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Raptors 905

Model Outputs

2015-2016
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1103 (#5) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1026 (#9) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -0.7 (#10) HCA +2.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.459 (#11) -

2016 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2015-11-14 @ FWN L 80 - 83
2015-11-15 @ FWN L 92 - 112
2015-11-19 vs MNE L 104 - 109
2015-11-20 @ MNE L 93 - 112
2015-11-22 @ MNE W 96 - 87
2015-11-25 vs IDA W 93 - 91
2015-11-29 vs DEL L 109 - 125
2015-12-05 vs GRD L 99 - 128
2015-12-09 vs ERI W 101 - 80
2015-12-11 vs MNE L 95 - 96
2015-12-13 vs WES L 101 - 107
2015-12-16 vs GRD W 100 - 86
2015-12-19 vs DEL L 115 - 124
2015-12-20 vs DEL W 105 - 94
2015-12-22 @ SXF L 102 - 111
2015-12-26 @ CTN L 90 - 105
2015-12-30 vs LAD L 110 - 111
2015-12-31 vs SXF L 105 - 119
2016-01-02 vs SXF L 88 - 104
2016-01-07 vs SXF L 83 - 102
2016-01-09 @ RGV L 119 - 125
2016-01-12 @ SXF L 101 - 102
2016-01-15 @ DEL L 104 - 119
2016-01-16 vs WES W 107 - 94
2016-01-18 @ IWA W 98 - 94
2016-01-21 @ ERI W 111 - 91
2016-01-22 @ WES W 120 - 112
2016-01-27 vs ERI W 97 - 96
2016-01-29 @ DEL W 132 - 127
2016-01-30 @ ERI L 83 - 100
2016-02-05 @ TEX W 136 - 80
2016-02-06 @ OKL L 90 - 101
2016-02-17 @ WES W 98 - 89
2016-02-20 @ CTN L 88 - 106
2016-02-21 vs CTN L 93 - 116
2016-02-23 @ IWA L 100 - 110
2016-02-26 @ DEL W 132 - 114
2016-02-28 @ ERI W 113 - 111
2016-03-03 vs FWN L 125 - 127
2016-03-05 vs MNE L 106 - 122
2016-03-11 vs IWA W 102 - 98
2016-03-12 vs IWA L 77 - 104
2016-03-14 vs FWN W 101 - 84
2016-03-19 vs ERI W 108 - 104
2016-03-20 @ MNE W 114 - 110
2016-03-24 @ WES W 114 - 113
2016-03-26 vs WES L 98 - 103
2016-03-28 @ GRD W 136 - 105
2016-03-30 @ GRD W 108 - 92
2016-04-01 vs CTN W 107 - 105

2016 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Norman Powell G 8 0.0 24.9 5.1 4.6 2.1 0.2 4.1 19.0 13.9 - - - 50.0 33.3 79.6 - 57.3 52.6
Ronald Roberts Jr. G 24 0.0 18.1 12.1 1.3 0.8 1.5 2.0 11.8 20.0 - - - 61.7 0 71.9 - 64.9 61.7
Scott Suggs G 50 0.0 18.0 3.4 1.9 0.7 0.2 2.3 14.3 7.6 - - - 44.1 41.9 88.9 - 57.5 53.4
Davion Berry G 10 0.0 17.9 2.6 3.7 1.1 0.1 2.0 11.5 11.9 - - - 55.7 51.4 78.0 - 67.3 63.9
Delon Wright G 15 0.0 17.7 5.0 6.5 1.6 0.6 2.7 12.1 16.6 - - - 53.6 36.0 80.6 - 63.2 58.6
Bruno Caboclo F 37 0.0 14.7 6.5 1.7 1.1 1.8 2.1 12.9 10.7 - - - 40.3 33.5 72.7 - 52.0 49.2
E.J. Singler - 10 0.0 14.7 7.5 3.4 0.7 0.4 1.5 10.8 14.4 - - - 48.1 47.5 73.7 - 63.2 61.6
Axel Toupane G 32 0.0 14.6 5.6 3.6 1.0 0.2 2.8 10.9 11.2 - - - 42.9 31.3 78.6 - 55.2 48.0
Greg Smith F 16 0.0 12.4 8.3 2.2 1.1 0.2 1.4 9.6 13.3 - - - 51.0 0.0 56.6 - 53.4 51.0
Lucas Nogueira F 10 0.0 10.0 6.9 2.9 0.7 1.4 2.0 7.4 12.5 - - - 55.4 27.3 78.9 - 60.7 57.4
Sim Bhullar C 39 0.0 9.6 6.9 1.1 0.5 1.3 1.5 5.9 12.1 - - - 65.8 0 57.1 - 65.6 65.8
Melvin Johnson III - 30 0.0 9.4 3.3 0.8 0.7 0.1 1.3 7.8 5.2 - - - 41.2 41.1 71.4 - 54.3 51.1
Anthony Bennett F 6 0.0 9.2 3.2 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.8 9.3 4.5 - - - 33.9 25.0 78.6 - 44.2 39.3
Shannon Scott G 48 0.0 9.2 3.9 5.7 1.6 0.1 2.5 8.6 9.4 - - - 39.9 31.9 73.9 - 48.6 45.3
Jay Harris - 20 0.0 6.7 1.9 2.3 0.5 0.1 1.7 6.2 3.4 - - - 37.9 37.5 80.0 - 48.5 44.0
John Jordan - 14 0.0 4.1 1.7 1.7 0.5 0.0 1.4 3.3 3.3 - - - 41.3 9.1 64.3 - 48.9 42.4
Nick Wiggins - 10 0.0 4.0 1.7 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.6 4.9 1.0 - - - 32.7 25.0 57.1 - 38.4 36.7
Michale Kyser F 43 0.0 3.9 3.5 0.3 0.3 0.8 0.5 3.6 4.8 - - - 46.8 0.0 67.6 - 49.4 46.8
DeAndre Daniels F 8 0.0 2.9 3.2 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.8 4.4 2.0 - - - 22.9 26.7 50.0 - 30.6 28.6
Keanau Post F 36 0.0 2.8 2.4 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.2 2.8 - - - 58.2 0 61.5 - 59.0 58.2
Ashton Smith - 24 0.0 2.5 1.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.9 2.4 1.6 - - - 38.6 33.3 57.1 - 47.5 45.6
Walter Pitchford F 5 0.0 2.2 4.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.8 3.4 2.8 - - - 23.5 12.5 50.0 - 29.3 26.5
Mike Anderson - 1 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG