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Purdue Fort Wayne

Also known as: Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
Program History

2014 Team Stats (7 games)

71.9
PPG
64.4
Opp
+7.4
Margin
46.6%
FG%
39.6%
3P%
66.2%
FT%
34.9
RPG
12.4
APG
12.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
72.8
Adj PPG
71.4
Adj Opp PPG
#146
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1111 (#85) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1103 (#100) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More โ†’ 1080 (#62) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +1.3 (#151) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +1.3 (#149) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.641 (#88) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.5 More โ†’ 0.514 (#161) AdjNet +0.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.5 More โ†’ 0.514 (#161) AdjNet +0.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.8 | AdjD 71.4 More โ†’ 0.532 (#146) AdjO 72.8 | AdjD 71.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 71.3 More โ†’ 0.552 (#113) AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 71.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.586 (#123) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.590 (#116) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 111 | GP 33 More โ†’ 1115 (#89) RD 111 | GP 33

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-09 @ Dayton Flyers L 80 - 81
2013-11-11 vs IU Kokomo Cougars W 90 - 62
2013-11-15 @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders L 71 - 72
2013-11-16 vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros W 66 - 60
2013-11-17 @ Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 69 - 66
2013-11-20 vs Purdue Northwest Pride W 106 - 72
2013-11-24 @ Kennesaw State Owls W 76 - 66
2013-11-27 @ Eastern Illinois Panthers W 71 - 65
2013-11-29 @ Illinois Fighting Illini L 55 - 57
2013-12-03 @ Miami (OH) RedHawks L 87 - 94
2013-12-07 vs Dartmouth Big Green W 80 - 64
2013-12-10 @ Bradley Braves W 65 - 61
2013-12-14 vs SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 95 - 75
2013-12-21 vs Eastern Illinois Panthers W 86 - 65
2013-12-29 vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels L 68 - 90
2014-01-02 @ Bowling Green Falcons W 65 - 60
2014-01-04 vs Kalamazoo Hornets W 110 - 74
2014-01-09 vs North Dakota State Bison W 82 - 71
2014-01-11 vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits W 82 - 75
2014-01-16 @ Denver Pioneers W 67 - 64
2014-01-18 @ South Dakota Coyotes L 61 - 75
2014-01-25 vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars W 90 - 75
2014-01-30 vs Omaha Mavericks W 86 - 82
2014-02-01 vs Western Illinois Leathernecks W 77 - 64
2014-02-06 @ South Dakota State Jackrabbits L 51 - 79
2014-02-08 @ North Dakota State Bison L 58 - 69
2014-02-13 vs South Dakota Coyotes W 75 - 69
2014-02-15 vs Denver Pioneers L 62 - 73
2014-02-22 @ IU Indianapolis Jaguars W 84 - 60
2014-02-27 @ Western Illinois Leathernecks W 65 - 56
2014-03-01 @ Omaha Mavericks W 96 - 95
2014-03-08 vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars W 85 - 47
2014-03-10 vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits W 64 - 60
2014-03-11 @ North Dakota State Bison L 57 - 60
2014-03-19 vs Akron Zips W 97 - 91
2014-03-22 @ VMI Keydets L 95 - 106

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Luis Jacobo Luis Jacobo F 27 29.3 14.8 4.7 1.5 0.9 0.3 1.8 5.4 15.0 51 26 2.0 2.9 46.6 38.0 80.6 -3.21 123.6 55.8
Steve Forbes Steve Forbes F 29 21.2 12.0 5.2 0.6 0.5 0.5 2.1 4.0 12.6 132 28 4.7 9.2 56.4 0 67.9 2.42 123.6 56.4
Mo Evans Mo Evans G 29 21.8 9.7 2.6 1.8 1.3 0.1 1.6 3.4 10.4 148 28 5.3 10.0 46.5 46.2 75.8 3.97 123.8 61.6
Pierre Bland Pierre Bland G 29 34.0 9.3 4.6 4.5 1.6 0.2 1.8 3.3 15.0 129 28 4.6 5.8 46.4 35.0 75.6 -0.14 117.4 50.0
Joseph Edwards Joseph Edwards G 29 26.0 9.2 2.4 2.1 0.6 0.3 1.7 3.3 9.6 141 28 5.0 8.5 56.8 41.4 61.1 2.32 120.0 63.2
Joe Reed Joe Reed F 29 24.4 7.9 5.2 1.3 0.7 0.3 1.0 2.8 11.7 49 28 1.8 3.2 58.8 12.5 64.0 -1.87 112.3 59.4
Michael Kibiloski Michael Kibiloski F 29 19.1 7.4 2.4 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.5 2.9 7.7 61 28 2.2 4.8 45.2 40.6 66.7 -2.01 125.4 60.7
Isaiah McCray Isaiah McCray G 26 22.1 5.8 2.6 2.1 0.9 0.4 1.1 2.1 8.6 65 25 2.6 4.9 32.7 30.0 47.2 -0.46 105.9 38.2
Kevin Harden Kevin Harden G 6 11.7 3.7 0.8 1.2 0.5 0.0 0.2 2.8 3.2 3 7 0.4 2.2 41.2 54.5 0 -1.46 64.7 58.8
Herbert Graham Herbert Graham G 8 4.6 2.5 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.8 0.8 2.5 - - - - 66.7 66.7 0 - 166.7 100.0
Brent Calhoun Brent Calhoun C 10 3.9 0.9 1.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.4 1.7 - - - - 25.0 0 0 - 112.5 25.0
Will Dunn Will Dunn G 10 3.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 - - - - 50.0 0.0 50.0 - 69.4 50.0
Jared Bloom Jared Bloom G 6 2.2 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 100.0 0.0
Trevor Osborn Trevor Osborn G 6 1.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG