Rhode Island Col.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 942 (#476) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1031 (#314) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 979 (#556) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.5 (#138) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -3.7 (#405) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.382 (#541) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.245 (#491) | AdjNet -9.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.271 (#471) | AdjNet -8.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.361 (#475) | AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 76.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.511 (#381) | AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 72.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.478 (#419) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.475 (#430) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1015 (#345) | RD 96 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Nichols | W | 91 - 81 |
| 2025-11-11 | vs | Worcester St. | W | 79 - 74 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | MIT | L | 73 - 79 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Brandeis | L | 76 - 80 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Salve Regina | L | 76 - 80 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Bridgewater St. | W | 113 - 73 |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Williams | W | 70 - 63 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | UMass Dartmouth | W | 87 - 63 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Plymouth St. | W | 67 - 58 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | VTSU Castleton | W | 78 - 54 |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Connecticut Col. | L | 64 - 85 |
| 2026-01-06 | @ | Southern Me. | L | 86 - 101 |
| 2026-01-08 | @ | WestConn | L | 68 - 91 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Keene St. | W | 72 - 63 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Colby | L | 63 - 76 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | UMass Boston | L | 64 - 77 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Eastern Conn. St. | W | 99 - 92 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Plymouth St. | W | 83 - 53 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | UMass Dartmouth | W | 89 - 82 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | VTSU Castleton | L | 57 - 61 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Southern Me. | L | 68 - 74 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | UMass Boston | L | 69 - 82 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Whelan | - | 1 | 30.0 | 30.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 22.0 | 16 | 1.1 | 4.3 | 46.7 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0.16 | 70.9 | 53.3 |
| Elias Espinosa | - | 1 | 31.0 | 21.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 17.0 | -27 | -1.6 | -12.1 | 57.1 | 55.6 | 0 | 0.29 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Gabe Lash | - | 1 | 37.0 | 21.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 20.0 | 38 | 2.5 | 13.4 | 46.2 | 62.5 | 80.0 | 2.31 | 69.1 | 65.4 |
| Greg Cantwell | - | 1 | 34.0 | 17.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 23.0 | -7 | -0.4 | -2.9 | 41.7 | 25.0 | 85.7 | -0.42 | 56.4 | 45.8 |
| Xavier Mendez | - | 20 | 26.6 | 16.9 | 9.4 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 2.9 | 12.4 | 14.9 | 6 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 48.0 | 32.1 | 78.7 | 0.66 | 58.4 | 53.2 |
| Tyriek Weeks | - | 20 | 32.3 | 14.8 | 8.2 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 11.7 | 13.2 | 54 | 2.5 | 9.8 | 45.1 | 30.2 | 71.8 | -0.41 | 55.2 | 51.3 |
| Noah Dowling | - | 1 | 33.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 17.0 | 82 | 5.5 | 32.6 | 71.4 | 66.7 | 0 | 2.65 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Noe Bom | - | 18 | 34.2 | 14.0 | 3.6 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 3.3 | 10.3 | 8.4 | 23 | 1.1 | 4.1 | 50.3 | 27.5 | 62.7 | 0.83 | 56.9 | 54.1 |
| Carter Galley | - | 1 | 24.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 60 | 4.0 | 24.3 | 85.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.94 | 85.7 | 85.7 |
| Loudon Chupas | - | 20 | 26.3 | 10.2 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 7.8 | 7.3 | 47 | 2.1 | 12.1 | 43.2 | 21.3 | 69.5 | 1.95 | 53.4 | 47.4 |
| Cohen Galley | - | 1 | 14.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 34 | 2.3 | 14.8 | 75.0 | 66.7 | 0 | -0.4 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Kanye Wavezwa | - | 4 | 17.4 | 7.2 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 5.5 | 4.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 31.8 | 22.2 | 91.7 | 0.51 | 53.2 | 40.9 |
| CJ Wilson | - | 19 | 30.6 | 5.7 | 4.1 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 4.3 | 9.2 | -7 | -0.3 | -1.4 | 44.4 | 31.6 | 71.4 | -0.42 | 56.5 | 51.9 |
| Jalen Claude | - | 20 | 18.0 | 5.5 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 5.0 | 2.8 | 53 | 2.4 | 20.7 | 34.0 | 35.3 | 70.8 | 2.51 | 49.3 | 46.0 |
| Kyle Prete | - | 20 | 10.3 | 4.9 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 4.1 | 2.1 | -29 | -1.3 | -14.6 | 42.7 | 31.2 | 92.9 | -0.86 | 55.6 | 51.8 |
| Andrew Hartel | - | 1 | 21.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | -10 | -0.7 | -5.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | -2.17 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Mike Paquette | - | 19 | 13.4 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 21 | 1.0 | 10.2 | 35.6 | 31.6 | 80.0 | 0.12 | 50.2 | 42.2 |
| Julius Powell | - | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Quron Zene | - | 1 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 22 | 2.4 | 93.6 | 0 | 0 | 66.7 | -0.83 | 75.8 | 0 |
| Elijah Diallo | - | 8 | 2.8 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.4 | 18.9 | 44.4 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0.72 | 60.4 | 50.0 |
| Emmanuel Ibidapo | - | 14 | 5.8 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 1 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 44.4 | 0 | 16.7 | 1.49 | 41.2 | 44.4 |
| Marcio Evora | - | 5 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 | -2 | -0.4 | -18.5 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.52 | 42.5 | 40.0 |
| Garrett Clar | - | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 5 | 0.3 | 2.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.56 | 0 | 0 |
| Bo Moody | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Martin Wilson | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16 | 3.2 | 290.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.34 | 0 | 0 |
| Josiah Wright | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -2.0 | 32 | 4.0 | 67.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.19 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Alex Hoxie | - | 4 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 3 | 0.8 | 27.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.52 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG