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Redlands Bulldogs

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Redlands
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1164 (#50) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1237 (#27) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1174 (#32) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +14.8 (#8) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +10.4 (#226) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.863 (#262) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.0 More → 0.817 (#226) AdjNet +13.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +12.8 More → 0.817 (#226) AdjNet +12.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 89.1 | AdjD 78.2 More → 0.728 (#212) AdjO 89.1 | AdjD 78.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 87.7 | AdjD 75.5 More → 0.751 (#63) AdjO 87.7 | AdjD 75.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.774 (#127) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.779 (#100) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 22 More → 1273 (#21) RD 100 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ UC Santa Cruz W 102 - 88
2025-11-08 vs Pacific Lutheran W 94 - 91
2025-11-14 vs Pacific (OR) W 108 - 80
2025-11-15 vs Schreiner W 106 - 92
2025-11-21 vs Willamette W 117 - 78
2025-11-29 @ Cal Poly L 81 - 87
2025-12-03 @ Chapman L 63 - 75
2025-12-19 vs Roanoke W 79 - 60
2025-12-20 @ Hampden-Sydney W 91 - 90
2025-12-29 vs MSOE W 102 - 82
2025-12-30 vs Mary Hardin-Baylor L 97 - 104
2026-01-03 vs Pomona-Pitzer W 94 - 77
2026-01-07 @ Caltech W 107 - 82
2026-01-10 vs Cal Lutheran W 97 - 62
2026-01-14 vs La Verne W 105 - 67
2026-01-17 @ Whittier W 105 - 60
2026-01-19 @ Pomona-Pitzer W 81 - 66
2026-01-21 vs Claremont-M-S W 79 - 78
2026-01-24 vs Occidental W 93 - 75
2026-01-28 vs Chapman W 76 - 66
2026-01-31 @ Cal Lutheran L 70 - 82
2026-02-04 @ La Verne W 93 - 85

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Lucas Gordon - 22 23.0 13.8 8.6 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.6 9.9 14.6 164 9.1 58.0 53.2 31.6 77.0 0.69 61.9 58.7
Jake Hlywiak - 21 24.7 13.1 2.9 2.0 1.0 0.1 1.0 9.6 8.5 81 4.5 26.7 45.3 38.1 80.0 1.39 61.7 58.5
Jhace Boston - 20 21.9 11.7 5.2 3.0 1.4 1.3 2.2 9.6 10.7 110 6.9 54.9 44.3 36.4 68.6 3.22 52.5 48.4
Omari Ferguson - 22 21.3 11.4 3.3 2.2 2.3 0.2 2.7 8.5 8.3 81 4.5 30.1 51.1 16.0 66.3 1.08 56.1 52.2
Derek Sangster - 21 21.7 11.0 5.0 1.0 1.3 0.5 1.1 9.0 8.6 -1 -0.2 -0.4 47.4 38.5 61.9 -1.52 55.4 53.9
Chozen Amadi - 20 20.2 8.7 2.1 1.8 0.7 0.1 1.1 8.0 4.2 133 7.4 55.0 40.3 33.3 87.5 4.12 52.1 50.0
Cam Brown - 20 19.8 8.2 4.2 3.4 1.1 0.2 1.9 6.0 9.3 76 4.5 30.1 49.6 29.6 61.9 -0.96 56.2 52.9
Donovan Ware - 22 17.8 5.2 2.2 1.0 0.8 0.1 0.4 4.5 4.5 37 2.1 18.1 39.8 35.9 88.9 -2.54 55.9 54.1
Nathan Mattera - 21 18.7 4.5 1.7 1.3 1.3 0.2 0.4 3.6 5.0 75 4.2 38.2 39.5 37.3 81.2 0.03 57.2 53.9
Jaiden Agbo - 10 4.5 3.0 1.1 0.1 0.5 0.0 0.7 2.1 1.9 7 0.9 126.3 38.1 16.7 68.4 -0.12 51.1 40.5
Austin Unegbu - 18 6.9 2.9 1.7 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.2 3.2 2.1 67 4.5 156.1 31.0 25.0 100.0 -0.16 42.0 37.1
Logan Dorsey - 8 8.6 2.8 1.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.2 2.0 3.0 16 4.0 26.7 37.5 22.2 66.7 2.18 51.7 43.8
Marcel Hayes - 2 8.7 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.0 -0.5 7 3.5 16.7 25.0 0 100.0 -0.22 41.0 25.0
Elijah Duncan - 9 3.6 1.7 0.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.4 1.1 5 0.6 90.2 46.2 28.6 100.0 -0.12 55.8 53.8
Yah Humphrey - 5 5.5 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.8 -5 -1.7 -113.2 60.0 50.0 0 0.89 70.0 70.0
Evan Lucas - 6 4.9 1.3 1.3 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.2 2.0 1.0 - - - 25.0 18.2 0 - 33.3 33.3
Christian Trusclair - 2 3.6 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG