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Radford

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Radford Highlanders
Program History
Coach: Mike Jones

Model Outputs

2015-2016
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 900 (#228) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 964 (#202) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +98 elo More → 967 (#216) HCA +98 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -4.2 (#226) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -7.2 (#266) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.432 (#202) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -5.9 More → 0.336 (#222) AdjNet -5.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -6.0 More → 0.334 (#222) AdjNet -6.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 73.1 More → 0.413 (#224) AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 73.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 72.2 More → 0.413 (#247) AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 72.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.383 (#226) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.383 (#227) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 155 | GP 29 More → 933 (#221) RD 155 | GP 29

2016 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2015-11-14 @ Georgetown Hoyas W 82 - 80
2015-11-16 @ VCU Rams L 74 - 92
2015-11-18 vs Catawba Indians W 68 - 60
2015-11-20 vs Siena Saints L 62 - 76
2015-11-21 vs Prairie View A&M Panthers W 64 - 56
2015-11-24 @ Penn State Nittany Lions W 86 - 74
2015-11-30 vs James Madison Dukes L 68 - 70
2015-12-03 vs Liberty Flames W 56 - 52
2015-12-06 @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 58 - 63
2015-12-09 vs Virginia Tech Hokies L 65 - 74
2015-12-12 @ Howard Bison W 92 - 91
2015-12-19 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 69 - 67
2015-12-22 @ Chattanooga Mocs L 75 - 77
2015-12-27 vs Central Penn Knights W 123 - 63
2015-12-31 @ High Point Panthers L 60 - 77
2016-01-06 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 80 - 73
2016-01-09 @ Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs L 61 - 83
2016-01-14 vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs W 91 - 86
2016-01-16 @ Presbyterian Blue Hose L 68 - 69
2016-01-20 vs Campbell Fighting Camels W 78 - 66
2016-01-23 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs - Postponed
2016-01-24 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 69 - 59
2016-01-27 @ Longwood Lancers W 90 - 81
2016-01-30 @ Winthrop Eagles L 77 - 87
2016-02-06 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 60 - 72
2016-02-11 @ UNC Asheville Bulldogs W 60 - 59
2016-02-13 vs Winthrop Eagles L 84 - 86
2016-02-18 @ Liberty Flames W 69 - 67
2016-02-20 vs High Point Panthers L 72 - 75
2016-02-25 @ Campbell Fighting Camels W 60 - 56
2016-02-27 vs Longwood Lancers L 81 - 92
2016-03-03 vs Presbyterian Blue Hose L 64 - 65

2016 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Rashun Davis Rashun Davis G 27 32.5 14.6 2.9 4.9 1.9 0.1 3.0 2.2 19.3 1 25 0.0 0.1 46.7 47.4 72.7 0.13 304.6 54.2
Cameron Jones Cameron Jones G 27 28.6 14.1 4.5 1.4 0.6 0.2 1.6 1.9 17.3 35 25 1.4 2.0 36.5 33.3 25.0 2.26 355.3 45.2
Ed Polite Ed Polite ATH 27 25.7 9.1 7.5 0.9 0.9 1.8 1.7 1.2 17.3 16 25 0.6 1.1 56.2 0 47.1 0.05 310.3 56.2
Y. Anderson Y. Anderson G 23 27.8 7.3 2.7 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.8 1.4 9.7 68 21 3.2 5.0 30.3 25.0 100.0 1.91 237.2 37.9
Brandon Holcomb Brandon Holcomb C 27 20.3 6.4 4.9 0.8 0.6 1.0 1.8 1.0 10.9 8 25 0.3 0.7 46.2 0 56.2 0.36 261.8 46.2
Kion Brown Kion Brown F 27 17.4 5.4 3.3 0.4 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.7 8.0 -11 25 -0.4 -1.1 57.9 0 66.7 -0.03 337.3 57.9
Justin Cousin Justin Cousin G 27 15.8 4.8 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.7 0.8 5.7 -131 25 -5.2 -13.7 40.9 40.0 60.0 -7.54 268.6 54.5
Taj Owens Taj Owens G 27 12.1 3.6 1.3 1.4 0.6 0.0 0.7 0.6 5.7 -33 25 -1.3 -4.9 53.3 40.0 83.3 -2.75 272.1 60.0
Caleb Tanner Caleb Tanner G 16 6.8 3.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.2 2.6 9 15 0.6 5.1 50.0 58.8 50.0 0.48 134.1 75.0
Darius Bolstad Darius Bolstad C 27 9.9 3.1 3.0 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.4 5.9 -12 25 -0.5 -2.2 50.0 0 0 -0.96 415.0 50.0
Christian Lutete Christian Lutete G 24 9.4 3.0 2.3 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.4 4.9 -22 22 -1.0 -4.8 22.2 0.0 0 -1.68 400.0 22.2
Sterling Christy Sterling Christy F 8 13.4 2.6 2.2 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.0 5.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kyle Gonzalez Kyle Gonzalez - 10 4.8 1.5 1.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.0 2.8 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Devin Cooper Devin Cooper G 10 4.0 1.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.7 5 10 0.5 7.0 50.0 50.0 0 -0.35 375.0 75.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG