Quincy
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 935 (#344) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1048 (#178) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 916 (#522) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +9.9 (#105) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +4.1 (#260) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.351 (#411) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.984 (#110) | NetEff +35.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.732 (#276) | AdjNet +8.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.736 (#277) | AdjNet +8.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.639 (#286) | AdjO 79.0 | AdjD 72.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.538 (#233) | AdjO 73.8 | AdjD 72.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.574 (#262) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.550 (#276) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 941 (#285) | RD 96 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Cedarville | W | 89 - 80 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Findlay | L | 74 - 75 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Hannibal-La Grange | W | 83 - 51 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Missouri Western | L | 80 - 82 |
| 2025-11-24 | @ | Pittsburg St. | W | 80 - 74 |
| 2025-12-01 | vs | Upper Iowa | L | 92 - 96 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Missouri S&T | L | 72 - 82 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Drury | W | 72 - 55 |
| 2025-12-12 | @ | Mo. Southern St. | L | 84 - 87 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Hillsdale | W | 63 - 61 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Roosevelt | W | 67 - 57 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Mo.-St. Louis | L | 60 - 93 |
| 2026-01-04 | @ | Lincoln (MO) | W | 65 - 60 |
| 2026-01-08 | vs | Ill. Springfield | L | 60 - 91 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | UIndy | L | 76 - 82 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Upper Iowa | W | 85 - 66 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Truman St. | L | 88 - 91 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | William Jewell | L | 51 - 63 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Rockhurst | L | 69 - 82 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Southwest Baptist | L | 58 - 84 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Drury | L | 85 - 87 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Missouri S&T | L | 74 - 83 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiernan Stynes | - | 22 | 32.5 | 14.6 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 10.8 | -31 | -1.4 | -5.2 | 48.8 | 34.3 | 77.4 | 0.11 | 59.6 | 56.4 |
| Camren Kincaid | - | 22 | 32.7 | 13.9 | 5.1 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 10.3 | -37 | -1.7 | -6.7 | 44.8 | 35.1 | 78.3 | -1.53 | 55.7 | 47.7 |
| Ethan Bolton | - | 22 | 30.0 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 8.1 | 11.2 | -1 | -0.0 | -0.2 | 55.1 | 34.0 | 78.7 | 2.22 | 65.4 | 59.8 |
| Max Booher | - | 14 | 26.1 | 11.3 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 8.6 | 5.1 | 16 | 1.2 | 14.7 | 42.5 | 36.0 | 96.7 | -0.78 | 59.3 | 53.8 |
| Ethyn Brown | - | 9 | 26.8 | 11.1 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 3.1 | 8.8 | 6.2 | -44 | -4.9 | -8.3 | 34.2 | 28.6 | 81.0 | 0.51 | 51.3 | 41.8 |
| Jakeb Wallingford | - | 22 | 27.7 | 6.6 | 6.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5.3 | 9.3 | -47 | -2.1 | -9.1 | 50.0 | 28.6 | 57.1 | -2.78 | 53.1 | 50.9 |
| Herbert Martin III | - | 22 | 12.7 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 3.5 | 2.7 | -84 | -3.8 | -41.3 | 42.9 | 20.0 | 71.9 | 0.04 | 50.5 | 44.8 |
| Owen Duff | - | 19 | 15.7 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 4.0 | 1.2 | -42 | -2.2 | -17.6 | 30.3 | 30.4 | 60.0 | 0.15 | 42.9 | 41.4 |
| Lorenzo McMillion Jr | - | 21 | 8.7 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 48.1 | 36.0 | 75.0 | - | 58.2 | 56.5 |
| Jacob Collicott | - | 3 | 10.6 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 3.7 | 4.7 | -7 | -3.5 | -9.3 | 36.4 | 33.3 | 0.0 | -0.94 | 36.5 | 40.9 |
| Preston Brewer | - | 19 | 9.0 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 2.3 | 1.6 | -36 | -2.0 | -42.1 | 39.5 | 11.1 | 63.2 | -0.63 | 45.8 | 40.7 |
| Nelson Johnson Jr | - | 18 | 9.1 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 2.2 | - | - | - | 52.6 | 0 | 40.0 | - | 51.9 | 52.6 |
| Trace Combs | - | 4 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 4 | 1.3 | 145.5 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.14 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG