Principia
Model Outputs
2023-2024
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 883 (#445) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 848 (#436) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -26.0 (#412) | HCA +2.5 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-11 | @ | Loras | L | 61 - 103 |
| 2023-11-12 | vs | Central (IA) | L | 77 - 96 |
| 2023-11-14 | @ | UHSP | W | 79 - 67 |
| 2023-11-18 | vs | Grinnell | L | 102 - 110 |
| 2023-11-21 | @ | Knox | L | 53 - 73 |
| 2023-11-28 | @ | Maranatha Baptist | L | 66 - 72 |
| 2023-12-02 | @ | Fontbonne | L | 62 - 68 |
| 2023-12-07 | vs | MUW | W | 82 - 76 |
| 2023-12-09 | vs | Lyon | L | 54 - 75 |
| 2023-12-14 | vs | Fontbonne | L | 51 - 90 |
| 2023-12-17 | @ | WashU | L | 56 - 90 |
| 2023-12-30 | @ | Missouri S&T | L | 62 - 89 |
| 2024-01-02 | @ | Greenville | L | 127 - 131 |
| 2024-01-06 | @ | Webster | L | 42 - 82 |
| 2024-01-11 | vs | Westminster (MO) | W | 78 - 72 |
| 2024-01-13 | @ | Blackburn | W | 72 - 71 |
| 2024-01-18 | vs | Spalding | L | 62 - 72 |
| 2024-01-20 | @ | Eureka | L | 49 - 64 |
| 2024-01-25 | @ | MUW | L | 48 - 77 |
| 2024-01-27 | @ | Lyon | L | 72 - 95 |
| 2024-01-30 | vs | Greenville | W | 113 - 95 |
| 2024-02-03 | vs | Webster | L | 69 - 83 |
| 2024-02-06 | @ | Westminster (MO) | W | 85 - 82 |
| 2024-02-10 | vs | Blackburn | L | 75 - 79 |
| 2024-02-13 | @ | Spalding | L | 52 - 59 |
| 2024-02-17 | vs | Eureka | W | 81 - 50 |
| 2024-02-20 | @ | Spalding | L | 48 - 65 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaquan Adams | - | 21 | 32.6 | 22.0 | 9.1 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 15.9 | 16.6 | 59 | 5.4 | 59.8 | 57.1 | 11.1 | 71.1 | 0.51 | 60.3 | 57.2 |
| Shemarri Miles | - | 24 | 36.4 | 12.0 | 4.1 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 3.4 | 9.9 | 7.1 | 7 | 7.0 | 10.4 | 38.4 | 33.8 | 80.0 | 0.19 | 51.1 | 43.7 |
| Bobby Alford | - | 25 | 26.0 | 11.7 | 5.4 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 8.3 | 9.0 | 36 | 18.0 | 46.5 | 56.0 | 33.3 | 72.5 | 0.33 | 60.5 | 56.8 |
| AJ Byrd | - | 23 | 30.5 | 11.0 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 11.5 | 4.4 | 20 | 20.0 | 20.8 | 31.7 | 24.6 | 81.8 | 0.54 | 42.9 | 37.4 |
| Charley Hoffman | - | 27 | 20.1 | 5.3 | 3.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 4.5 | 4.7 | 1 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 45.1 | 28.3 | 63.3 | -0.16 | 52.5 | 50.4 |
| Isaiah Parker | - | 27 | 25.7 | 5.0 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 4.9 | 2.9 | 6 | 3.0 | 8.5 | 38.9 | 29.3 | 68.2 | 0.1 | 47.6 | 45.4 |
| Jordan Williams | - | 25 | 22.0 | 5.0 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 17 | 8.5 | 72.9 | 36.6 | 28.6 | 60.0 | -0.35 | 45.1 | 43.5 |
| Kingsley Cockburn | - | 16 | 14.1 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 29 | 14.5 | 106.7 | 30.0 | 34.1 | 25.0 | -0.29 | 43.5 | 44.0 |
| Isaac Salas | - | 26 | 4.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 36.4 | 40.0 | 0.0 | - | 40.1 | 40.9 |
| Jake Erickson | - | 25 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.57 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Cole Harrison | - | 25 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | -0.0 | -5 | -1.7 | -3.8 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.38 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Ivan Vashchenko | - | 24 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG