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Radford

Also known as: Radford Highlanders
Program History

2017 Team Stats (4 games)

59.8
PPG
81.2
Opp
-21.5
Margin
35.2%
FG%
35.9%
3P%
59.0%
FT%
35.8
RPG
12.8
APG
16.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
61.2
Adj PPG
70.6
Adj Opp PPG
#303
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 816 (#279) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 905 (#243) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More โ†’ 971 (#211) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -10.1 (#303) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -10.1 (#307) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.239 (#303) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -14.6 More โ†’ 0.157 (#307) AdjNet -14.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -14.9 More โ†’ 0.152 (#308) AdjNet -14.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.2 | AdjD 70.6 More โ†’ 0.298 (#303) AdjO 61.2 | AdjD 70.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.9 | AdjD 68.8 More โ†’ 0.369 (#294) AdjO 62.9 | AdjD 68.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.286 (#290) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.299 (#283) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 151 | GP 30 More โ†’ 879 (#254) RD 151 | GP 30

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 59 - 80
2016-11-16 vs Central Penn Knights W 91 - 69
2016-11-20 @ Akron Zips L 41 - 88
2016-11-22 @ Mercer Bears L 47 - 58
2016-11-25 vs Stetson Hatters W 80 - 66
2016-11-26 vs Georgia Southern Eagles L 64 - 65
2016-11-30 vs VMI Keydets W 74 - 67
2016-12-04 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 50 - 95
2016-12-10 vs Elon Phoenix W 68 - 56
2016-12-17 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 64 - 100
2016-12-20 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 57 - 84
2016-12-23 vs Grace Lancers W 82 - 58
2016-12-29 vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs W 80 - 77
2016-12-31 @ Winthrop Eagles W 82 - 80
2017-01-04 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs L 59 - 70
2017-01-07 @ Presbyterian Blue Hose W 76 - 63
2017-01-11 @ Charleston Southern Buccaneers L 64 - 70
2017-01-14 vs Liberty Flames L 64 - 71
2017-01-19 @ Longwood Lancers W 72 - 60
2017-01-21 vs High Point Panthers L 58 - 61
2017-01-26 vs Campbell Fighting Camels L 61 - 78
2017-01-28 @ UNC Asheville Bulldogs L 69 - 80
2017-02-01 vs Winthrop Eagles L 65 - 81
2017-02-04 @ Liberty Flames L 54 - 57
2017-02-09 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 79 - 67
2017-02-11 @ High Point Panthers W 69 - 68
2017-02-15 @ Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs L 59 - 70
2017-02-18 vs Longwood Lancers W 79 - 72
2017-02-23 vs Presbyterian Blue Hose W 59 - 57
2017-02-25 @ Campbell Fighting Camels L 58 - 61
2017-03-02 @ Liberty Flames W 56 - 52
2017-03-03 vs Campbell Fighting Camels L 50 - 66

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ed Polite Ed Polite ATH 17 31.6 12.9 9.8 1.9 2.1 1.0 2.5 2.3 23.0 -63 28 -2.2 -3.0 38.5 0.0 63.2 2.3 232.3 38.5
Justin Cousin Justin Cousin G 18 28.3 10.8 2.2 2.3 0.8 0.1 2.4 2.4 11.3 -173 28 -6.2 -8.8 43.2 47.1 87.5 -3.9 205.2 61.4
Devin Cooper Devin Cooper G 2 23.0 9.5 3.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 11.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Caleb Tanner Caleb Tanner G 18 22.8 9.2 1.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 1.1 3.1 7.5 -57 29 -2.0 -4.0 34.5 40.5 100.0 0.85 146.5 48.2
Christian Bradford Christian Bradford G 18 28.1 7.7 2.3 3.3 0.7 0.0 2.3 2.2 9.6 -124 29 -4.3 -6.2 35.9 28.6 100.0 -1.84 161.8 41.0
Donald Hicks Donald Hicks G 18 25.6 7.6 3.0 1.9 0.7 0.0 1.8 1.6 9.7 -116 29 -4.0 -6.5 27.6 23.1 42.9 -2.7 212.0 32.8
Christian Lutete Christian Lutete G 18 16.1 5.0 2.9 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.8 1.3 6.9 -66 26 -2.5 -9.0 39.1 41.7 37.5 -0.71 169.7 50.0
Darius Bolstad Darius Bolstad C 16 12.8 4.8 2.7 0.3 0.3 1.5 0.8 0.8 8.1 -24 26 -0.9 -2.8 30.8 0 66.7 -0.16 246.2 30.8
Randy Phillips Randy Phillips C 18 17.6 3.8 4.8 0.4 0.5 0.4 2.2 1.4 6.3 -94 29 -3.2 -7.9 34.6 0 16.7 -2.02 118.7 34.6
Devonnte Holland Devonnte Holland C 17 9.6 3.5 3.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 1.1 0.6 5.4 -49 24 -2.0 -9.7 36.4 0 12.5 -1.0 206.6 36.4
Sterling Christy Sterling Christy F 16 12.1 2.1 3.0 1.1 0.2 0.2 1.0 0.7 5.0 -163 25 -6.5 -22.2 36.4 50.0 0 -5.66 154.5 45.5
Brian Rodriguez Brian Rodriguez G 8 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -0.83 75.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG