Redlands Bulldogs
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1160 (#77) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1262 (#22) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1174 (#32) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +12.5 (#77) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +10.4 (#226) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.863 (#262) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.817 (#226) | AdjNet +13.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.817 (#226) | AdjNet +12.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.728 (#212) | AdjO 89.1 | AdjD 78.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.751 (#63) | AdjO 87.7 | AdjD 75.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.774 (#127) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.779 (#100) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1266 (#22) | RD 100 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | UC Santa Cruz | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Pacific Lutheran | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Pacific (OR) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Schreiner | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Willamette | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Cal Poly | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Chapman | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Roanoke | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Hampden-Sydney | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-29 | vs | MSOE | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Mary Hardin-Baylor | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Pomona-Pitzer | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Caltech | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Cal Lutheran | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | La Verne | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Whittier | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-19 | @ | Pomona-Pitzer | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Claremont-M-S | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Occidental | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Chapman | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Cal Lutheran | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | La Verne | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Gordon | - | 21 | 22.7 | 13.6 | 8.6 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 9.8 | 14.6 | 164 | 9.1 | 58.0 | 53.2 | 29.6 | 77.0 | 3.11 | 61.7 | 58.3 |
| Jake Hlywiak | - | 20 | 24.6 | 12.8 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 9.4 | 8.6 | 81 | 4.5 | 26.7 | 45.2 | 38.0 | 79.2 | -0.7 | 61.4 | 58.2 |
| Jhace Boston | - | 19 | 22.0 | 12.2 | 5.2 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 9.7 | 11.2 | 110 | 6.9 | 54.9 | 45.4 | 36.4 | 69.6 | 3.35 | 53.9 | 49.7 |
| Omari Ferguson | - | 21 | 21.1 | 11.3 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 8.1 | 8.2 | 81 | 4.5 | 30.1 | 52.6 | 18.2 | 65.9 | 0.82 | 57.5 | 53.8 |
| Derek Sangster | - | 20 | 21.7 | 11.3 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 9.2 | 8.7 | -1 | -0.2 | -0.4 | 48.1 | 39.7 | 62.5 | -1.09 | 56.3 | 54.9 |
| Chozen Amadi | - | 19 | 20.3 | 8.7 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 7.9 | 4.4 | 133 | 7.4 | 55.0 | 41.1 | 34.1 | 85.7 | 2.91 | 52.8 | 51.0 |
| Cam Brown | - | 19 | 19.8 | 8.2 | 4.4 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 5.9 | 9.5 | 76 | 4.5 | 30.1 | 48.7 | 29.6 | 62.7 | 2.01 | 55.8 | 52.2 |
| Donovan Ware | - | 21 | 17.8 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 4.3 | 4.5 | 37 | 2.1 | 18.1 | 41.1 | 37.1 | 88.9 | -2.93 | 57.5 | 55.6 |
| Nathan Mattera | - | 20 | 18.9 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 3.6 | 5.1 | 75 | 4.2 | 38.2 | 40.3 | 38.2 | 81.2 | 0.42 | 58.2 | 54.9 |
| Logan Dorsey | - | 7 | 9.5 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 3.4 | 16 | 4.0 | 26.7 | 37.5 | 22.2 | 66.7 | 1.14 | 51.7 | 43.8 |
| Jaiden Agbo | - | 10 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 7 | 0.9 | 126.3 | 38.1 | 16.7 | 68.4 | 0.02 | 51.1 | 40.5 |
| Austin Unegbu | - | 18 | 6.9 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 67 | 4.5 | 156.1 | 31.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 4.05 | 42.0 | 37.1 |
| Marcel Hayes | - | 2 | 8.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | 7 | 3.5 | 16.7 | 25.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -2.31 | 41.0 | 25.0 |
| Elijah Duncan | - | 9 | 3.6 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 0.6 | 90.2 | 46.2 | 28.6 | 100.0 | -0.1 | 55.8 | 53.8 |
| Yah Humphrey | - | 5 | 5.5 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.8 | -5 | -1.7 | -113.2 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| Evan Lucas | - | 6 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 18.2 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Christian Trusclair | - | 2 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG