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Rivier

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Rivier
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 940 (#479) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 981 (#406) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 937 (#622) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -8.7 (#243) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -15.4 (#618) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.407 (#525) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.9 More → 0.185 (#556) AdjNet -12.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -13.1 More → 0.179 (#556) AdjNet -13.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 79.2 More → 0.290 (#558) AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 79.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 74.0 More → 0.331 (#642) AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 74.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.257 (#621) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.268 (#619) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 106 | GP 22 More → 931 (#451) RD 106 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ UMass Lowell L 55 - 107
2025-11-07 vs Fitchburg St. L 67 - 80
2025-11-10 @ JWU (Providence) W 85 - 57
2025-11-12 @ Nichols W 82 - 68
2025-11-15 vs Colby L 67 - 77
2025-11-18 @ U New England W 82 - 70
2025-11-20 @ Salve Regina L 70 - 75
2025-11-22 @ Hartford L 72 - 76
2025-11-25 vs Plymouth St. W 66 - 65
2025-12-04 vs Salem St. L 64 - 71
2025-12-06 vs Bridgewater St. W 94 - 83
2025-12-08 @ Mitchell L 73 - 74
2026-01-03 vs Anna Maria W 78 - 54
2026-01-06 @ Emmanuel (MA) W 72 - 70
2026-01-10 @ Dean L 78 - 89
2026-01-14 vs Mitchell W 71 - 68
2026-01-17 vs Lasell W 76 - 66
2026-01-20 vs Norwich L 61 - 62
2026-01-24 @ Regis (MA) L 71 - 77
2026-01-28 @ Colby-Sawyer W 59 - 58
2026-01-31 vs Saint Joseph (CT) L 56 - 82
2026-02-07 @ Albertus Magnus L 70 - 99

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Dante Kikuba - 1 36.9 25.0 5.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 8.0 15.0 13.0 -94 -5.9 -37.7 46.7 62.5 85.7 0.06 69.1 63.3
Kyle Winters - 1 39.1 24.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 19.0 11.0 73 3.8 18.3 57.9 33.3 0.0 1.22 60.4 63.2
Jalen Jackson - 1 35.0 21.0 9.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 14.0 17.0 -3 -0.8 -1.6 57.1 0.0 83.3 0.61 63.1 57.1
Abdul Mansaray - 2 37.0 20.5 8.0 3.0 1.5 2.0 4.0 16.0 15.0 -43 -2.4 -18.2 59.4 0 42.9 -0.56 58.4 59.4
Ali Barry - 1 34.8 20.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 13.0 15.0 3 0.3 5.2 53.8 50.0 60.0 -0.15 65.8 65.4
Joshua Jean Charles - 1 21.9 20.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 17.0 23 3.3 53.7 80.0 0 80.0 -2.25 82.0 80.0
Torran Bosworth - 1 33.8 19.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 16.0 -38 -2.0 -12.3 55.6 40.0 100.0 -0.06 78.6 66.7
Noah Beaudet - 1 30.1 18.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 20.0 2.0 -23 -1.3 -4.6 35.0 44.4 0 -1.2 45.0 45.0
Troy Butler - 2 32.2 18.0 1.0 1.0 2.5 0.5 0.5 19.5 3.0 49 2.9 18.8 38.5 22.2 66.7 2.87 43.2 41.0
Indy Dosanjh - 14 34.0 17.8 7.1 1.2 0.4 0.9 2.3 13.4 11.7 - - - 55.6 30.0 72.9 - 59.8 57.2
Robenson Baguidy - 12 38.6 17.2 3.8 5.8 2.2 0.2 2.3 15.2 11.8 -16 -1.1 -17.6 41.2 19.7 65.2 -0.07 48.7 44.5
Ben Miller - 1 20.1 16.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 11.0 -4 -0.2 -2.1 62.5 75.0 100.0 -2.56 85.8 81.2
Omri Merryman - 1 32.3 16.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 14.0 10.0 11 0.7 3.2 35.7 28.6 80.0 -1.6 49.4 42.9
Zach Taylor - 1 34.9 16.0 9.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 17.0 8.0 -58 -3.9 -22.8 47.1 0.0 0.0 1.06 44.7 47.1
Samuel Omisore - 1 23.9 15.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 12.0 11.0 - - - 58.3 0.0 50.0 - 58.2 58.3
Yansel Reyes - 1 36.0 14.0 6.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 16.0 4.0 13 0.8 3.9 25.0 25.0 66.7 2.27 37.6 31.2
Sam Sweeney - 1 33.3 14.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.0 5.0 -13 -0.8 -4.2 30.8 44.4 66.7 2.61 48.9 46.2
Mahari Guerrier - 1 30.6 13.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 15.0 5.0 -31 -1.8 -7.4 33.3 33.3 50.0 1.72 40.9 40.0
Cameron Snowden - 1 26.3 13.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 8.0 -43 -3.1 -14.0 55.6 0.0 75.0 0.21 60.4 55.6
Jamel Walker - 1 28.9 13.0 6.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 9.0 10.0 28 2.0 7.6 66.7 0.0 100.0 0.26 68.9 66.7
Xavier Smaltz - 1 27.0 13.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 9.0 7.0 -3 -0.3 -2.8 33.3 33.3 75.0 -2.01 51.9 38.9
Jaron Broomfield - 1 32.4 12.0 11.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 18.0 44 2.1 12.3 50.0 25.0 100.0 0.5 64.4 56.2
Danny Adams - 1 24.0 11.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 11.0 8 0.4 1.9 71.4 0.0 25.0 0.24 62.8 71.4
Will Mollica - 1 31.8 10.0 7.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 16.0 -58 -3.2 -20.6 80.0 0.0 100.0 -1.13 85.0 80.0
Jaxyn Beaudet - 2 23.3 9.5 7.0 1.0 0.5 2.5 0.5 5.5 14.5 17 0.9 16.6 72.7 50.0 66.7 -0.72 77.1 77.3
Matt Youngquist - 14 24.5 9.4 4.2 0.9 0.5 0.4 1.4 8.1 6.0 8 0.4 3.6 43.0 36.5 68.8 -0.19 54.5 53.1
Ryan Rangel - 1 21.2 9.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 5.0 -41 -2.3 -13.4 44.4 25.0 0 -2.59 50.0 50.0
Takoma Rosario - 1 24.7 9.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 10.0 3 0.2 2.3 50.0 0 100.0 0.45 72.6 50.0
Kent Olewiler - 1 22.8 8.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 9.0 4.0 24 2.7 64.6 33.3 40.0 0 0.89 44.4 44.4
Keegan Martinez - 1 22.4 8.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 6.0 -52 -2.9 -27.5 50.0 100.0 0.0 -1.72 54.6 66.7
Raheim Orleans - 1 23.5 8.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 8.0 20 1.3 4.6 50.0 0 100.0 -0.01 58.1 50.0
Louis Jennings - 1 23.9 8.0 9.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 10.0 -21 -1.4 -9.7 28.6 0.0 100.0 2.09 45.7 28.6
Steph Barnes - 12 33.3 7.6 2.6 2.8 0.9 0.1 2.0 7.4 4.5 30 1.6 11.8 39.3 30.6 55.6 -0.05 46.9 45.5
Braedon White - 1 20.1 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 4.0 -15 -3.8 -18.5 75.0 0 50.0 -2.12 71.7 75.0
Terrance McCormack - 14 26.6 6.2 6.9 0.3 0.7 0.2 0.6 3.7 9.9 - - - 65.4 50.0 75.0 - 69.5 66.3
Adrian Alicea - 2 14.0 6.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 2.5 -58 -3.9 -152.5 50.0 50.0 50.0 -1.69 67.6 68.8
Leonard Pelzer - 1 13.9 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 -44 -2.2 -44.7 75.0 0 0.0 -2.17 67.6 75.0
Asante' Aurora - 1 21.6 6.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 5.0 -44 -2.4 -26.2 50.0 0.0 100.0 -0.8 61.5 50.0
Brady Hulland - 1 29.3 6.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 9.0 4.0 -30 -1.7 -12.8 33.3 0.0 0 -0.56 33.3 33.3
Damani Williams - 1 15.7 6.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 4.0 31 3.4 92.7 40.0 50.0 0 -0.6 60.0 60.0
Lukas Sward - 2 15.3 5.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.5 -85 -4.7 -43.7 75.0 0 100.0 -1.81 86.8 75.0
Aidan Rock - 1 12.3 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 -66 -4.7 -35.6 100.0 0 100.0 1.79 107.8 100.0
Nicolas Von Zboray - 1 15.2 5.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 5.0 30 2.5 19.8 66.7 50.0 0 4.59 83.3 83.3
Aidan Oliveira - 1 36.4 4.0 5.0 8.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 11.0 -55 -3.2 -16.5 25.0 0.0 0 -0.43 25.0 25.0
Collin Jefferson - 2 17.3 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 1.5 -20 -1.0 -9.2 60.0 66.7 0 1.98 80.0 80.0
Zaveyn Tate - 2 13.1 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.5 4.0 0 0.0 0.0 80.0 0 0 -0.74 80.0 80.0
Joshua Petion - 1 26.6 4.0 6.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 6.0 3.0 6.0 54 2.7 15.2 66.7 0 0.0 5.05 58.1 66.7
Michael Makiej - 1 10.5 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 1.0 21 1.4 10.8 40.0 0.0 0.0 1.84 36.8 40.0
Brandon Lee - 1 32.3 4.0 15.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 12.0 -31 -1.8 -8.6 14.3 0 40.0 -1.08 21.7 14.3
Jalen Fleming - 1 9.3 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 50.0 - 38.7 33.3
Drew Stack - 1 29.3 3.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 -3.0 65 3.4 28.4 12.5 0.0 50.0 2.48 16.9 12.5
Manny Duran - 1 14.6 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 28 2.2 20.3 50.0 0.0 0 0.21 50.0 50.0
David Stallworth - 1 11.2 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -1.0 8 0.6 5.0 50.0 0 0 0.19 50.0 50.0
Bory Bory - 1 13.1 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -36 -5.1 -82.6 50.0 0 0 -3.11 50.0 50.0
Juan Diaz Beltres - 1 11.1 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 6 0.8 26.0 25.0 0.0 0.0 0.18 22.5 25.0
Wil Martinez - 1 25.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 5.0 51 3.4 19.8 33.3 0.0 0 1.5 33.3 33.3
Thomas Engel-Chatten - 1 8.8 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 -30 -3.8 -21.4 33.3 0.0 0 -2.05 33.3 33.3
Duvall Price - 1 10.3 2.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 2 0.2 3.9 25.0 0.0 0 -0.11 25.0 25.0
Tommy Daly - 2 23.2 1.0 3.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 3.5 0.5 -48 -3.4 -59.4 14.3 0.0 0 -1.32 14.3 14.3
Tyriek Williams - 1 9.6 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -1.0 -13 -1.6 -11.0 0.0 0 50.0 -1.9 26.6 0.0
Donald Clark IV - 7 1.9 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 -0.3 2 0.1 1.9 25.0 33.3 0 -1.38 37.5 37.5
Joseph Melvin - 9 3.0 0.2 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.0 -9 -1.0 -36.9 0.0 0 50.0 0.32 26.6 0.0
Jack Assini - 1 2.8 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -6 -0.5 -5.6 0 0 0 -2.03 0 0
Connor Hanavan - 1 4.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -52 -3.2 -23.4 0 0 0 -0.92 0 0
Jacob Williams - 1 9.7 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -2 -0.2 -3.7 0 0 0 0.34 0 0
Max Waters - 1 4.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Luke Pavia - 1 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -52 -4.7 -201.0 0 0 0 -2.21 0 0
Cooper Galdenzi - 1 6.6 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 4 0.3 8.9 0.0 0 0 1.17 0.0 0.0
Evan Berkeley - 1 2.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -37 -2.1 -15.0 0.0 0.0 0 -0.62 0.0 0.0
Dez Krakowka - 1 5.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 6 1.2 32.4 0 0 0 -0.16 0 0
Andrew Perry - 1 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -30 -2.3 -50.8 0 0 0.0 -1.46 0.0 0
Anthony D'Itria - 1 3.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 21 2.6 26.9 0 0 0 0.66 0 0
Steven Jean-Louis - 1 3.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -2.0 -3 -1.0 -9.6 0.0 0.0 0 -0.19 0.0 0.0
Nelson Obarisiagbon - 1 10.7 0.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 46 3.5 36.1 0.0 0 0 1.87 0.0 0.0
Abdoul Bah - 1 6.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -112 -7.5 -85.1 0.0 0 0 -2.39 0.0 0.0
Anthony Joseph - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 19 3.8 651.4 0.0 0 0 0.33 0.0 0.0
Matthew Manley - 1 7.8 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -3 -3.0 -200.0 0.0 0 0 -0.57 0.0 0.0
Trevor Oliver - 1 2.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 20 2.9 54.5 0 0 0 1.76 0 0
Jeremiah Simeon - 1 11.8 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 -6 -0.6 -8.1 0 0 0 -1.56 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG