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Queens University Royals

Also known as: Queens University Royals
Program History

2026-2027 Team Stats (5 games)

89.2
PPG
100.2
Opp
-11.0
Margin
48.9%
FG%
34.4%
3P%
73.9%
FT%
31.0
RPG
16.4
APG
11.2
TO
75.1
Est. poss./game
79.2
Adj PPG
86.4
Adj Opp PPG
#236
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 1010 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1023, returning +99, transfers -71, freshmen -41 More โ†’ 1015 (#130) Preseason prior 1010 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1023, returning +99, transfers -71, freshmen -41
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +206 elo More โ†’ 1030 (#123) HCA +206 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +205 elo More โ†’ 1029 (#124) HCA +205 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More โ†’ -8.0 (#270) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.2 More โ†’ -7.9 (#269) HCA +2.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.296 (#231) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.1 More โ†’ 0.362 (#240) AdjNet -12.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -12.1 More โ†’ 0.361 (#243) AdjNet -12.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 79.2 | AdjD 86.4 More โ†’ 0.404 (#236) AdjO 79.2 | AdjD 86.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 79.2 | AdjD 86.3 More โ†’ 0.404 (#237) AdjO 79.2 | AdjD 86.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.405 (#209) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.405 (#209) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 165 | GP 4 More โ†’ 1031 (#128) RD 165 | GP 4
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More โ†’ 0.446 (#173) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

Rank through the season

League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.

Recency Ensemble Log Adjusted Elo Points Off/Def Recency

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs Winthrop Eagles W 103 - 98
2026-11-04 @ Loyola Marymount Lions W 96 - 95
2026-11-06 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys L 68 - 118
2026-11-10 @ BYU Cougars L 82 - 98
2026-11-14 vs Wofford Terriers W 97 - 92
2026-11-21 @ LSU Tigers - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nasir Mann Nasir Mann G 5 34.2 18.2 3.6 2.4 1.6 0.4 2.2 11.2 12.8 - - - - 57.1 52.0 93.3 - 72.7 68.8
Jordan Watford Jordan Watford G 5 30.6 14.6 3.6 5.6 0.8 0.4 2.6 10.4 12.0 - - - - 48.1 12.5 66.7 - 54.9 49.0
Caleb Jones Caleb Jones G 5 21.8 14.0 3.2 2.6 1.8 0.0 1.8 8.6 11.2 - - - - 58.1 50.0 91.7 - 72.5 68.6
Avantae Parker Avantae Parker F 5 23.8 12.6 3.8 1.8 1.0 1.6 1.6 9.2 10.0 - - - - 47.8 28.6 81.0 - 57.0 50.0
Isaiah Henry Isaiah Henry G 5 27.4 10.0 5.2 1.8 1.2 0.0 0.8 8.8 8.6 - - - - 40.9 26.7 58.8 - 48.6 45.5
Rickey Ballard Rickey Ballard F 5 20.6 6.6 1.8 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.4 5.0 4.6 - - - - 36.0 37.5 75.0 - 57.9 54.0
Dante Kearse Dante Kearse G 5 14.8 5.0 2.8 0.4 0.6 0.0 1.0 3.6 4.2 - - - - 50.0 30.0 80.0 - 61.9 58.3
Nicholas McLean Nicholas McLean F 5 17.0 4.4 1.6 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.8 4.8 2.0 - - - - 41.7 13.3 0.0 - 45.0 45.8
Atakan Bicer Atakan Bicer F 4 7.8 3.2 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.8 2.5 - - - - 85.7 0 50.0 - 82.5 85.7
Matthew Walter Matthew Walter G 1 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 - - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 150.0 150.0
Corbin Pack Corbin Pack G 1 9.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 66.7 - 18.8 0.0
Jack Walter Jack Walter G 1 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - - 0 0 50.0 - 56.8 0
Reid Celestin Reid Celestin F 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Tyler Crider Tyler Crider G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Seamus Wilson Seamus Wilson G 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Saif-Allah Zatari Saif-Allah Zatari G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Julius Matusek Julius Matusek F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Josh Osayanrhion Josh Osayanrhion F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Matthew Sullivan Matthew Sullivan G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

320 located field-goal attempts in 5 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Watford22% Watford22% Parker33% Mann75% Ballard60% Henry50% Mann36% Parker20% Mann43%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Watford39% Parker24% Henry33% Mann100% Henry33% Ballard36% Henry53% Ballard29% Parker30% Mann25%
Misses: who misses most here

Nasir MannJordan WatfordAvantae ParkerIsaiah HenryRickey Ballard

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 55-83 66.3 110 Jordan Watford 22% (24 pts) Avantae Parker 18% (20 pts) Jordan Watford 39% (11 misses) Avantae Parker 29% (8 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 51-93 54.8 102 Jordan Watford 22% (22 pts) Caleb Jones 20% (20 pts) Avantae Parker 24% (10 misses) Isaiah Henry 24% (10 misses)
Mid-range left 3-6 50.0 6 Avantae Parker 33% (2 pts) Jordan Watford 33% (2 pts) Isaiah Henry 33% (1 misses) Jordan Watford 33% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 0-1 0.0 0 - - Nasir Mann 100% (1 misses) -
Mid-range right 4-10 40.0 8 Nasir Mann 75% (6 pts) Isaiah Henry 25% (2 pts) Isaiah Henry 33% (2 misses) Nasir Mann 33% (2 misses)
Left corner 3 10-24 41.7 30 Rickey Ballard 60% (18 pts) Nasir Mann 20% (6 pts) Rickey Ballard 36% (5 misses) Caleb Jones 14% (2 misses)
Right corner 3 4-19 21.1 12 Isaiah Henry 50% (6 pts) Caleb Jones 25% (3 pts) Isaiah Henry 53% (8 misses) Dante Kearse 13% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 left 11-39 28.2 33 Nasir Mann 36% (12 pts) Caleb Jones 18% (6 pts) Rickey Ballard 29% (8 misses) Nicholas McLean 25% (7 misses)
Above-break 3 center 5-15 33.3 15 Avantae Parker 20% (3 pts) Caleb Jones 20% (3 pts) Avantae Parker 30% (3 misses) Nasir Mann 30% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 right 14-30 46.7 42 Nasir Mann 43% (18 pts) Caleb Jones 29% (12 pts) Nasir Mann 25% (4 misses) Nicholas McLean 25% (4 misses)