🐻⬇️🏀

Rhodes

Also known as: Rhodes
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1092 (#121) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1114 (#118) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1170 (#34) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +6.8 (#43) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +5.9 (#275) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.491 (#478) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -7.0 More → 0.308 (#449) AdjNet -7.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -7.1 More → 0.303 (#450) AdjNet -7.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 76.9 More → 0.383 (#449) AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 76.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.8 | AdjD 68.1 More → 0.669 (#126) AdjO 75.8 | AdjD 68.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.683 (#223) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.703 (#196) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 103 | GP 22 More → 1269 (#23) RD 103 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 @ Hendrix W 81 - 66
2025-11-10 vs Boyce W 93 - 65
2025-11-15 vs Principia W 109 - 42
2025-11-16 vs Blackburn W 98 - 89
2025-11-17 @ UAB L 56 - 112
2025-11-21 vs East Tex. Baptist W 76 - 54
2025-11-29 vs UChicago L 70 - 84
2025-11-30 @ WashU L 78 - 94
2025-12-06 vs Hendrix W 89 - 57
2025-12-15 @ Stetson L 76 - 95
2025-12-20 vs North Central (IL) W 71 - 65
2025-12-21 vs Texas Lutheran W 89 - 76
2025-12-29 vs Westminster (MO) W 103 - 61
2026-01-03 vs Millsaps L 70 - 81
2026-01-09 @ Sewanee W 71 - 64
2026-01-11 @ Centre W 70 - 58
2026-01-16 vs Trinity (TX) W 79 - 73
2026-01-18 vs Southwestern (TX) W 89 - 56
2026-01-23 @ Millsaps W 57 - 55
2026-01-30 @ Oglethorpe W 84 - 66
2026-02-01 @ Berry W 80 - 68
2026-02-06 @ Trinity (TX) W 76 - 75
2026-02-08 @ Southwestern (TX) L 0 - 0

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Phil Dotson - 17 24.3 18.1 2.5 2.6 1.1 0.0 1.2 14.5 8.6 172 11.5 75.1 45.1 38.1 70.2 1.39 56.6 54.3
Tyler Surin - 1 30.6 15.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 9.0 15.0 31 2.1 35.4 77.8 100.0 0.0 1.18 72.7 83.3
Jackson Huxtable - 22 24.6 15.0 4.9 1.8 1.5 0.9 2.2 12.9 8.9 220 11.0 58.3 42.3 35.4 74.3 1.16 52.1 48.4
Alejandro Diaz - 1 34.3 14.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 9.0 -53 -2.3 -11.4 41.7 28.6 100.0 -0.23 54.3 50.0
Sam Maddox - 22 20.5 10.9 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.9 8.9 5.9 156 7.8 55.4 41.5 39.7 77.3 0.07 58.4 56.9
Trevor Lombard - 20 26.2 10.6 4.0 2.2 1.6 0.2 1.2 9.5 7.8 199 9.9 59.2 38.9 35.0 63.6 -0.68 51.6 50.0
Shawn Jones Jr. - 21 26.7 9.5 6.0 3.6 0.8 0.9 1.3 7.3 12.0 146 9.7 40.9 48.7 41.2 71.2 1.6 55.3 51.0
Justin Sveiteris - 1 14.3 9.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 8.0 -41 -1.9 -17.8 57.1 0 50.0 0.44 57.1 57.1
Ethan Marlowe - 1 32.7 8.0 9.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 10.0 12.0 -43 -2.0 -16.2 30.0 20.0 33.3 0.13 35.3 35.0
Tyler Swierczek - 1 26.0 8.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.0 -2.0 -17 -0.8 -5.2 21.4 22.2 0 -0.7 28.6 28.6
Sean Molloy - 1 28.1 7.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 8.0 -42 -1.8 -9.5 16.7 33.3 100.0 -1.04 45.1 25.0
Tyler Jasek - 22 10.5 4.3 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.5 3.5 2.0 79 4.0 115.4 41.6 42.2 46.2 -0.26 53.7 53.9
Jack Dempsey - 22 19.0 3.6 4.6 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.6 2.4 7.1 164 7.8 53.0 61.5 0 57.7 -1.67 62.3 61.5
Cass Ramberg - 22 17.2 3.2 4.2 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.3 2.5 6.1 184 8.8 111.9 51.9 16.7 66.7 1.89 56.5 53.7
Michael Wilson - 18 6.2 3.1 1.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 1.7 3.0 7 0.5 15.1 67.7 53.8 60.0 -1.14 77.7 79.0
Mason Bennett - 2 14.6 3.0 3.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 4.0 3.0 113 7.1 328.3 25.0 0 100.0 -2.49 33.8 25.0
Ryan Scott - 9 9.1 2.9 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.3 3.9 1.2 2 0.3 10.1 28.6 14.3 36.4 -1.1 32.6 31.4
Keagan Faulkner - 1 11.7 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 -2.0 -13 -2.6 -38.9 25.0 0.0 0.0 -0.16 18.8 25.0
Tre Davis - 1 12.9 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 -1.0 -13 -0.6 -3.6 25.0 0.0 0 -2.99 25.0 25.0
Riley Michels - 9 7.2 1.4 1.6 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.3 2.8 0.7 19 3.2 447.1 24.0 0.0 50.0 -0.2 25.1 24.0
Mike Wagner - 9 5.9 0.8 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.9 1.1 1.6 - - - 10.0 16.7 66.7 - 27.7 15.0
Jason Njoga - 11 4.0 0.5 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.3 -7 -0.8 -96.0 15.4 20.0 33.3 -0.89 20.9 19.2
Tyler DiSilvio - 1 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2 0.1 3.1 0 0 0 -0.79 0 0
Heath Seawright - 2 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 -0.5 -4 -4.0 -131.5 0 0 0 -0.68 0 0
Brady Donlon - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Nick Lewis - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -26 -1.4 -28.2 0 0 0 -0.72 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG