Purdue Northwest
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1040 (#148) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1080 (#130) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1013 (#223) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +10.8 (#114) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +11.3 (#142) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.450 (#369) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.091 (#280) | NetEff -20.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.823 (#219) | AdjNet +13.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.830 (#220) | AdjNet +13.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.718 (#219) | AdjO 81.8 | AdjD 71.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.663 (#92) | AdjO 75.7 | AdjD 68.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.729 (#116) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.716 (#118) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1078 (#151) | RD 96 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | William Jewell | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Rockhurst | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Upper Iowa | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Truman St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-28 | vs | IU Columbus | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-02 | vs | Wayne St. (MI) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Ferris St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | Truman St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Lincoln (MO) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Lake Superior St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-04 | @ | Saginaw Valley | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-08 | @ | Davenport | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Grand Valley St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Roosevelt | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Wis.-Parkside | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Northern Mich. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Michigan Tech | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Wayne St. (MI) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-02 | @ | Ferris St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Grand Valley St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Davenport | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Ross | - | 21 | 27.9 | 14.8 | 7.5 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 10.4 | 13.6 | -12 | -0.6 | -2.3 | 56.2 | 50.0 | 65.6 | 0.79 | 60.1 | 57.5 |
| Kevin Taylor | - | 20 | 28.1 | 10.8 | 5.6 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 8.2 | 10.4 | -20 | -0.9 | -4.8 | 46.3 | 35.2 | 73.9 | -1.11 | 58.9 | 55.8 |
| Kwat Abdelkarim | - | 20 | 20.3 | 9.4 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 5.9 | 7.0 | 17 | 0.8 | 3.9 | 46.6 | 40.5 | 82.1 | -0.42 | 65.9 | 60.2 |
| Davontae Hall | - | 20 | 21.0 | 8.3 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 7.0 | 5.2 | -33 | -1.6 | -11.8 | 44.6 | 36.1 | 83.3 | 3.12 | 53.9 | 49.3 |
| Aaiden Ashton | - | 20 | 29.9 | 7.9 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 6.5 | 5.8 | -48 | -2.2 | -10.4 | 39.5 | 34.4 | 59.6 | -1.4 | 51.3 | 48.1 |
| Garrett Clark | - | 21 | 28.4 | 7.7 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 6.1 | 5.9 | -16 | -0.8 | -3.1 | 41.9 | 43.1 | 81.5 | 0.76 | 57.1 | 53.9 |
| Ahlante Askew | - | 19 | 20.9 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 3.7 | -22 | -1.1 | -4.9 | 31.4 | 31.8 | 66.7 | 0.26 | 47.1 | 43.6 |
| Pat Robinson | - | 18 | 8.7 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 19 | 1.1 | 31.1 | 51.1 | 33.3 | 62.2 | 1.02 | 57.7 | 53.2 |
| Trevon Stoutermire | - | 14 | 8.0 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 9 | 1.3 | 41.0 | 51.2 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 1.47 | 52.0 | 51.2 |
| Andres Arellano Jr. | - | 21 | 10.8 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 32.3 | 28.1 | 67.6 | 0.09 | 46.8 | 39.5 |
| Zach Hayslett | - | 12 | 7.7 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 40 | 3.3 | 139.1 | 34.9 | 20.0 | 63.6 | 3.26 | 41.8 | 38.4 |
| Drew King | - | 1 | 8.8 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG