Queens (NC)
Model Outputs
2022-2023
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 847 (#236) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 828 (#250) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 933 (#223) | HCA +69 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -9.8 (#269) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -6.6 (#255) | HCA +2.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.231 (#231) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.147 (#269) | AdjNet -15.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.143 (#269) | AdjNet -15.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.313 (#266) | AdjO 55.2 | AdjD 63.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.400 (#231) | AdjO 56.1 | AdjD 60.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.270 (#262) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.286 (#261) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 853 (#233) | RD 146 | GP 27 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | Legacy estimate | Earlier model estimate; no qualified current forecast. |
2022-2023 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-12 | @ | Chestnut Hill | L | 45 - 86 |
| 2022-11-13 | @ | Jefferson | L | 56 - 79 |
| 2022-11-17 | vs | Post | L | 60 - 61 |
| 2022-11-22 | @ | Bloomfield | W | 74 - 60 |
| 2022-11-26 | vs | Felician | L | 45 - 68 |
| 2022-11-27 | @ | Alliance | W | 68 - 54 |
| 2022-12-02 | @ | D'Youville | L | 49 - 56 |
| 2022-12-04 | @ | Daemen | L | 43 - 61 |
| 2022-12-09 | vs | Roberts Wesleyan | W | 61 - 58 |
| 2022-12-17 | vs | Assumption | L | 76 - 81 |
| 2022-12-29 | @ | Stonehill | L | 71 - 82 |
| 2023-01-04 | vs | Molloy | W | 54 - 46 |
| 2023-01-07 | @ | Franklin Pierce | L | 63 - 69 |
| 2023-01-11 | vs | Staten Island | W | 66 - 55 |
| 2023-01-14 | @ | Dist. Columbia | L | 62 - 73 |
| 2023-01-18 | vs | St. Thomas Aquinas | L | 50 - 60 |
| 2023-01-21 | @ | Mercy | L | 48 - 50 |
| 2023-01-24 | @ | American Int'l | L | 55 - 57 |
| 2023-01-27 | vs | D'Youville | W | 66 - 63 |
| 2023-01-29 | vs | Daemen | L | 52 - 74 |
| 2023-02-04 | @ | Molloy | L | 52 - 54 |
| 2023-02-08 | @ | Staten Island | L | 46 - 57 |
| 2023-02-11 | vs | Dist. Columbia | W | 48 - 47 |
| 2023-02-15 | @ | Wilmington (DE) | W | 70 - 40 |
| 2023-02-18 | @ | Roberts Wesleyan | L | 53 - 65 |
| 2023-02-22 | @ | St. Thomas Aquinas | L | 46 - 69 |
| 2023-02-25 | vs | Mercy | L | 52 - 66 |
| 2023-03-01 | @ | Mercy | W | 57 - 52 |
| 2023-03-04 | @ | St. Thomas Aquinas | L | 48 - 55 |
2022-2023 Roster
No roster data available for this season.