RIT Tigers
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 750 (#629) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 833 (#557) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 813 (#748) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -11.4 (#354) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -13.0 (#580) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.333 (#574) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.207 (#533) | AdjNet -11.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.200 (#533) | AdjNet -11.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.303 (#541) | AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 80.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.328 (#647) | AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 79.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.201 (#660) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.212 (#663) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 732 (#596) | RD 103 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-05 | @ | Binghamton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-11 | @ | Nazareth | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Buffalo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | SUNY Geneseo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-24 | vs | Keuka | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-02 | vs | SUNY Brockport | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-05 | @ | Skidmore | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Bard | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | JWU Charlotte | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Chris. Newport | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Union (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-06 | vs | Rochester (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-09 | @ | Ithaca | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Hobart | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | Union (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-16 | vs | Vassar | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Rensselaer | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | St. Lawrence | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Clarkson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Hobart | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Ithaca | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-06 | vs | Clarkson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | St. Lawrence | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Moesch | - | 2 | 34.1 | 22.0 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 15.5 | 12.0 | 51 | 2.4 | 11.2 | 45.2 | 46.2 | 100.0 | 1.62 | 62.1 | 54.8 |
| Steve DeRegis | - | 1 | 22.6 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 17.0 | 75 | 3.8 | 15.2 | 77.8 | 80.0 | 66.7 | 2.46 | 96.9 | 100.0 |
| Monty Nedd | - | 2 | 30.2 | 16.5 | 6.5 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 12.5 | 13.0 | 68 | 3.4 | 23.3 | 32.0 | 0.0 | 70.8 | 0.32 | 46.4 | 32.0 |
| Dorian Paki | - | 2 | 27.2 | 16.0 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 10.5 | 30 | 1.4 | 8.2 | 54.2 | 0 | 54.5 | -0.6 | 55.5 | 54.2 |
| Muhsin Muhammad | - | 13 | 29.5 | 15.5 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 13.3 | 10.5 | 25 | 1.6 | 25.8 | 41.6 | 34.7 | 71.4 | 2.65 | 50.9 | 46.5 |
| Braeden Burns | - | 1 | 26.6 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 17.0 | 21 | 1.1 | 3.7 | 62.5 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -3.6 | 65.8 | 62.5 |
| Josiah Turner | - | 18 | 28.6 | 13.7 | 7.6 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 2.9 | 10.9 | 11.8 | 9 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 48.5 | 37.0 | 66.1 | 1.52 | 56.0 | 53.6 |
| Allen Mordi | - | 2 | 27.8 | 11.5 | 9.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 11.0 | 61 | 2.9 | 15.8 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 87.5 | 0.72 | 48.9 | 40.0 |
| Zac Ditzel | - | 18 | 29.1 | 11.2 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 9.6 | 7.6 | 31 | 1.5 | 9.5 | 41.9 | 40.2 | 64.1 | 1.64 | 53.4 | 51.5 |
| Tyson Maxam | - | 1 | 16.6 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 100.0 | -0.99 | 85.4 | 83.3 |
| Grayson Wallace | - | 1 | 18.4 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 11 | 0.6 | 6.9 | 57.1 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.51 | 78.6 | 78.6 |
| Brody Brown | - | 18 | 28.8 | 7.5 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 5.9 | 7.0 | 19 | 0.9 | 4.7 | 46.2 | 39.5 | 74.1 | 0.52 | 57.3 | 54.2 |
| Nigel Pierman | - | 17 | 17.1 | 7.2 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6.6 | 5.5 | -47 | -2.4 | -14.4 | 43.4 | 12.5 | 56.1 | -2.26 | 46.6 | 43.8 |
| Matt Toscano | - | 1 | 20.1 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 12 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.77 | 52.1 | 25.0 |
| Justin Price | - | 2 | 17.9 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 55 | 2.6 | 22.9 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 1.01 | 50.6 | 50.0 |
| Xavier Nelson | - | 18 | 16.5 | 4.8 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 4.3 | 4.2 | -55 | -2.6 | -16.6 | 37.7 | 25.0 | 77.8 | -3.21 | 48.4 | 42.2 |
| Gabriel Bergeron | - | 2 | 22.7 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 63 | 3.1 | 15.9 | 33.3 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 2.65 | 58.1 | 50.0 |
| Jackson Otis | - | 12 | 14.7 | 3.7 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 3.4 | 3.4 | -59 | -3.9 | -25.7 | 46.3 | 16.7 | 66.7 | -1.87 | 50.4 | 48.8 |
| Ben Rappa | - | 1 | 10.9 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | -41 | -2.0 | -19.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -3.41 | 104.2 | 100.0 |
| Elvis Lloyd | - | 1 | 10.9 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | -6 | -0.5 | -9.2 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -2.6 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Danny Cohen | - | 15 | 13.2 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 2.7 | 1.8 | -44 | -2.3 | -18.8 | 36.6 | 30.0 | 33.3 | 1.02 | 39.9 | 40.2 |
| Jaron Josephs | - | 8 | 7.2 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 3.2 | -22 | -2.8 | -44.9 | 52.6 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.97 | 54.0 | 55.3 |
| Nolan Smith | - | 18 | 15.8 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 3.3 | -27 | -1.4 | -17.8 | 37.0 | 32.4 | 33.3 | -2.67 | 48.6 | 48.9 |
| Jakob Harken | - | 13 | 6.5 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 | -54 | -3.4 | -143.7 | 31.8 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -3.28 | 37.9 | 31.8 |
| Axel Traina | - | 2 | 9.2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 61 | 3.6 | 112.4 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 4.04 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Marcus Graves | - | 9 | 6.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 0.2 | -31 | -2.6 | -72.0 | 31.2 | 21.4 | 0 | -2.1 | 40.6 | 40.6 |
| Jackson Carey | - | 2 | 7.6 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 34 | 1.8 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.66 | 34.7 | 0.0 |
| Niko Lutz | - | 2 | 13.6 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 24 | 1.1 | 16.6 | 20.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.21 | 15.8 | 20.0 |
| Joey Harris | - | 8 | 3.9 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | -6 | -0.6 | -13.8 | 30.0 | 16.7 | 0 | 0.23 | 35.0 | 35.0 |
| Brighton Langeneger | - | 4 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 21.0 | 0.0 |
| Christian Eziakor | - | 8 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Aydin Kocak | - | 1 | 13.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -2.0 | 69 | 3.5 | 21.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.66 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Lorenzo Rappa | - | 1 | 16.6 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 76 | 3.8 | 20.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.87 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Harrison Muntner | - | 2 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 44 | 2.1 | 24.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG