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Rider Broncs

Season: 2026-2027 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2018-2019 2017-2018
Also known as: Rider Broncs
Program History
Coach: Jackie Hartzell

2026-2027 Team Stats (1 games)

45.0
PPG
50.0
Opp
-5.0
Margin
25.4%
FG%
22.2%
3P%
70.0%
FT%
38.0
RPG
10.0
APG
11.0
TO
66.4
Est. poss./game
58.3
Adj PPG
54.3
Adj Opp PPG
#271
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 770 (returning production + recruiting): last season 843, returning -26, transfers -47, freshmen +0 More → 760 (#311) Preseason prior 770 (returning production + recruiting): last season 843, returning -26, transfers -47, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +185 elo More → 820 (#321) HCA +185 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +185 elo More → 911 (#306) HCA +185 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -12.3 (#277) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More → -11.8 (#275) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.148 (#268) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.7 More → 0.298 (#260) AdjNet -1.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.7 More → 0.294 (#257) AdjNet -1.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 58.3 | AdjD 54.3 More → 0.325 (#271) AdjO 58.3 | AdjD 54.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 58.3 | AdjD 54.4 More → 0.385 (#243) AdjO 58.3 | AdjD 54.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.261 (#292) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.272 (#288) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 221 | GP 1 More → 808 (#315) RD 221 | GP 1
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More → 0.153 (#312) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 @ NJIT Highlanders L 45 - 50
2026-11-12 @ Central Connecticut Blue Devils - Preview
2026-11-14 @ Yale Bulldogs - Preview
2026-11-17 @ Fairleigh Dickinson Knights - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Giana Hoddinott Giana Hoddinott G 1 36.0 16.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 11.0 8.0 0 1 0.0 0.0 54.5 66.7 50.0 -0.58 62.7 63.6
Aliya McIver Aliya McIver G 1 39.0 9.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 12.0 3.0 -5 1 -5.0 -5.2 16.7 100.0 100.0 -1.5 32.7 20.8
Alena Cofield Alena Cofield G 1 22.0 8.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 3.0 -3 1 -3.0 -5.3 44.4 0 0 -1.62 44.4 44.4
Gabby Sweeney Gabby Sweeney G 1 35.0 7.0 11.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 20.0 7.0 -3 1 -3.0 -3.4 15.0 16.7 0 -1.98 17.5 17.5
Aina Perez Mesquida Aina Perez Mesquida G 1 24.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 0.0 -7 1 -7.0 -11.9 40.0 0 0 -1.1 40.0 40.0
Julia Karpell Julia Karpell G 1 28.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 -4.0 1 1 1.0 1.4 0.0 0.0 50.0 -2.05 8.5 0.0
Jordan Barnes Jordan Barnes F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Colleen Besachio Colleen Besachio F 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -2 1 -2.0 -16.0 0 0 0 -0.79 0 0
Ainsley Gibson Ainsley Gibson G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Rebekah Hartzell Rebekah Hartzell G 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 2 1 2.0 25.5 0.0 0 0 -0.25 0.0 0.0
Millie Perry Millie Perry G 1 8.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 -2.0 -8 1 -8.0 -37.0 0.0 0.0 0 -1.55 0.0 0.0
Sam Richardson Sam Richardson F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

67 located field-goal attempts in 1 game (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Cofield40% Hoddinott75% Sweeney100% Cofield100% Sweeney100% McIver50% Hoddinott100% Hoddinott100%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
McIver50% Sweeney39% Cofield33% Cofield50% Karpell40% Sweeney100% Sweeney38%
Misses: who misses most here

Giana HoddinottAlena CofieldGabby SweeneyAliya McIverJulia Karpell

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 5-13 38.5 10 Alena Cofield 40% (4 pts) Aina Perez Mesquida 20% (2 pts) Aliya McIver 50% (4 misses) Aina Perez Mesquida 12% (1 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 4-27 14.8 8 Giana Hoddinott 75% (6 pts) Aina Perez Mesquida 25% (2 pts) Gabby Sweeney 39% (9 misses) Aliya McIver 22% (5 misses)
Mid-range left 1-4 25.0 2 Gabby Sweeney 100% (2 pts) - Alena Cofield 33% (1 misses) Aliya McIver 33% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 2-2 100.0 4 Alena Cofield 100% (4 pts) - - -
Mid-range right 1-3 33.3 2 Gabby Sweeney 100% (2 pts) - Alena Cofield 50% (1 misses) Gabby Sweeney 50% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Right corner 3 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Above-break 3 left 2-7 28.6 6 Aliya McIver 50% (3 pts) Gabby Sweeney 50% (3 pts) Julia Karpell 40% (2 misses) Gabby Sweeney 20% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 center 1-2 50.0 3 Giana Hoddinott 100% (3 pts) - Gabby Sweeney 100% (1 misses) -
Above-break 3 right 1-9 11.1 3 Giana Hoddinott 100% (3 pts) - Gabby Sweeney 38% (3 misses) Julia Karpell 38% (3 misses)