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Post

Also known as: Post
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 945 (#323) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 948 (#347) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 935 (#499) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +1.9 (#203) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -3.4 (#376) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.527 (#323) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +54.5 More → 0.998 (#50) NetEff +54.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.7 More → 0.521 (#411) AdjNet +0.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.7 More → 0.520 (#413) AdjNet +0.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.3 | AdjD 75.8 More → 0.513 (#411) AdjO 76.3 | AdjD 75.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 73.5 More → 0.429 (#428) AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 73.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.424 (#380) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.417 (#386) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 92 | GP 23 More → 942 (#287) RD 92 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Southern Conn. St. W 83 - 76
2025-11-16 @ Franklin Pierce L 66 - 76
2025-11-19 @ Assumption L 74 - 91
2025-11-23 @ St. Thomas Aquinas L 72 - 89
2025-11-25 @ Chestnut Hill L 66 - 70
2025-11-30 vs Southern N.H. L 67 - 77
2025-12-03 @ Bridgeport W 75 - 68
2025-12-06 vs Holy Family W 71 - 57
2025-12-13 @ Jefferson L 74 - 87
2025-12-16 vs Bentley L 69 - 80
2025-12-19 @ Saint Anselm L 70 - 85
2026-01-03 vs Georgian Court W 104 - 72
2026-01-06 @ Staten Island L 88 - 95
2026-01-10 @ Goldey-Beacom L 73 - 83
2026-01-14 vs Caldwell W 74 - 72
2026-01-17 @ Wilmington (DE) W 80 - 71
2026-01-20 vs Dominican (NY) W 81 - 72
2026-01-22 @ Felician L 68 - 75
2026-01-24 vs Chestnut Hill W 72 - 68
2026-01-28 vs Bridgeport W 75 - 74
2026-01-31 @ Holy Family L 55 - 65
2026-02-03 vs Felician L 64 - 85
2026-02-07 vs Jefferson L 65 - 83

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tre Powell - 1 33.0 18.0 9.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 12.0 19.0 103 6.1 30.8 50.0 25.0 100.0 0.89 65.4 58.3
Taquan Williams - 21 32.3 15.2 3.5 4.0 1.0 0.1 1.9 12.1 9.8 -33 -1.6 -5.1 46.5 35.6 76.1 -3.53 56.3 52.8
Landon Shivers - 1 25.0 15.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 9.0 13.0 -8 -0.5 -3.2 66.7 50.0 100.0 -1.85 75.9 72.2
Julian Williams - 1 28.0 14.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 11.0 10.0 70 4.4 50.9 45.5 16.7 75.0 0.18 54.9 50.0
Alejandro Cybak - 1 37.0 14.0 15.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 15.0 15.0 -172 -10.1 -35.3 33.3 25.0 100.0 -2.38 42.9 36.7
Zion Lott - 21 29.1 12.4 3.9 2.1 1.2 0.7 2.0 12.2 6.2 11 0.5 2.1 38.1 27.4 79.5 2.43 47.6 44.7
Amari Dow - 1 40.0 12.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 8.0 12.0 -113 -7.1 -26.5 37.5 33.3 83.3 -0.71 56.4 43.8
Derrick Thomas II - 21 26.6 10.1 6.7 1.1 0.9 0.1 1.2 9.4 8.2 25 1.1 5.1 37.4 25.7 76.3 -1.44 47.3 42.2
Deng Akok - 21 22.2 8.1 5.4 1.6 1.2 0.3 1.5 6.9 8.3 -36 -1.6 -8.4 49.0 28.9 62.1 -3.4 54.2 52.8
Tre Duncan - 20 27.1 8.1 2.0 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.6 6.8 4.7 86 4.1 18.2 42.6 37.0 65.2 1.83 55.1 53.7
Gianni Thompson - 18 16.6 7.1 4.1 0.9 0.6 0.4 2.0 5.5 5.6 9 0.5 5.0 45.5 40.9 76.0 1.95 57.7 54.5
Anthony Akande - 1 26.0 7.0 8.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 13.0 111 7.4 108.0 50.0 0.0 75.0 1.29 60.8 50.0
Tyler Spencer - 1 30.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 6.0 2.0 -60 -3.8 -20.3 50.0 33.3 0 -0.64 58.3 58.3
Jalen Robinson - 1 22.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 4.0 95 7.3 310.6 20.0 25.0 100.0 0.21 42.5 30.0
Malcolm Day - 1 12.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 13 0.9 9.3 33.3 100.0 100.0 1.98 64.4 50.0
Brody Limric - 18 10.2 4.8 1.6 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.6 3.4 3.2 -23 -1.2 -13.1 47.5 48.9 50.0 -0.0 65.7 66.4
Harry Scully - 21 15.0 4.0 2.0 1.4 0.3 0.0 1.6 3.6 2.6 -37 -1.7 -12.3 43.4 32.6 33.3 -1.5 52.5 53.3
Cape Holden - 21 8.6 3.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.5 2.9 1.0 -70 -3.2 -45.1 35.0 37.3 100.0 -2.57 53.1 50.8
Cam Burns - 1 12.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 -11 -1.4 -6.0 33.3 0.0 0 1.52 33.3 33.3
Anthony Chinn - 15 11.7 1.9 1.9 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.7 1.5 2.5 -52 -3.5 -24.2 47.8 0.0 42.9 0.68 48.0 47.8
Cayleb Walters - 5 3.9 1.8 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.6 1.2 1.0 - - - 66.7 0.0 50.0 - 65.4 66.7
Stanley Njekwe - 17 9.9 1.4 1.9 0.7 0.1 0.6 0.5 1.3 2.9 6 0.3 2.3 45.5 22.2 50.0 0.57 50.3 50.0
Justin Allen - 1 15.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -2.0 41 3.2 60.2 0.0 0.0 0 2.15 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG