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RIT Tigers

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: RIT
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 836 (#588) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 846 (#553) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 813 (#748) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -9.2 (#248) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -13.0 (#580) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.333 (#574) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.7 More → 0.207 (#533) AdjNet -11.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -11.9 More → 0.200 (#533) AdjNet -11.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 80.8 More → 0.303 (#541) AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 80.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 79.0 More → 0.328 (#647) AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 79.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.201 (#660) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.212 (#663) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 103 | GP 23 More → 731 (#603) RD 103 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-05 @ Binghamton L 56 - 66
2025-11-11 @ Nazareth L 53 - 56
2025-11-15 @ Buffalo L 64 - 80
2025-11-18 vs SUNY Geneseo L 76 - 80
2025-11-24 vs Keuka W 65 - 58
2025-12-02 vs SUNY Brockport L 65 - 84
2025-12-05 @ Skidmore L 68 - 74
2025-12-06 @ Bard W 83 - 66
2025-12-29 @ JWU Charlotte W 71 - 66
2025-12-30 @ Chris. Newport L 59 - 68
2026-01-03 vs Union (NY) L 63 - 74
2026-01-06 vs Rochester (NY) W 87 - 83
2026-01-09 @ Ithaca L 72 - 101
2026-01-10 @ Hobart L 74 - 81
2026-01-13 @ Union (NY) L 90 - 94
2026-01-16 vs Vassar L 64 - 73
2026-01-17 vs Rensselaer L 62 - 79
2026-01-23 @ St. Lawrence L 60 - 75
2026-01-24 @ Clarkson L 64 - 86
2026-01-30 vs Hobart W 81 - 80
2026-01-31 vs Ithaca L 72 - 83
2026-02-06 vs Clarkson L 71 - 80
2026-02-07 vs St. Lawrence L 64 - 82

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Alex Moesch - 2 34.1 22.0 4.5 2.5 1.5 0.0 3.0 15.5 12.0 51 2.4 11.2 45.2 46.2 100.0 0.98 62.1 54.8
Steve DeRegis - 1 22.6 20.0 4.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 17.0 75 3.8 15.2 77.8 80.0 66.7 2.54 96.9 100.0
Monty Nedd - 2 30.2 16.5 6.5 4.0 1.5 0.0 3.0 12.5 13.0 68 3.4 23.3 32.0 0.0 70.8 -2.41 46.4 32.0
Dorian Paki - 2 27.2 16.0 5.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.0 12.0 10.5 30 1.4 8.2 54.2 0 54.5 0.98 55.5 54.2
Muhsin Muhammad - 15 28.3 14.7 5.5 1.7 1.6 0.7 1.8 12.5 9.8 25 1.6 25.8 42.0 37.0 72.4 1.91 51.5 47.3
Braeden Burns - 1 26.6 14.0 7.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 17.0 21 1.1 3.7 62.5 0.0 66.7 1.34 65.8 62.5
Josiah Turner - 20 28.8 13.9 7.3 2.3 0.7 1.1 2.9 10.9 11.6 9 0.4 2.2 48.9 35.1 66.7 2.89 56.0 53.4
Allen Mordi - 2 27.8 11.5 9.0 1.5 1.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 11.0 61 2.9 15.8 40.0 0.0 87.5 -0.34 48.9 40.0
Zac Ditzel - 20 29.4 11.1 4.5 1.6 0.6 0.5 1.2 9.8 7.3 31 1.5 9.5 41.0 38.2 64.3 0.4 51.8 49.7
Tyson Maxam - 1 16.6 11.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 7.0 1 0.1 0.3 66.7 66.7 100.0 -0.78 85.4 83.3
Grayson Wallace - 1 18.4 11.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 5.0 11 0.6 6.9 57.1 50.0 0 -0.8 78.6 78.6
Brody Brown - 20 28.2 7.2 2.9 2.2 0.7 0.7 1.4 5.7 6.6 19 0.9 4.7 45.1 41.3 75.9 1.02 56.9 53.5
Nigel Pierman - 19 17.6 6.8 3.5 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.2 6.6 5.2 -47 -2.4 -14.4 41.6 11.1 55.6 -1.21 44.9 42.0
Matt Toscano - 1 20.1 6.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 6.0 12 0.6 2.8 25.0 0.0 100.0 3.54 52.1 25.0
Justin Price - 2 17.9 5.5 2.5 2.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 5.0 4.0 55 2.6 22.9 40.0 33.3 50.0 0.25 50.6 50.0
Xavier Nelson - 20 16.4 4.7 3.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.6 4.2 4.0 -55 -2.6 -16.6 38.1 26.7 78.6 -2.27 48.8 42.9
Gabriel Bergeron - 2 22.7 4.0 4.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 3.0 5.0 63 3.1 15.9 33.3 40.0 100.0 1.38 58.1 50.0
Jackson Otis - 13 14.2 3.4 2.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.7 3.2 3.1 -59 -3.9 -25.7 46.3 16.7 66.7 -1.81 50.4 48.8
Ben Rappa - 1 10.9 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 -41 -2.0 -19.3 100.0 0 100.0 -2.5 104.2 100.0
Elvis Lloyd - 1 10.9 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 -6 -0.5 -9.2 25.0 33.3 0 -0.55 37.5 37.5
Nolan Smith - 20 16.1 2.8 2.6 0.8 0.3 0.5 0.9 2.8 3.2 -27 -1.4 -17.8 38.2 30.8 33.3 -2.21 48.8 49.1
Danny Cohen - 17 13.5 2.8 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.8 2.8 2.1 -44 -2.3 -18.8 40.4 36.4 33.3 -1.9 43.7 44.7
Jaron Josephs - 10 6.6 2.3 2.0 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.5 1.9 3.0 -22 -2.8 -44.9 52.6 25.0 66.7 -2.53 56.6 55.3
Jakob Harken - 15 6.2 1.6 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.6 1.2 -54 -3.4 -143.7 33.3 0.0 47.1 -1.83 38.1 33.3
Axel Traina - 2 9.2 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.5 61 3.6 112.4 100.0 100.0 0 2.58 150.0 150.0
Marcus Graves - 10 6.4 1.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.7 1.8 0.1 -31 -2.6 -72.0 27.8 18.8 0 -1.01 36.1 36.1
Jackson Carey - 2 7.6 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 34 1.8 50.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 -0.76 34.7 0.0
Niko Lutz - 2 13.6 1.0 2.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 2.5 2.0 24 1.1 16.6 20.0 0 0.0 -2.81 15.8 20.0
Joey Harris - 9 3.7 0.9 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.6 -6 -0.6 -13.8 30.0 16.7 50.0 0.86 36.8 35.0
Brighton Langeneger - 5 2.0 0.4 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.8 - - - 0.0 0 50.0 - 21.0 0.0
Christian Eziakor - 9 2.1 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Harrison Muntner - 2 4.2 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 0.0 44 2.1 24.7 0.0 0 0 -4.52 0.0 0.0
Aydin Kocak - 1 13.3 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -2.0 69 3.5 21.2 0.0 0.0 0 0.19 0.0 0.0
Lorenzo Rappa - 1 16.6 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 76 3.8 20.8 0.0 0.0 0 -0.08 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG