Principia
Model Outputs
2023-2024
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 942 (#345) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 923 (#341) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.2 (#261) | HCA +2.4 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-13 | @ | Knox | L | 66 - 91 |
| 2023-11-15 | @ | Missouri S&T | L | 53 - 84 |
| 2023-11-17 | @ | Covenant | W | 60 - 59 |
| 2023-11-18 | @ | LaGrange | L | 63 - 80 |
| 2023-11-20 | @ | Mo.-St. Louis | L | 37 - 89 |
| 2023-11-28 | @ | Concordia Chicago | W | 60 - 51 |
| 2023-12-02 | @ | Fontbonne | W | 75 - 59 |
| 2023-12-07 | vs | MUW | W | 78 - 65 |
| 2023-12-09 | vs | Lyon | W | 79 - 72 |
| 2023-12-14 | vs | Fontbonne | W | 91 - 86 |
| 2023-12-16 | @ | Hendrix | W | 64 - 53 |
| 2023-12-28 | @ | DeSales | L | 36 - 64 |
| 2023-12-29 | vs | Endicott | L | 45 - 67 |
| 2024-01-02 | @ | Greenville | L | 61 - 69 |
| 2024-01-06 | @ | Webster | L | 50 - 85 |
| 2024-01-11 | vs | Westminster (MO) | W | 55 - 54 |
| 2024-01-13 | @ | Blackburn | W | 78 - 41 |
| 2024-01-18 | vs | Spalding | W | 55 - 42 |
| 2024-01-20 | @ | Eureka | W | 74 - 54 |
| 2024-01-25 | @ | MUW | W | 61 - 48 |
| 2024-01-27 | @ | Lyon | L | 69 - 87 |
| 2024-01-30 | vs | Greenville | L | 50 - 55 |
| 2024-02-03 | vs | Webster | L | 50 - 73 |
| 2024-02-06 | @ | Westminster (MO) | L | 58 - 61 |
| 2024-02-10 | vs | Blackburn | W | 78 - 58 |
| 2024-02-13 | @ | Spalding | L | 58 - 64 |
| 2024-02-17 | vs | Eureka | W | 73 - 45 |
| 2024-02-21 | vs | Spalding | W | 97 - 65 |
| 2024-02-23 | @ | Westminster (MO) | L | 56 - 63 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avylina Powell-Qualo | - | 1 | 25.0 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.51 | 50.8 | 50.0 |
| ARIANA WILLIAMS | - | 3 | 24.0 | 13.7 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 12.0 | 9.0 | 92 | 9.2 | 14.8 | 41.7 | 100.0 | 66.7 | 1.43 | 48.1 | 43.1 |
| Annette Ramirez | - | 1 | 35.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 27.3 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.78 | 36.7 | 27.3 |
| TAYLOR BROWN | - | 3 | 27.3 | 9.7 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 8.3 | 6.3 | 88 | 2.7 | 4.4 | 44.0 | 25.0 | 83.3 | 0.63 | 52.5 | 48.0 |
| Caragan Lockard | - | 1 | 21.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 0 | 0 | -0.53 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| TRINNITI MATTHEWS | - | 3 | 25.3 | 6.3 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 3.7 | 8.0 | 0.7 | 72 | 4.8 | 5.9 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 60.0 | 0.73 | 36.3 | 33.3 |
| Chloe Akerson | - | 1 | 24.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 66.7 | 0 | -0.19 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Trishelle Porter | - | 1 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.18 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| ALANA HINSON | - | 3 | 29.0 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 8.7 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 26.9 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.36 | 28.8 | 26.9 |
| PAIGE FOWLER | - | 3 | 24.0 | 4.7 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 5.3 | 3.7 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.37 | 37.6 | 25.0 |
| ELYSSA WHITE | - | 3 | 23.3 | 4.7 | 7.0 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 4.7 | 6.3 | 4.0 | 4 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 36.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.24 | 35.2 | 36.8 |
| Olivia Hixson | - | 1 | 25.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.66 | 26.9 | 28.6 |
| DANA GALINIS | - | 3 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| MIYALA GALLEGOS | - | 3 | 7.7 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 2.3 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 20.0 | 50.0 | - | 38.1 | 35.7 |
| Tristan Porter | - | 1 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.18 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Aly Bullock | - | 1 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | -61 | -5.1 | -8.4 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.42 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| ISABELLA PIERCE | - | 3 | 7.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 4.0 | -1.3 | - | - | - | 8.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 14.5 | 8.3 |
| Laila Blakeny | - | 5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| SAMANTHA GOODRICH | - | 3 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 52.1 | 50.0 |
| LYDIA STALNAKER | - | 3 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| DEIJA CARTER | - | 3 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 2.7 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 75.0 | 0.02 | 31.5 | 0.0 |
| GENESIS SANTIAGO | - | 2 | 9.5 | 0.5 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 19 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 7.4 | 0.0 |
| Natalea Clark | - | 13 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | -27 | -2.1 | -4.5 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.09 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Angele Diousse | - | 11 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 14.5 | 0.0 |
| CAROLINA ROJAS | - | 2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.32 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Faith Coates | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Madison Brown | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.36 | 0 | 0 |
| Khole Wyatt | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.05 | 0 | 0 |
| Olivia Goeke | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.49 | 0 | 0 |
| Kaite McKinney | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Charlotte Kurtz | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Aleah Wilmsmeyer | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Elle Turner | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 |
| Elena Scheve | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Evelyn Valero | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Maykayla Washington-Cobb | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Maile Peck | - | 1 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG