0
Joshua Petion - 1 26.6 4.0 6.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 6.0 3.0 6.0 54 2.7 15.2 66.7 0 0.0 2.59 58.1 66.7
Michael Makiej - 1 10.5 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 1.0 21 1.4 10.8 40.0 0.0 0.0 -1.61 36.8 40.0
Brandon Lee - 1 32.3 4.0 15.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 12.0 -31 -1.8 -8.6 14.3 0 40.0 0.33 21.7 14.3
Jalen Fleming - 1 9.3 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 50.0 0.35 38.7 33.3
Drew Stack - 1 29.3 3.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 -3.0 65 3.4 28.4 12.5 0.0 50.0 1.37 16.9 12.5
Manny Duran - 1 14.6 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 28 2.2 20.3 50.0 0.0 0 2.61 50.0 50.0
David Stallworth - 1 11.2 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -1.0 8 0.6 5.0 50.0 0 0 0.84 50.0 50.0
Bory Bory - 1 13.1 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -36 -5.1 -82.6 50.0 0 0 -3.1 50.0 50.0
Juan Diaz Beltres - 1 11.1 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 6 0.8 26.0 25.0 0.0 0.0 0.65 22.5 25.0
Wil Martinez - 1 25.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 5.0 51 3.4 19.8 33.3 0.0 0 1.44 33.3 33.3
Thomas Engel-Chatten - 1 8.8 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 -30 -3.8 -21.4 33.3 0.0 0 0.67 33.3 33.3
Duvall Price - 1 10.3 2.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 2 0.2 3.9 25.0 0.0 0 -1.6 25.0 25.0
Tommy Daly - 2 23.2 1.0 3.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 3.5 0.5 -48 -3.4 -59.4 14.3 0.0 0 -2.83 14.3 14.3
Tyriek Williams - 1 9.6 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -1.0 -13 -1.6 -11.0 0.0 0 50.0 -4.29 26.6 0.0
Donald Clark IV - 6 1.6 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 -0.2 2 0.1 1.9 25.0 33.3 0 -0.51 37.5 37.5
Joseph Melvin - 8 3.2 0.2 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.1 -9 -1.0 -36.9 0.0 0 50.0 - 26.6 0.0
Jack Assini - 1 2.8 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -6 -0.5 -5.6 0 0 0 0.99 0 0
Connor Hanavan - 1 4.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -52 -3.2 -23.4 0 0 0 -2.45 0 0
Jacob Williams - 1 9.7 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -2 -0.2 -3.7 0 0 0 0.27 0 0
Max Waters - 1 4.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Luke Pavia - 1 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -52 -4.7 -201.0 0 0 0 -7.84 0 0
Cooper Galdenzi - 1 6.6 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 4 0.3 8.9 0.0 0 0 0.27 0.0 0.0
Evan Berkeley - 1 2.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -37 -2.1 -15.0 0.0 0.0 0 -1.1 0.0 0.0
Dez Krakowka - 1 5.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 6 1.2 32.4 0 0 0 - 0 0
Andrew Perry - 1 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -30 -2.3 -50.8 0 0 0.0 -3.16 0.0 0
Anthony D'Itria - 1 3.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 21 2.6 26.9 0 0 0 1.26 0 0
Steven Jean-Louis - 1 3.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -2.0 -3 -1.0 -9.6 0.0 0.0 0 -0.79 0.0 0.0
Nelson Obarisiagbon - 1 10.7 0.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 46 3.5 36.1 0.0 0 0 2.09 0.0 0.0
Abdoul Bah - 1 6.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -112 -7.5 -85.1 0.0 0 0 -3.87 0.0 0.0
Anthony Joseph - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 19 3.8 651.4 0.0 0 0 2.11 0.0 0.0
Matthew Manley - 1 7.8 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -3 -3.0 -200.0 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Trevor Oliver - 1 2.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 20 2.9 54.5 0 0 0 1.45 0 0
Jeremiah Simeon - 1 11.8 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 -6 -0.6 -8.1 0 0 0 -2.85 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG