Puget Sound
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1108 (#65) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1214 (#22) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.1 (#109) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.723 (#355) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.595 (#203) | NetEff +2.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.843 (#243) | AdjNet +14.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.845 (#247) | AdjNet +14.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.690 (#244) | AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 57.0 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Ripon | L | 52 - 80 |
| 2024-11-11 | vs | Chris. Newport | L | 57 - 81 |
| 2024-11-15 | @ | Eastern Ore. | L | 60 - 82 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Lewis-Clark St. | L | 37 - 64 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Texas Lutheran | L | 55 - 67 |
| 2024-11-27 | vs | Northwest (WA) | W | 108 - 69 |
| 2024-11-30 | vs | Hardin-Simmons | L | 39 - 59 |
| 2024-12-21 | vs | Occidental | L | 50 - 52 |
| 2024-12-22 | @ | Centre | L | 62 - 64 |
| 2025-01-03 | @ | Whitman | L | 48 - 75 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Whitworth | W | 92 - 75 |
| 2025-01-10 | vs | Pacific (OR) | W | 80 - 62 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Linfield | W | 64 - 57 |
| 2025-01-14 | vs | Pacific Lutheran | W | 60 - 46 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Lewis & Clark | L | 67 - 73 |
| 2025-01-24 | @ | George Fox | L | 61 - 75 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Willamette | L | 61 - 63 |
| 2025-01-31 | vs | Whitworth | W | 84 - 45 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Whitman | L | 48 - 85 |
| 2025-02-07 | @ | Linfield | W | 54 - 47 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Pacific (OR) | W | 68 - 61 |
| 2025-02-11 | @ | Pacific Lutheran | W | 60 - 51 |
| 2025-02-14 | vs | Lewis & Clark | W | 79 - 44 |
| 2025-02-21 | vs | Willamette | W | 62 - 58 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | George Fox | L | 61 - 71 |
| 2025-02-28 | @ | George Fox | L | 42 - 68 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ainsley Shelsta | - | 1 | 37.0 | 23.0 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 26.0 | 40 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 78.6 | 0.15 | 63.3 | 50.0 |
| Bailey Rucker | - | 1 | 30.0 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 10.0 | 27 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 23.1 | 0.0 | 87.5 | 0.13 | 39.3 | 23.1 |
| Lilly Reid | - | 1 | 33.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 17.0 | -2.0 | 67 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 35.3 | 14.3 | 0 | 0.25 | 38.2 | 38.2 |
| Carmen Cruz | - | 25 | 19.2 | 10.4 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 9.8 | 4.2 | 39 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 36.5 | 31.0 | 62.9 | 0.46 | 47.5 | 44.5 |
| Addison Reardon | - | 25 | 24.3 | 9.3 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 6.7 | 4.6 | 54 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 47.6 | 43.6 | 63.6 | 0.54 | 61.9 | 60.7 |
| Michelle Lagunas-Monroy | - | 1 | 25.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Paige Yasukochi | - | 1 | 33.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 92 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 37.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.11 | 45.0 | 37.5 |
| Arin Nipp | - | 1 | 38.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 57 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 37.5 | 0.0 | 40.0 | -0.25 | 39.2 | 37.5 |
| Mele Sake | - | 25 | 16.4 | 7.2 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 5.8 | 5.2 | 57 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 53.4 | 0 | 65.7 | 0.27 | 55.5 | 53.4 |
| Paige Oh | - | 25 | 24.7 | 7.1 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 7.2 | 2.3 | 39 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 34.4 | 28.4 | 80.0 | 0.23 | 45.8 | 42.5 |
| Natalia Sefair-lopez | - | 2 | 17.5 | 7.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 20 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 55.6 | 40.0 | 66.7 | 0.25 | 67.8 | 66.7 |
| KaNiah Edelen | - | 1 | 33.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | -1.0 | 91 | 2.4 | 3.4 | 22.2 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0.05 | 35.4 | 27.8 |
| Ryleigh Campbell | - | 1 | 30.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 96 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 38.9 | 38.9 |
| Emme Eisenman | - | 24 | 23.6 | 6.8 | 4.7 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 6.3 | 5.8 | 75 | 3.3 | 4.7 | 42.1 | 27.8 | 75.8 | 0.6 | 48.9 | 45.4 |
| Dara Tokeshi | - | 1 | 34.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | -2.0 | 94 | 3.4 | 2.9 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.17 | 30.4 | 33.3 |
| Claire Thompson | - | 25 | 14.2 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 4.6 | 3.2 | 51 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 45.6 | 0.0 | 65.1 | 0.72 | 49.7 | 45.6 |
| Autumn Hill | - | 25 | 13.5 | 4.4 | 5.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 3.6 | 6.7 | 3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 53.3 | 0.0 | 43.3 | 0.46 | 52.8 | 53.3 |
| Micah Elegores | - | 1 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | -2.0 | 11 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 40.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Katelyn Stiltner | - | 1 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 36 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 25.0 | 0 | 66.7 | 0.32 | 37.6 | 25.0 |
| Savannah Pohl | - | 25 | 12.9 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 39 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 37.8 | 25.0 | 68.8 | 0.42 | 43.7 | 38.3 |
| Emma Perna | - | 1 | 19.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | -2.0 | 23 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 16.7 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0.19 | 21.8 | 25.0 |
| Dominique Cabading | - | 1 | 20.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | -3.0 | 74 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.1 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Trinity Armour | - | 1 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 91 | 3.1 | 10.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.57 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Claire Russell | - | 1 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 18 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Kylie Floyd | - | 1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -7 | -0.4 | -3.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.11 | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Lindsay Jessie | - | 1 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -6 | -0.2 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.31 | 36.2 | 0.0 |
| Sarah Skaggs | - | 25 | 10.5 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.4 | -16 | -0.9 | -1.5 | 33.3 | 10.0 | 50.0 | -0.44 | 35.4 | 34.8 |
| Emily Ko | - | 1 | 15.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | -1.0 | 77 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.11 | 10.2 | 0.0 |
| Anna Thomas | - | 1 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 41 | 1.5 | 3.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.27 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Cayton Smith | - | 24 | 4.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.1 | -0.0 | -42 | -1.7 | -4.8 | 15.4 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -0.33 | 25.2 | 23.1 |
| Katie Anderson | - | 24 | 2.7 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | -0.0 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 16.7 | 12.5 | 0 | -0.02 | 20.8 | 20.8 |
| Brianna Forbess | - | 24 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | -6 | -0.3 | -1.2 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.15 | 21.8 | 16.7 |
| Ayana Peterson-henry | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -35 | -1.7 | -8.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.53 | 0 | 0 |
| Morgan Seshiki | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Lillian Spector | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 0.7 | 2.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.04 | 0 | 0 |
| Khailand Anderson-Strawder | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 |
| Alyanna McGrath | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ila Giblin | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 32 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 |
| Nicole Vanegas | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 43 | 2.9 | 16.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.58 | 0 | 0 |
| Megan Delgado | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.21 | 0 | 0 |
| Cristina Sepulveda | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.05 | 0 | 0 |
| Kayla Ikuma | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 53 | 1.8 | 3.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 |
| Charley Harper | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -14 | -0.7 | -6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.13 | 0 | 0 |
| Kristen Whited | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -11 | -0.4 | -1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.27 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kaitlyn Smith | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 47 | 2.0 | 3.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.84 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG