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Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2022 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 819 (#599) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 807 (#585) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1031 (#241) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -16.4 (#333) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -7.1 (#482) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.429 (#511) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.018 (#66) | NetEff -32.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.076 (#667) | AdjNet -21.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.072 (#667) | AdjNet -22.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.193 (#661) | AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 79.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.480 (#458) | AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 70.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.352 (#539) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.381 (#518) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 966 (#410) | RD 102 | GP 22 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-08 | @ | Kean | - | Preview |
| 2021-11-12 | @ | CCNY | L | 82 - 86 |
| 2021-11-17 | @ | Wesleyan (CT) | L | 60 - 109 |
| 2021-11-23 | @ | Yeshiva | L | 69 - 98 |
| 2021-12-07 | @ | Army West Point | L | 40 - 97 |
| 2021-12-11 | @ | Hamilton | L | 61 - 84 |
| 2021-12-13 | @ | Hunter | L | 94 - 112 |
| 2021-12-15 | vs | Ramapo | L | 56 - 67 |
| 2022-01-10 | @ | SUNY Maritime | W | 83 - 75 |
| 2022-01-12 | vs | Sarah Lawrence | W | 80 - 73 |
| 2022-01-15 | vs | Farmingdale St. | L | 74 - 92 |
| 2022-01-18 | vs | Mitchell | L | 80 - 85 |
| 2022-01-20 | @ | Merchant Marine | L | 43 - 75 |
| 2022-01-22 | @ | Old Westbury | W | 94 - 81 |
| 2022-01-24 | @ | Manhattanville | L | 62 - 75 |
| 2022-01-26 | @ | St. Joseph's (L.I.) | L | 52 - 88 |
| 2022-02-01 | vs | UMSV | W | 94 - 88 |
| 2022-02-03 | vs | St. Joseph's (Brkln) | L | 72 - 75 |
| 2022-02-05 | vs | Manhattanville | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-07 | @ | Mt. St. Mary (NY) | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-09 | vs | Merchant Marine | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-12 | vs | Mt. St. Mary (NY) | W | 70 - 67 |
| 2022-02-16 | vs | SUNY Maritime | L | 90 - 97 |
| 2022-02-19 | @ | Sarah Lawrence | W | 79 - 70 |
| 2022-02-22 | @ | Yeshiva | L | 66 - 101 |
2022 Roster
No roster data available for this season.