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Principia

Also known as: Principia
Program History

Model Outputs

2023-2024
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 883 (#445) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 848 (#436) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.5 More → -26.0 (#412) HCA +2.5

2024 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2023-11-11 @ Loras L 61 - 103
2023-11-12 vs Central (IA) L 77 - 96
2023-11-14 @ UHSP W 79 - 67
2023-11-18 vs Grinnell L 102 - 110
2023-11-21 @ Knox L 53 - 73
2023-11-28 @ Maranatha Baptist L 66 - 72
2023-12-02 @ Fontbonne L 62 - 68
2023-12-07 vs MUW W 82 - 76
2023-12-09 vs Lyon L 54 - 75
2023-12-14 vs Fontbonne L 51 - 90
2023-12-17 @ WashU L 56 - 90
2023-12-30 @ Missouri S&T L 62 - 89
2024-01-02 @ Greenville L 127 - 131
2024-01-06 @ Webster L 42 - 82
2024-01-11 vs Westminster (MO) W 78 - 72
2024-01-13 @ Blackburn W 72 - 71
2024-01-18 vs Spalding L 62 - 72
2024-01-20 @ Eureka L 49 - 64
2024-01-25 @ MUW L 48 - 77
2024-01-27 @ Lyon L 72 - 95
2024-01-30 vs Greenville W 113 - 95
2024-02-03 vs Webster L 69 - 83
2024-02-06 @ Westminster (MO) W 85 - 82
2024-02-10 vs Blackburn L 75 - 79
2024-02-13 @ Spalding L 52 - 59
2024-02-17 vs Eureka W 81 - 50
2024-02-20 @ Spalding L 48 - 65

2024 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jaquan Adams - 21 32.6 22.0 9.1 2.8 1.4 0.2 3.0 15.9 16.6 59 5.4 59.8 57.1 11.1 71.1 0.51 60.3 57.2
Shemarri Miles - 24 36.4 12.0 4.1 2.4 1.6 0.3 3.4 9.9 7.1 7 7.0 10.4 38.4 33.8 80.0 0.19 51.1 43.7
Bobby Alford - 25 26.0 11.7 5.4 0.5 0.7 0.3 1.4 8.3 9.0 36 18.0 46.5 56.0 33.3 72.5 0.33 60.5 56.8
AJ Byrd - 23 30.5 11.0 4.2 1.7 1.3 0.0 2.4 11.5 4.4 20 20.0 20.8 31.7 24.6 81.8 0.54 42.9 37.4
Charley Hoffman - 27 20.1 5.3 3.8 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.9 4.5 4.7 1 1.0 2.7 45.1 28.3 63.3 -0.16 52.5 50.4
Isaiah Parker - 27 25.7 5.0 2.2 1.0 0.7 0.0 1.1 4.9 2.9 6 3.0 8.5 38.9 29.3 68.2 0.1 47.6 45.4
Jordan Williams - 25 22.0 5.0 1.6 1.0 0.7 0.2 1.4 5.2 1.9 17 8.5 72.9 36.6 28.6 60.0 -0.35 45.1 43.5
Kingsley Cockburn - 16 14.1 2.8 1.8 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.7 3.1 1.8 29 14.5 106.7 30.0 34.1 25.0 -0.29 43.5 44.0
Isaac Salas - 26 4.9 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.5 - - - 36.4 40.0 0.0 - 40.1 40.9
Jake Erickson - 25 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0 0.0 0.0 50.0 50.0 0 -1.57 75.0 75.0
Cole Harrison - 25 1.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 -0.0 -5 -1.7 -3.8 33.3 33.3 0 0.38 50.0 50.0
Ivan Vashchenko - 24 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG