🐻⬇️🏀

Principia

Also known as: Principia
Program History

Model Outputs

2023-2024
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 942 (#345) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 923 (#341) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -8.2 (#261) HCA +2.4

2024 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2023-11-13 @ Knox L 66 - 91
2023-11-15 @ Missouri S&T L 53 - 84
2023-11-17 @ Covenant W 60 - 59
2023-11-18 @ LaGrange L 63 - 80
2023-11-20 @ Mo.-St. Louis L 37 - 89
2023-11-28 @ Concordia Chicago W 60 - 51
2023-12-02 @ Fontbonne W 75 - 59
2023-12-07 vs MUW W 78 - 65
2023-12-09 vs Lyon W 79 - 72
2023-12-14 vs Fontbonne W 91 - 86
2023-12-16 @ Hendrix W 64 - 53
2023-12-28 @ DeSales L 36 - 64
2023-12-29 vs Endicott L 45 - 67
2024-01-02 @ Greenville L 61 - 69
2024-01-06 @ Webster L 50 - 85
2024-01-11 vs Westminster (MO) W 55 - 54
2024-01-13 @ Blackburn W 78 - 41
2024-01-18 vs Spalding W 55 - 42
2024-01-20 @ Eureka W 74 - 54
2024-01-25 @ MUW W 61 - 48
2024-01-27 @ Lyon L 69 - 87
2024-01-30 vs Greenville L 50 - 55
2024-02-03 vs Webster L 50 - 73
2024-02-06 @ Westminster (MO) L 58 - 61
2024-02-10 vs Blackburn W 78 - 58
2024-02-13 @ Spalding L 58 - 64
2024-02-17 vs Eureka W 73 - 45
2024-02-21 vs Spalding W 97 - 65
2024-02-23 @ Westminster (MO) L 56 - 63

2024 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Avylina Powell-Qualo - 1 25.0 16.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 14.0 5.0 - - - 50.0 0 50.0 -0.51 50.8 50.0
ARIANA WILLIAMS - 3 24.0 13.7 6.3 2.0 2.0 0.3 3.3 12.0 9.0 92 9.2 14.8 41.7 100.0 66.7 1.43 48.1 43.1
Annette Ramirez - 1 35.0 10.0 7.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 13.0 - - - 27.3 0.0 66.7 -0.78 36.7 27.3
TAYLOR BROWN - 3 27.3 9.7 3.3 2.3 2.3 0.3 3.3 8.3 6.3 88 2.7 4.4 44.0 25.0 83.3 0.63 52.5 48.0
Caragan Lockard - 1 21.0 8.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 4.0 - - - 57.1 0 0 -0.53 57.1 57.1
TRINNITI MATTHEWS - 3 25.3 6.3 4.0 0.7 0.3 1.0 3.7 8.0 0.7 72 4.8 5.9 33.3 0.0 60.0 0.73 36.3 33.3
Chloe Akerson - 1 24.0 6.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 6.0 - - - 50.0 66.7 0 -0.19 75.0 75.0
Trishelle Porter - 1 10.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 1.0 - - - 40.0 50.0 0 -0.18 60.0 60.0
ALANA HINSON - 3 29.0 5.3 5.3 1.0 0.7 0.3 1.0 8.7 3.0 - - - 26.9 0.0 50.0 0.36 28.8 26.9
PAIGE FOWLER - 3 24.0 4.7 3.3 2.0 0.7 0.3 2.0 5.3 3.7 - - - 25.0 0.0 100.0 0.37 37.6 25.0
ELYSSA WHITE - 3 23.3 4.7 7.0 2.3 0.3 0.7 4.7 6.3 4.0 4 0.3 0.7 36.8 0.0 0.0 -0.24 35.2 36.8
Olivia Hixson - 1 25.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 1.0 - - - 28.6 0 0.0 -0.66 26.9 28.6
DANA GALINIS - 3 5.3 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 2.7 1.0 - - - 37.5 0.0 0 - 37.5 37.5
MIYALA GALLEGOS - 3 7.7 2.0 2.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.3 2.3 - - - 28.6 20.0 50.0 - 38.1 35.7
Tristan Porter - 1 13.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 -2.0 - - - 20.0 0.0 0 -0.18 20.0 20.0
Aly Bullock - 1 17.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 -61 -5.1 -8.4 33.3 0.0 0 -0.42 33.3 33.3
ISABELLA PIERCE - 3 7.3 1.3 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.3 4.0 -1.3 - - - 8.3 0.0 50.0 - 14.5 8.3
Laila Blakeny - 5 1.6 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.2 - - - 40.0 50.0 0 - 60.0 60.0
SAMANTHA GOODRICH - 3 4.0 1.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.7 - - - 50.0 0 50.0 - 52.1 50.0
LYDIA STALNAKER - 3 11.0 1.0 2.7 0.0 0.3 0.0 2.0 1.7 0.3 - - - 20.0 33.3 0 - 30.0 30.0
DEIJA CARTER - 3 5.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.3 0.7 1.0 2.7 - - - 0.0 0 75.0 0.02 31.5 0.0
GENESIS SANTIAGO - 2 9.5 0.5 5.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.5 3.5 19 1.6 2.6 0.0 0.0 25.0 0.0 7.4 0.0
Natalea Clark - 13 1.5 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 -27 -2.1 -4.5 20.0 0.0 0 -0.09 20.0 20.0
Angele Diousse - 11 2.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 14.5 0.0
CAROLINA ROJAS - 2 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0.0 0.32 0.0 0
Faith Coates - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Madison Brown - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 22 3.1 3.2 0 0 0 -0.36 0 0
Khole Wyatt - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.05 0 0
Olivia Goeke - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.49 0 0
Kaite McKinney - 1 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Charlotte Kurtz - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Aleah Wilmsmeyer - 1 5.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Elle Turner - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8 1.6 2.3 0 0 0 0.18 0 0
Elena Scheve - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Evelyn Valero - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Maykayla Washington-Cobb - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Maile Peck - 1 17.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -3.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG