Principia
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 883 (#445) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 848 (#436) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -27.7 (#414) | HCA +2.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.078 (#748) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.111 (#483) | NetEff -18.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.016 (#761) | AdjNet -35.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.015 (#762) | AdjNet -35.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.080 (#760) | AdjO 59.4 | AdjD 86.3 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Maranatha Baptist | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-11 | vs | UHSP | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Grinnell | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-19 | @ | Harris-Stowe | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Wartburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Fontbonne | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-05 | vs | Spalding | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Eureka | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-13 | @ | Monmouth (IL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Cent. Christian Bib. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-31 | @ | Missouri S&T | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Fontbonne | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-09 | @ | MUW | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Lyon | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-14 | @ | Greenville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Webster | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-21 | vs | Westminster (MO) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Blackburn | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-28 | @ | Spalding | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Eureka | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-06 | vs | Lyon | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | MUW | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-11 | vs | Greenville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Webster | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-20 | @ | Westminster (MO) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Blackburn | - | Incomplete score |
2025 Roster
No roster data available for this season.