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Post

Also known as: Post
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 910 (#443) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 905 (#429) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 988 (#460) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -11.8 (#255) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -6.1 (#456) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.404 (#397) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -7.5 More → 0.252 (#346) NetEff -7.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -14.8 More → 0.154 (#555) AdjNet -14.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -14.4 More → 0.155 (#553) AdjNet -14.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.3 | AdjD 70.4 More → 0.323 (#528) AdjO 62.3 | AdjD 70.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.1 | AdjD 64.9 More → 0.414 (#514) AdjO 61.1 | AdjD 64.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.338 (#497) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.358 (#481) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 102 | GP 19 More → 965 (#286) RD 102 | GP 19

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Southern N.H. L 55 - 68
2025-11-15 @ Saint Anselm L 46 - 78
2025-11-25 @ Chestnut Hill L 57 - 78
2025-11-30 vs American Int'l W 81 - 79
2025-12-03 @ Bridgeport L 42 - 65
2025-12-31 @ Southern Conn. St. L 55 - 86
2026-01-02 @ Jefferson L 45 - 62
2026-01-03 vs Georgian Court L 60 - 69
2026-01-10 @ Goldey-Beacom L 48 - 65
2026-01-14 vs Caldwell W 55 - 42
2026-01-17 @ Wilmington (DE) W 86 - 48
2026-01-20 vs Dominican (NY) W 62 - 47
2026-01-22 @ Felician L 72 - 79
2026-01-24 vs Chestnut Hill W 67 - 56
2026-01-28 vs Bridgeport W 60 - 44
2026-01-31 @ Holy Family L 28 - 87
2026-02-03 vs Felician L 56 - 65
2026-02-07 vs Jefferson W 104 - 99
2026-02-08 vs Holy Family L 0 - 0

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Alyssa Rossignol - 18 28.7 16.1 5.0 1.0 1.5 0.2 3.1 14.4 6.3 -13 -0.7 -2.4 43.2 29.0 72.7 0.94 49.3 45.0
Tiara Tyson - 17 23.0 10.4 2.8 0.8 1.6 0.4 2.1 9.4 4.4 -42 -2.5 -10.7 39.4 14.3 67.6 -2.84 46.3 40.6
Kamryn Porter - 18 32.6 9.6 2.9 2.4 1.9 0.2 4.1 8.9 4.1 -26 -1.3 -4.5 34.4 5.1 62.2 3.18 42.6 35.0
Jasmine Day-Cox - 18 29.7 7.1 4.4 1.8 2.6 0.3 3.1 7.4 5.6 -111 -5.5 -17.7 34.3 30.0 58.5 -1.41 42.1 38.8
Megan Landsiedel - 17 29.7 5.8 2.0 2.3 2.9 0.2 1.2 6.4 5.7 81 4.5 14.5 30.6 29.8 87.5 4.97 43.9 42.1
Claire Greene - 19 32.3 5.0 6.9 2.2 1.8 0.3 2.6 5.8 7.8 -38 -2.0 -5.6 28.8 29.4 63.6 0.35 37.8 33.3
Emma Carman - 18 17.8 3.9 1.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 1.1 4.3 0.8 -77 -4.1 -24.2 33.3 38.9 100.0 -3.37 43.9 42.3
McKensi Forde - 15 12.6 3.2 3.1 0.5 0.7 0.5 1.2 2.4 4.4 29 1.7 8.1 52.8 0.0 40.0 1.46 51.1 52.8
Jaslin Walker - 15 16.3 3.2 1.7 0.7 1.4 0.0 1.9 3.1 2.0 -43 -2.9 -12.8 34.0 27.3 66.7 -6.39 44.8 40.4
Emily Arel - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG