RATIOPHARM ULM
Model Outputs
2018-2019
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1046 (#8) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1079 (#7) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.2 (#9) | HCA +4.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.576 (#9) | - |
2019 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-10-02 | vs | SEGAFREDO VIRTUS BOLOGNA | L | 79 - 92 |
| 2019-10-09 | @ | MORABANC ANDORRA | L | 78 - 97 |
| 2019-10-16 | vs | PROMITHEAS PATRAS | L | 67 - 70 |
| 2019-10-23 | @ | AS MONACO | L | 65 - 82 |
| 2019-10-29 | vs | MACCABI RISHON LEZION | W | 103 - 89 |
| 2019-11-06 | @ | SEGAFREDO VIRTUS BOLOGNA | L | 91 - 92 |
| 2019-11-12 | vs | MORABANC ANDORRA | L | 87 - 99 |
| 2019-11-20 | @ | PROMITHEAS PATRAS | L | 77 - 82 |
| 2019-12-11 | vs | AS MONACO | L | 63 - 78 |
| 2019-12-18 | @ | MACCABI RISHON LEZION | L | 92 - 96 |
2019 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HAYES, KILLIAN | - | 10 | 26.8 | 12.8 | 2.3 | 6.2 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 3.3 | 10.1 | 9.6 | -24 | -2.4 | -3.6 | 45.5 | 39.0 | 90.9 | - | - | - |
| JERRETT, GRANT | - | 10 | 25.2 | 10.0 | 5.5 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 8.0 | 8.9 | -17 | -1.7 | -2.7 | 46.2 | 13.0 | 82.1 | - | - | - |
| OBST, ANDREAS | - | 10 | 25.1 | 10.6 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 4.1 | -30 | -3.0 | -4.8 | 42.5 | 42.0 | 94.4 | - | - | - |
| HINRICHS, SETH | - | 10 | 21.6 | 6.3 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 5.4 | -92 | -9.2 | -17.0 | 46.7 | 54.5 | 83.3 | - | - | - |
| WILLIS, DEREK | - | 9 | 22.1 | 10.4 | 5.4 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 7.1 | 10.3 | -28 | -3.1 | -5.6 | 53.1 | 57.1 | 90.9 | - | - | - |
| DRAGIC, ZORAN | - | 7 | 25.4 | 14.1 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 11.1 | 6.6 | -16 | -2.3 | -3.6 | 38.5 | 31.4 | 63.6 | - | - | - |
| HECKMANN, PATRICK | - | 10 | 12.9 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 3.5 | -59 | -5.9 | -18.3 | 61.9 | 55.6 | 100.0 | - | - | - |
| SCHILLING, GAVIN | - | 10 | 11.8 | 3.0 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 2.8 | 3.3 | -27 | -2.7 | -9.2 | 35.7 | 0.0 | 83.3 | - | - | - |
| PHILIPPS, CHRISTOPH | - | 10 | 10.8 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 1.9 | -19 | -1.9 | -7.1 | 41.2 | 16.7 | 50.0 | - | - | - |
| HARVEY, TYLER | - | 4 | 24.0 | 12.8 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 10.0 | 4.5 | -9 | -2.2 | -3.7 | 45.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | - | - |
| GUENTHER, PER | - | 8 | 11.7 | 4.2 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.6 | 2.2 | -23 | -2.9 | -9.8 | 44.8 | 43.8 | 50.0 | - | - | - |
| BRISCOE, ISAIAH | - | 3 | 24.6 | 11.7 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 3.7 | 10.3 | 4.3 | -36 | -12.0 | -19.5 | 32.3 | 35.7 | 83.3 | - | - | - |
| UGRAI, MAXIMILIAN | - | 9 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 10 | 1.1 | 18.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| KRAUSE, KRISTOFER | - | 4 | 5.2 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 0.2 | -3 | -0.8 | -5.7 | 42.9 | 66.7 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| DIALLO, NAT | - | 1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2 | -2.0 | -252.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| ENSMINGER, ZACHARY | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG