Ramapo
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 828 (#594) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 886 (#509) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 876 (#700) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -12.2 (#282) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -13.3 (#587) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.558 (#431) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.451 (#373) | AdjNet -1.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.486 (#353) | AdjNet -0.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.477 (#367) | AdjO 70.6 | AdjD 71.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.340 (#638) | AdjO 64.4 | AdjD 71.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.233 (#635) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.244 (#639) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 837 (#533) | RD 104 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | SUNY Maritime | W | 61 - 58 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | McDaniel | L | 58 - 60 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Hood | L | 73 - 93 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Lancaster Bible | L | 64 - 92 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Farmingdale St. | L | 75 - 90 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | New Jersey City | L | 64 - 66 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Kean | L | 58 - 65 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Rutgers-Camden | W | 58 - 57 |
| 2025-12-10 | vs | Montclair St. | L | 72 - 95 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | TCNJ | L | 51 - 76 |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Augsburg | L | 73 - 80 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Centre | L | 53 - 57 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Rutgers-Newark | W | 54 - 50 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Rowan | L | 75 - 104 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Wm. Paterson | W | 60 - 51 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Stockton | L | 68 - 76 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | New Jersey City | L | 57 - 65 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Rutgers-Camden | L | 55 - 60 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Kean | W | 65 - 64 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | TCNJ | L | 59 - 85 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Montclair St. | L | 75 - 103 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Rowan | L | 65 - 73 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Downs | - | 1 | 32.0 | 34.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 23.0 | 19.0 | -76 | -5.4 | -16.5 | 60.9 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -2.06 | 72.5 | 71.7 |
| David Kearney | - | 1 | 31.0 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 9 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 45.5 | 33.3 | 83.3 | -0.09 | 58.7 | 50.0 |
| Tim Linton | - | 3 | 29.5 | 15.3 | 6.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 10.3 | 13.0 | 29 | 7.2 | 18.5 | 61.3 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.67 | 63.4 | 61.3 |
| Elijah Barlow | - | 18 | 33.8 | 14.1 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 13.0 | 5.3 | -63 | -3.3 | -12.6 | 41.9 | 23.3 | 80.0 | -2.03 | 48.8 | 44.0 |
| Ryan Shaffer | - | 1 | 31.1 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | -4 | -0.2 | -1.1 | 42.9 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.64 | 64.3 | 64.3 |
| Bruce Black | - | 1 | 24.8 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 35 | 1.7 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 72.7 | 1.21 | 33.8 | 0.0 |
| Branden Moore | - | 6 | 12.7 | 7.8 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 4.7 | 4.3 | 21 | 3.0 | 25.1 | 57.1 | 25.0 | 70.0 | -0.53 | 63.9 | 58.9 |
| Tyrell Murchison | - | 20 | 35.0 | 7.7 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 2.8 | 7.7 | 8.3 | -56 | -2.5 | -10.3 | 36.4 | 21.4 | 68.8 | -1.01 | 44.0 | 39.3 |
| Orion Mickens | - | 17 | 23.0 | 7.5 | 7.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 6.6 | 8.5 | -57 | -3.2 | -17.8 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -1.52 | 52.6 | 50.0 |
| Jack O'Leary | - | 10 | 18.4 | 7.4 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 5.4 | 4.3 | -24 | -2.2 | -23.4 | 46.3 | 47.6 | 73.7 | 1.04 | 59.3 | 55.6 |
| Jalen Thomas | - | 20 | 28.7 | 7.3 | 6.7 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 5.4 | 8.8 | -87 | -4.1 | -25.3 | 53.7 | 27.3 | 67.5 | 0.16 | 58.1 | 55.1 |
| Enoch Hutchison | - | 20 | 27.7 | 7.0 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 8.1 | 3.1 | -20 | -1.2 | -16.5 | 32.9 | 25.8 | 67.9 | -2.41 | 40.7 | 37.9 |
| Cherif Kanoute | - | 1 | 35.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 17.0 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 43.8 | 43.8 |
| Matt Kearney | - | 1 | 14.8 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | -59 | -3.1 | -19.8 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 80.0 | -2.33 | 56.5 | 37.5 |
| Nahum Lewis | - | 18 | 16.5 | 6.8 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 7.0 | 2.2 | -26 | -1.4 | -28.2 | 37.3 | 19.2 | 58.5 | -0.72 | 42.7 | 39.3 |
| Cole Riley | - | 1 | 15.4 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 28 | 3.5 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.0 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Ashenafi Stuart | - | 1 | 28.5 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | -3.0 | -33 | -1.6 | -7.3 | 20.0 | 16.7 | 50.0 | 0.09 | 27.6 | 25.0 |
| Isaiah Chung | - | 9 | 9.1 | 5.2 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 2.9 | 5.3 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 53.8 | 0 | 65.5 | 0.69 | 60.6 | 53.8 |
| Mikey Ayala Jr. | - | 1 | 38.9 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | -60 | -3.3 | -17.5 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.21 | 53.2 | 50.0 |
| Drew Colman | - | 1 | 12.1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 31 | 1.7 | 46.1 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.2 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Keith Shuler | - | 15 | 11.2 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 3.1 | 1.2 | -6 | -0.5 | -4.6 | 52.2 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -1.19 | 53.5 | 52.2 |
| Logan Smith | - | 9 | 8.2 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 0.8 | -3 | -0.3 | -13.2 | 30.4 | 0.0 | 69.2 | 0.24 | 40.0 | 30.4 |
| Alex Potts | - | 10 | 6.3 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.7 | -0.4 | -3 | -0.2 | -3.4 | 35.3 | 71.4 | 50.0 | -0.47 | 50.3 | 50.0 |
| Dylan Guzzardo | - | 8 | 5.1 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.0 | -10 | -1.2 | -71.6 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 71.4 | -0.09 | 38.5 | 16.7 |
| Tristen Cole | - | 1 | 9.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jayden Baker | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -101 | -9.2 | -20.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.03 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Senft | - | 1 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -34 | -2.6 | -15.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.48 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Dallas George | - | 1 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | -2 | -0.1 | -1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Anthony Hall | - | 1 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -14.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG