Purdue Northwest
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 765 (#522) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 828 (#489) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 767 (#689) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -6.7 (#231) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -13.1 (#543) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.104 (#534) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.060 (#413) | NetEff -22.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.483 (#414) | AdjNet -0.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.499 (#410) | AdjNet -0.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.468 (#438) | AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 70.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.191 (#665) | AdjO 57.8 | AdjD 73.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.192 (#607) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.178 (#619) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 700 (#503) | RD 105 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Tiffin | W | 70 - 65 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Hillsdale | L | 59 - 77 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Ill. Springfield | L | 75 - 85 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | McKendree | L | 72 - 78 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Quincy | L | 62 - 80 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Mo.-St. Louis | L | 43 - 73 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Ferris St. | L | 43 - 97 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | UIndy | W | 84 - 77 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Thomas More | L | 67 - 68 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Lake Superior St. | W | 70 - 66 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Grand Valley St. | L | 61 - 89 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Roosevelt | L | 64 - 74 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Wis.-Parkside | L | 46 - 92 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Northern Mich. | L | 54 - 94 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Michigan Tech | L | 46 - 73 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Wayne St. (MI) | L | 68 - 89 |
| 2026-02-02 | @ | Ferris St. | L | 52 - 100 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Grand Valley St. | L | 44 - 91 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Davenport | L | 46 - 55 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Riley | - | 1 | 21.0 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 14.0 | 16.0 | 129 | 7.6 | 42.9 | 50.0 | 20.0 | 100.0 | 1.2 | 57.1 | 53.6 |
| Mya Hiram | - | 1 | 15.0 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 105 | 6.2 | 41.0 | 58.3 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.52 | 60.3 | 62.5 |
| Alyssa Cole | - | 18 | 33.7 | 13.7 | 6.4 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 2.8 | 10.4 | 11.1 | -222 | -10.6 | -31.0 | 42.0 | 33.0 | 86.6 | -0.76 | 56.6 | 50.0 |
| Mara Mitchell | - | 1 | 18.0 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 52 | 3.2 | 35.3 | 85.7 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.75 | 87.4 | 85.7 |
| Alyssa Wirth | - | 1 | 15.0 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | -17 | -1.5 | -22.6 | 55.6 | 100.0 | 33.3 | -1.36 | 63.0 | 66.7 |
| Ciara Sims | - | 18 | 26.9 | 10.8 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 9.8 | 4.4 | -156 | -7.4 | -26.7 | 44.1 | 21.6 | 83.8 | -0.83 | 50.4 | 46.3 |
| Riley Milausnic | - | 18 | 26.7 | 10.2 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 8.8 | 3.4 | -183 | -8.7 | -32.8 | 35.4 | 35.2 | 82.0 | -4.12 | 51.1 | 45.3 |
| Kadyn Blanchard | - | 1 | 16.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 18.0 | 143 | 8.4 | 43.4 | 57.1 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.33 | 60.1 | 57.1 |
| Cameryn Phillips | - | 18 | 35.4 | 9.8 | 2.1 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 9.9 | 2.8 | -177 | -8.4 | -24.1 | 34.6 | 36.4 | 71.4 | -0.03 | 46.0 | 43.6 |
| Kenzie Garner | - | 1 | 17.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 17 | 4.2 | 50.8 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 0 | 0.31 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Emma Schierbeek | - | 1 | 17.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 84 | 4.9 | 49.2 | 50.0 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.9 | 58.3 | 58.3 |
| Claire Erickson | - | 1 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | -69 | -3.8 | -16.7 | 75.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.6 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Caley Strahan | - | 17 | 18.9 | 4.5 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 3.9 | 4.9 | -156 | -7.8 | -41.3 | 45.5 | 25.0 | 73.7 | -4.7 | 51.8 | 47.7 |
| Zoe Spellman | - | 18 | 10.8 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 4.2 | 2.2 | -97 | -4.6 | -37.4 | 44.0 | 20.0 | 76.9 | -0.62 | 47.7 | 44.7 |
| Charlotte Miller | - | 1 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 41 | 2.4 | 14.1 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.48 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Melena Glysch | - | 1 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 40 | 2.9 | 47.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.61 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Elle Irwin | - | 1 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 190 | 11.2 | 58.2 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 2.63 | 21.8 | 16.7 |
| Aniyah Bishop | - | 18 | 18.5 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1.8 | -32 | -1.5 | -7.7 | 38.5 | 33.3 | 46.7 | -0.84 | 41.7 | 39.7 |
| Nadia Clayton | - | 12 | 9.5 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.6 | -49 | -3.3 | -27.4 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 58.8 | -1.52 | 36.5 | 27.1 |
| Thaya Luse | - | 17 | 12.6 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 2.0 | -34 | -1.7 | -16.3 | 27.6 | 23.5 | 50.0 | 1.31 | 36.9 | 34.5 |
| Sophia Remmel | - | 18 | 11.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 0.2 | -80 | -3.8 | -40.9 | 20.4 | 17.4 | 0 | -1.88 | 24.5 | 24.5 |
| Bryn Leonard | - | 10 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.3 | -0.1 | -29 | -2.4 | -58.9 | 23.1 | 0.0 | 57.1 | -1.39 | 31.1 | 23.1 |
| Tristan Stoutermire | - | 2 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.38 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ally Schultz | - | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 23 | 1.4 | 18.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.89 | 0 | 0 |
| Grace Lyons | - | 1 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 25 | 1.6 | 18.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.84 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG