Purdue Fort Wayne
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
65.3
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
40.8%
FG%
30.2%
3P%
69.0%
FT%
36.5
RPG
11.8
APG
15.5
TO
71.3
Est. poss./game
59.2
Adj PPG
64.2
Adj Opp PPG
#229
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 904 (#224) | Preseason prior 908 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1055, returning -90, transfers -56, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 938 (#223) | HCA +179 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 968 (#216) | HCA +178 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -7.6 (#239) | HCA +3.1 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -7.5 (#239) | HCA +3.1 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.221 (#235) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.351 (#227) | AdjNet -7.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.345 (#231) | AdjNet -7.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.383 (#229) | AdjO 59.2 | AdjD 64.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.399 (#236) | AdjO 59.3 | AdjD 64.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.370 (#224) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.373 (#224) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 921 (#228) | RD 183 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.326 (#225) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Xavier Musketeers | L | 63 - 75 |
| 2026-11-06 | @ | DePaul Blue Demons | L | 62 - 87 |
| 2026-11-10 | @ | Western Michigan Broncos | W | 61 - 56 |
| 2026-11-13 | vs | Valparaiso Beacons | W | 75 - 64 |
| 2026-11-17 | @ | Western Illinois Leathernecks | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Claire Gregwer
|
G | 4 | 33.0 | 15.2 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 13.2 | 7.0 | -20 | 3 | -6.7 | -8.1 | 41.5 | 34.8 | 81.8 | -0.27 | 52.7 | 49.1 |
Nika Lokica
|
G | 4 | 31.2 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 9.8 | 7.0 | -27 | 3 | -9.0 | -11.6 | 41.0 | 36.4 | 80.0 | -1.0 | 50.7 | 46.2 |
Meegan Fahy
|
G | 4 | 21.0 | 9.2 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 7.2 | 5.5 | -16 | 3 | -5.3 | -10.3 | 55.2 | 12.5 | 44.4 | -1.69 | 56.1 | 56.9 |
Karis Thomas
|
G | 4 | 24.0 | 7.8 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 6.0 | 5.0 | -8 | 3 | -2.7 | -5.1 | 54.2 | 37.5 | 100.0 | -0.4 | 62.3 | 60.4 |
Alyssa Berry
|
G | 4 | 13.8 | 5.0 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.5 | 10 | 3 | 3.3 | 10.8 | 33.3 | 16.7 | 64.7 | -0.04 | 51.3 | 37.5 |
Avery Wagner
|
F | 4 | 25.5 | 5.0 | 5.2 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 4.0 | 8.2 | -15 | 3 | -5.0 | -8.0 | 31.2 | 25.0 | 72.7 | -1.66 | 48.0 | 37.5 |
Amaris Timmons
|
C | 4 | 15.0 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 5.2 | -18 | 3 | -6.0 | -18.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | -1.06 | 53.9 | 53.6 |
Maddie Lepley
|
G | 4 | 23.5 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 7.5 | 1.8 | -5 | 3 | -1.7 | -2.6 | 16.7 | 17.6 | 66.7 | 1.13 | 23.9 | 21.7 |
Madison Lewis
|
G | 3 | 8.7 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 1.3 | -35 | 3 | -11.7 | -53.6 | 42.9 | 100.0 | 50.0 | -4.89 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
Alivia Bolinger
|
G | 2 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | -12 | 2 | -6.0 | -49.9 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.38 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
Bailee Duck
|
G | 3 | 6.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | -14 | 3 | -4.7 | -30.8 | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.91 | 69.4 | 50.0 |
Hiba Malkawi
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Riley Pepple
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
228 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Claire GregwerNika LokicaMeegan FahyKaris ThomasAmaris TimmonsMaddie LepleyAlyssa Berry
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 33-60 | 55.0 | 66 | Meegan Fahy 30% (20 pts) | Claire Gregwer 18% (12 pts) | Nika Lokica 19% (5 misses) | Amaris Timmons 15% (4 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 24-56 | 42.9 | 48 | Nika Lokica 33% (16 pts) | Karis Thomas 21% (10 pts) | Claire Gregwer 22% (7 misses) | Nika Lokica 19% (6 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 5-10 | 50.0 | 10 | Claire Gregwer 40% (4 pts) | Avery Wagner 20% (2 pts) | Claire Gregwer 40% (2 misses) | Alyssa Berry 20% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 2-7 | 28.6 | 4 | Claire Gregwer 50% (2 pts) | Nika Lokica 50% (2 pts) | Nika Lokica 40% (2 misses) | Amaris Timmons 20% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 3-8 | 37.5 | 6 | Amaris Timmons 33% (2 pts) | Claire Gregwer 33% (2 pts) | Nika Lokica 60% (3 misses) | Claire Gregwer 40% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 3-11 | 27.3 | 9 | Amaris Timmons 33% (3 pts) | Avery Wagner 33% (3 pts) | Maddie Lepley 38% (3 misses) | Meegan Fahy 25% (2 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 2-9 | 22.2 | 6 | Maddie Lepley 100% (6 pts) | - | Karis Thomas 29% (2 misses) | Maddie Lepley 29% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 9-29 | 31.0 | 27 | Nika Lokica 22% (6 pts) | Alivia Bolinger 11% (3 pts) | Claire Gregwer 35% (7 misses) | Maddie Lepley 20% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 5-17 | 29.4 | 15 | Claire Gregwer 40% (6 pts) | Nika Lokica 40% (6 pts) | Alyssa Berry 33% (4 misses) | Avery Wagner 25% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 7-21 | 33.3 | 21 | Claire Gregwer 57% (12 pts) | Avery Wagner 14% (3 pts) | Claire Gregwer 29% (4 misses) | Avery Wagner 21% (3 misses) |