Randolph-Macon
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1110 (#62) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1188 (#35) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +11.4 (#75) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.825 (#290) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.856 (#98) | NetEff +13.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.897 (#214) | AdjNet +18.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.896 (#216) | AdjNet +18.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.696 (#240) | AdjO 62.8 | AdjD 53.7 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-13 | @ | Mary Washington | W | 52 - 46 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Gettysburg | L | 47 - 79 |
| 2024-11-17 | @ | Wilkes | W | 63 - 35 |
| 2024-11-22 | vs | Dickinson | W | 60 - 53 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Johns Hopkins | W | 75 - 74 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Marymount (VA) | W | 71 - 53 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | East. Mennonite | W | 65 - 52 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Roanoke | W | 74 - 54 |
| 2024-12-18 | vs | Rhode Island Col. | W | 58 - 57 |
| 2024-12-19 | @ | Southern Me. | W | 49 - 38 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Ferrum | W | 53 - 48 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Guilford | W | 71 - 53 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Hollins | W | 62 - 48 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Lynchburg | W | 60 - 46 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Randolph | W | 61 - 45 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Shenandoah | W | 60 - 55 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Averett | W | 67 - 34 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | Va. Wesleyan | W | 73 - 49 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Wash. & Lee | W | 86 - 83 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Bridgewater (VA) | W | 74 - 65 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Randolph | W | 59 - 52 |
| 2025-02-13 | vs | Salisbury | W | 67 - 50 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Ferrum | W | 56 - 49 |
| 2025-02-18 | vs | Shenandoah | W | 59 - 47 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Averett | W | 66 - 50 |
| 2025-02-25 | vs | Randolph | W | 63 - 46 |
| 2025-02-28 | vs | Shenandoah | W | 62 - 49 |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | Wash. & Lee | W | 65 - 58 |
| 2025-03-07 | vs | Piedmont | W | 52 - 31 |
| 2025-03-08 | vs | Elizabethtown | W | 62 - 56 |
| 2025-03-14 | @ | Gettysburg | L | 49 - 56 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yamirelis Matos | - | 1 | 34.0 | 17.0 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | 8.0 | -82 | -2.6 | -2.6 | 37.5 | 20.0 | 80.0 | 0.03 | 46.7 | 40.6 |
| Mckenzie Matheny | - | 3 | 25.3 | 15.3 | 8.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 15.3 | 92 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 59.3 | 0 | 66.7 | 1.31 | 63.5 | 59.3 |
| Catherine Kagey | - | 31 | 28.6 | 12.6 | 10.1 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 10.0 | 16.4 | - | - | - | 48.7 | 0.0 | 67.2 | - | 53.1 | 48.7 |
| Juliana Park | - | 29 | 24.7 | 9.6 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 9.9 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 37.4 | 30.9 | 58.6 | - | 46.4 | 45.5 |
| Liz Cote | - | 1 | 25.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 98 | 3.2 | 3.7 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0.46 | 58.9 | 60.0 |
| Sam Smith | - | 31 | 33.6 | 8.7 | 4.3 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 8.6 | 8.2 | 96 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 32.2 | 23.2 | 77.6 | 0.49 | 43.5 | 36.3 |
| Dakota Shipley | - | 1 | 18.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 137 | 4.4 | 6.3 | 37.5 | 40.0 | 0 | 0.74 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Marisa Ziegler | - | 31 | 26.8 | 6.0 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 6.5 | 2.8 | - | - | - | 36.1 | 31.8 | 72.2 | - | 44.5 | 43.1 |
| Francesca Ramsdell | - | 1 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | -1.0 | -17 | -0.8 | -1.5 | 28.6 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.49 | 38.1 | 28.6 |
| Bella Bruce | - | 31 | 22.7 | 5.9 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 6.5 | 2.9 | 159 | 4.1 | 5.0 | 31.3 | 25.4 | 63.2 | 0.13 | 42.0 | 39.6 |
| Dana Wartzenluft | - | 1 | 21.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | -66 | -2.0 | -6.2 | 25.0 | 16.7 | 0 | -1.0 | 31.2 | 31.2 |
| Lucy Wiles | - | 1 | 21.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | -2.0 | 153 | 4.9 | 6.2 | 12.5 | 20.0 | 100.0 | 0.59 | 28.2 | 18.8 |
| Morgan Miller | - | 31 | 20.6 | 4.2 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 5.0 | 4.8 | 192 | 5.3 | 5.7 | 28.6 | 26.4 | 68.2 | 0.87 | 40.0 | 37.7 |
| Maliyah Warren | - | 1 | 24.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | -131 | -3.7 | -4.9 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.68 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Lita Guslens | - | 1 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 68 | 2.3 | 6.5 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | 0.41 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Madison Olguin | - | 1 | 18.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | -66 | -3.5 | -8.9 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.46 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Reagan Holden | - | 1 | 18.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | -86 | -2.5 | -3.2 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.4 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Hope Elias | - | 1 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 12 | 0.6 | 8.1 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.15 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Julia Kratzer | - | 1 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 69 | 2.2 | 4.4 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.32 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Madison Robel | - | 1 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | -21 | -0.9 | -1.8 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.34 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Emily Olsen | - | 30 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 | - | - | - | 48.4 | 0 | 60.0 | - | 50.8 | 48.4 |
| Carolyn Lundy | - | 1 | 16.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | -6.0 | -65 | -1.9 | -4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.41 | 7.3 | 0.0 |
| Emion Byers | - | 29 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.6 | -28 | -0.9 | -2.4 | 40.7 | 0.0 | 28.6 | 0.3 | 39.9 | 40.7 |
| Erin Porter | - | 27 | 5.2 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.3 | -12 | -0.4 | -1.0 | 14.7 | 11.1 | 66.7 | 0.19 | 21.8 | 17.6 |
| Brielle Baughman | - | 30 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 36 | 1.9 | 9.9 | 71.4 | 80.0 | 50.0 | 0.08 | 95.2 | 100.0 |
| Rachael Anderson | - | 28 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.4 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 42.5 | 40.0 |
| Anna Wilcox | - | 29 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | -27 | -1.2 | -4.1 | 26.7 | 25.0 | 0.0 | -0.31 | 31.5 | 33.3 |
| Cait Velez | - | 11 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Lilly Davis | - | 27 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | -59 | -3.5 | -39.0 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.76 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Zofia Enriquez | - | 27 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | -0.2 | - | - | - | 9.1 | 14.3 | 100.0 | - | 21.0 | 13.6 |
| Riley White | - | 29 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | -33 | -1.9 | -6.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.21 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jane Elkins | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Julianna Askins | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -76 | -3.8 | -6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.35 | 0 | 0 |
| Siena Hallberg | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.07 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyleen McCance | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -29 | -1.6 | -7.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.17 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Elizabeth Viglone | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Delaney Bogdan | - | 1 | 24.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -3.0 | -87 | -2.7 | -5.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.52 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Nadia Evanosky | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -130 | -6.5 | -6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.54 | 0 | 0 |
| Emma Raville | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Emma Stout | - | 1 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | -6.0 | -37 | -1.5 | -3.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.28 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Emma Stred | - | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 44 | 1.9 | 3.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 |
| Morgan Cunningham | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5 | 0.4 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.01 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Campbell Doughty | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | 15 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Vanessa Vaughan | - | 1 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | -6.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.35 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Julissa McBarron | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Koral Morin | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jade Smedberg | - | 1 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -32 | -1.9 | -3.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.53 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Morgan Zetts | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Luna Love | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -24 | -2.4 | -7.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.38 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Maddy York | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | -4.0 | 83 | 3.6 | 10.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.24 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ali Portas | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 26 | 1.3 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG