Purdue
Model Outputs
2002-2003
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1234 (#51) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1183 (#48) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1054 (#90) | HCA +112 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +13.8 (#26) | HCA +3.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +13.1 (#25) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.750 (#36) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.925 (#23) | AdjNet +21.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.928 (#23) | AdjNet +22.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.763 (#25) | AdjO 74.4 | AdjD 61.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.677 (#32) | AdjO 70.2 | AdjD 62.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.792 (#29) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.777 (#33) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1199 (#47) | RD 106 | GP 30 |
2003 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002-11-22 | vs | Miami (OH) | W | 73 - 46 |
| 2002-11-30 | N | Louisville | W | 86 - 84 |
| 2002-12-03 | @ | Xavier | L | 59 - 74 |
| 2002-12-06 | vs | Middle Tennessee | W | 85 - 56 |
| 2002-12-07 | vs | San Diego | W | 95 - 65 |
| 2002-12-14 | N | Indiana | L | 63 - 66 |
| 2002-12-18 | vs | Belmont | W | 78 - 61 |
| 2002-12-21 | N | Arizona State | L | 53 - 70 |
| 2002-12-28 | vs | Valparaiso | W | 87 - 55 |
| 2002-12-30 | vs | Colorado State | W | 84 - 56 |
| 2003-01-04 | vs | Montana | W | 84 - 66 |
| 2003-01-11 | vs | Northwestern | W | 82 - 68 |
| 2003-01-14 | vs | Michigan State | W | 72 - 60 |
| 2003-01-18 | @ | Penn State | W | 82 - 78 |
| 2003-01-22 | @ | Illinois | L | 62 - 75 |
| 2003-01-25 | vs | Indiana | W | 69 - 47 |
| 2003-01-29 | vs | Ohio State | W | 70 - 65 |
| 2003-02-01 | @ | Iowa | W | 80 - 77 |
| 2003-02-05 | vs | Wisconsin | W | 78 - 60 |
| 2003-02-08 | @ | Minnesota | L | 68 - 90 |
| 2003-02-12 | @ | Northwestern | L | 67 - 78 |
| 2003-02-15 | vs | Illinois | W | 70 - 61 |
| 2003-02-19 | vs | Michigan | L | 67 - 78 |
| 2003-02-22 | @ | Ohio State | L | 44 - 52 |
| 2003-02-26 | vs | Penn State | W | 79 - 55 |
| 2003-03-01 | @ | Michigan State | L | 61 - 69 |
| 2003-03-08 | @ | Michigan | W | 69 - 61 |
| 2003-03-14 | N | Michigan State | L | 42 - 54 |
| 2003-03-21 | N | Louisiana State | W | 80 - 56 |
| 2003-03-23 | N | Texas | L | 67 - 77 |
2003 Roster
No roster data available for this season.