Princeton
Model Outputs
1994-1995
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1064 (#111) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1040 (#123) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1063 (#78) | HCA +101 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +0.5 (#149) | HCA +3.5 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -0.5 (#157) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.702 (#69) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.498 (#150) | AdjNet -0.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.497 (#151) | AdjNet -0.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.526 (#136) | AdjO 60.8 | AdjD 59.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.557 (#107) | AdjO 62.8 | AdjD 60.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.543 (#132) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.549 (#126) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1057 (#114) | RD 145 | GP 25 |
1995 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994-11-26 | vs | La Salle | L | 49 - 58 |
| 1994-11-30 | @ | Lafayette | W | 70 - 52 |
| 1994-12-03 | @ | Saint Joseph's | L | 38 - 58 |
| 1994-12-05 | vs | Lehigh | W | 83 - 47 |
| 1994-12-09 | N | Eastern Illinois | W | 62 - 45 |
| 1994-12-10 | @ | Illinois | L | 37 - 59 |
| 1994-12-14 | @ | Massachusetts | L | 67 - 88 |
| 1994-12-17 | @ | Syracuse | L | 65 - 67 |
| 1994-12-27 | N | Texas A&M | W | 71 - 66 |
| 1994-12-28 | @ | New Orleans | L | 43 - 50 |
| 1995-01-03 | @ | Rutgers | W | 79 - 70 |
| 1995-01-06 | @ | Dartmouth | L | 56 - 64 |
| 1995-01-07 | @ | Harvard | W | 73 - 69 |
| 1995-01-28 | @ | Pennsylvania | L | 50 - 69 |
| 1995-02-03 | @ | Brown | L | 65 - 67 |
| 1995-02-04 | @ | Yale | W | 58 - 42 |
| 1995-02-10 | vs | Columbia | W | 76 - 48 |
| 1995-02-11 | vs | Cornell | W | 95 - 69 |
| 1995-02-17 | vs | Harvard | W | 68 - 59 |
| 1995-02-18 | vs | Dartmouth | W | 57 - 48 |
| 1995-02-24 | @ | Cornell | W | 64 - 54 |
| 1995-02-25 | @ | Columbia | W | 57 - 47 |
| 1995-03-03 | vs | Yale | W | 51 - 35 |
| 1995-03-04 | vs | Brown | W | 81 - 59 |
| 1995-03-08 | vs | Pennsylvania | L | 57 - 69 |
1995 Roster
No roster data available for this season.