Quincy
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 971 (#352) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1019 (#257) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1065 (#113) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.1 (#138) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +5.9 (#271) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.584 (#328) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.489 (#282) | NetEff -0.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.804 (#272) | AdjNet +12.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.822 (#267) | AdjNet +13.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.668 (#277) | AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 64.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.577 (#203) | AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 59.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.637 (#241) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.635 (#238) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1042 (#216) | RD 98 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Cedarville | W | 71 - 57 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Ursuline | W | 78 - 61 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Mo. Southern St. | L | 68 - 86 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Purdue Northwest | W | 80 - 62 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Emporia St. | L | 62 - 75 |
| 2025-12-01 | vs | Upper Iowa | L | 83 - 91 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Missouri S&T | W | 74 - 67 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Drury | L | 67 - 74 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Grand Valley St. | L | 46 - 91 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Mo.-St. Louis | L | 61 - 62 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | UIndy | W | 71 - 58 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Upper Iowa | W | 58 - 54 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Truman St. | L | 51 - 79 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | William Jewell | W | 70 - 52 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Rockhurst | W | 64 - 48 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Southwest Baptist | W | 68 - 65 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Drury | L | 56 - 64 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Missouri S&T | W | 61 - 56 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katey Flynn | - | 18 | 32.9 | 13.3 | 4.4 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 9.0 | 11.3 | 74 | 3.5 | 12.8 | 47.5 | 41.8 | 78.8 | 1.12 | 60.9 | 54.6 |
| Hayven Harden | - | 14 | 21.2 | 10.3 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 7.6 | 7.8 | 21 | 1.2 | 7.1 | 66.0 | 0 | 23.5 | -0.52 | 63.4 | 66.0 |
| Acheampomaa Danso | - | 14 | 22.0 | 9.3 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 2.9 | 7.0 | 7.4 | -26 | -1.5 | -6.6 | 56.1 | 0 | 66.7 | -0.15 | 58.5 | 56.1 |
| Blair Eftink | - | 18 | 23.4 | 8.6 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 6.7 | 5.1 | 35 | 1.8 | 7.5 | 44.6 | 40.2 | 86.7 | -1.99 | 60.3 | 58.3 |
| Hampton Williams | - | 18 | 27.0 | 8.4 | 5.4 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 7.7 | 6.8 | 63 | 3.0 | 12.8 | 39.9 | 25.0 | 59.6 | -1.26 | 46.6 | 42.8 |
| Karly Peters | - | 18 | 31.0 | 7.4 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 2.9 | 6.7 | 5.7 | 8 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 37.5 | 18.4 | 61.0 | 1.45 | 45.6 | 40.4 |
| Reagan Reed | - | 18 | 20.1 | 4.8 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 4.2 | 4.4 | -27 | -1.3 | -7.7 | 35.5 | 36.4 | 61.5 | -1.87 | 46.2 | 40.8 |
| Sydney Runsewe | - | 18 | 14.5 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 4.1 | 2.3 | 29 | 1.4 | 16.6 | 39.2 | 31.5 | 66.7 | -0.7 | 51.9 | 50.7 |
| Olivia Lawson | - | 11 | 9.3 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 13 | 1.0 | 20.8 | 37.5 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 1.7 | 45.0 | 43.8 |
| Madeline Casey | - | 16 | 11.0 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 16 | 0.8 | 7.0 | 40.6 | 30.4 | 0 | 2.13 | 51.6 | 51.6 |
| Katrina Stack | - | 8 | 6.6 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.6 | -13 | -1.3 | -22.2 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.72 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Brynlee Clarke | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kamora Davis | - | 1 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -2.0 | 19 | 0.9 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.94 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Liv Vaughan | - | 1 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG