Principia
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo | 942 (#345) | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 946 (#404) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency | 1107 (#89) | - |
| Margin | -1.0 (#204) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency | -3.0 (#408) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean | 0.515 (#440) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 0.186 (#494) | AdjO 93.6 | AdjD 106.4 |
| Log Adjusted | 0.171 (#496) | AdjO 91.0 | AdjD 104.4 |
| Points Off/Def | 0.308 (#497) | AdjO 59.1 | AdjD 68.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency | 0.560 (#287) | AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 64.9 |
| Core Ensemble | 0.477 (#398) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def |
| Recency Ensemble | 0.501 (#379) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def_recency |
| KenPom Kitchen Sink | 0.413 (#391) | - |
| Dynamic BT | 1055 (#246) | HCA +45.0 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Illinois Col. | W | 94 - 90 |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Illinois Tech | W | 78 - 47 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Earlham | W | 90 - 62 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Anderson (IN) | L | 65 - 86 |
| 2025-11-23 | @ | Wis.-Stevens Point | L | 42 - 73 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Wis.-Whitewater | L | 49 - 81 |
| 2025-12-02 | @ | Westminster (MO) | L | 63 - 66 |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | Randolph-Macon | L | 44 - 62 |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Roanoke | L | 76 - 79 |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Coe | L | 54 - 81 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Webster | L | 50 - 55 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | MUW | W | 76 - 63 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Lyon | W | 113 - 77 |
| 2026-01-20 | vs | Eureka | W | 91 - 52 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Spalding | W | 69 - 67 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Westminster (MO) | W | 86 - 57 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Blackburn | W | 89 - 72 |
| 2026-02-03 | vs | Greenville | W | 69 - 55 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Webster | W | 59 - 55 |
2026 Roster
No roster data available for this season.