Princeton
Model Outputs
1995-1996
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1180 (#63) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1189 (#40) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1158 (#15) | HCA +97 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +3.9 (#104) | HCA +3.6 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +4.1 (#107) | HCA +3.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.801 (#23) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.689 (#91) | AdjNet +6.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.692 (#91) | AdjNet +7.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.602 (#93) | AdjO 59.4 | AdjD 54.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.607 (#72) | AdjO 59.5 | AdjD 54.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.694 (#66) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.695 (#61) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1207 (#35) | RD 115 | GP 28 |
1996 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1995-11-27 | @ | Lehigh | W | 62 - 45 |
| 1995-11-29 | vs | Lafayette | W | 62 - 47 |
| 1995-12-01 | N | Boise State | W | 61 - 41 |
| 1995-12-02 | @ | Fresno State | W | 59 - 54 |
| 1995-12-12 | vs | Monmouth | L | 56 - 65 |
| 1995-12-18 | vs | Saint Joseph's | W | 88 - 78 |
| 1995-12-21 | @ | Iowa State | L | 47 - 50 |
| 1995-12-22 | N | Nicholls State | W | 86 - 51 |
| 1995-12-29 | N | Ohio | W | 65 - 60 |
| 1995-12-30 | @ | Green Bay | L | 35 - 55 |
| 1996-01-03 | @ | La Salle | L | 49 - 52 |
| 1996-01-06 | vs | Pennsylvania | L | 55 - 57 |
| 1996-01-12 | vs | Yale | W | 56 - 55 |
| 1996-01-13 | vs | Brown | W | 64 - 36 |
| 1996-02-02 | vs | Columbia | W | 66 - 45 |
| 1996-02-03 | vs | Cornell | W | 57 - 54 |
| 1996-02-09 | @ | Harvard | W | 49 - 44 |
| 1996-02-10 | @ | Dartmouth | W | 52 - 41 |
| 1996-02-16 | @ | Brown | W | 58 - 56 |
| 1996-02-17 | @ | Yale | W | 64 - 42 |
| 1996-02-23 | vs | Dartmouth | W | 65 - 39 |
| 1996-02-24 | vs | Harvard | W | 65 - 58 |
| 1996-03-01 | @ | Cornell | W | 65 - 49 |
| 1996-03-02 | @ | Columbia | W | 57 - 55 |
| 1996-03-05 | @ | Pennsylvania | L | 49 - 63 |
| 1996-03-09 | N | Pennsylvania | W | 63 - 56 |
| 1996-03-14 | N | UCLA | W | 43 - 41 |
| 1996-03-16 | N | Mississippi State | L | 41 - 63 |
1996 Roster
No roster data available for this season.