🐻⬇️🏀

Portland St.

Also known as: Portland St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 932 (#361) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 946 (#317) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -18.6 (#350) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.998 (#129) -
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.199 (#584) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -16.6 More → 0.078 (#367) NetEff -16.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +39.9 More → 0.990 (#110) AdjNet +39.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -24.3 More → 0.057 (#592) AdjNet -24.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +39.1 More → 0.991 (#119) AdjNet +39.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -24.8 More → 0.050 (#592) AdjNet -24.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 82.0 | AdjD 53.8 More → 0.929 (#105) AdjO 82.0 | AdjD 53.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 52.3 | AdjD 67.2 More → 0.205 (#575) AdjO 52.3 | AdjD 67.2

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-09 vs Me.-Farmington L 53 - 58
2024-11-13 vs VTSU-Johnson W 59 - 31
2024-11-16 @ Colby L 24 - 67
2024-11-17 vs Thomas (ME) W 53 - 52
2024-11-18 vs Clarkson L 59 - 71
2024-11-20 @ Colby-Sawyer L 44 - 51
2024-11-23 @ Norwich L 47 - 56
2024-11-26 vs Rivier L 40 - 55
2024-12-04 vs UMass Dartmouth L 47 - 94
2024-12-07 vs WestConn L 49 - 52
2024-12-11 @ Keene St. L 49 - 87
2025-01-09 @ New England Col. W 69 - 58
2025-01-11 @ Rhode Island Col. L 47 - 70
2025-01-14 vs VTSU Castleton L 61 - 63
2025-01-16 vs UMass Boston L 58 - 65
2025-01-18 @ Eastern Conn. St. L 47 - 53
2025-01-22 @ Southern Me. L 56 - 63
2025-01-25 @ WestConn L 57 - 66
2025-01-28 vs VTSU Lyndon W 67 - 64
2025-01-29 vs Keene St. L 45 - 55
2025-02-01 @ UMass Dartmouth L 52 - 83
2025-02-08 vs Rhode Island Col. L 47 - 56
2025-02-12 @ VTSU Castleton W 72 - 65
2025-02-15 @ UMass Boston L 38 - 57
2025-02-17 @ VTSU Lyndon W 66 - 65
2025-02-19 vs Southern Me. L 43 - 67
2025-02-22 vs Eastern Conn. St. L 49 - 64

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Davyne Johnson - 2 32.0 18.0 3.0 2.5 2.0 0.0 2.0 14.0 9.5 -167 -13.9 -14.8 42.9 58.8 66.7 -1.65 61.4 60.7
Jordan Louis - 2 36.5 17.0 4.5 6.5 3.5 0.0 2.5 10.5 18.5 - - - 52.4 54.5 100.0 - 71.9 66.7
Holly Bagley - 2 35.0 13.5 6.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 2.5 15.0 7.0 - - - 30.0 33.3 83.3 - 41.4 36.7
Finnley Jacobson - 2 28.5 10.0 7.5 2.5 1.0 1.0 4.5 8.0 9.5 - - - 56.2 0 20.0 - 49.0 56.2
Hailey Malozzi - 25 27.2 9.6 6.7 1.2 1.5 0.3 2.8 10.4 6.2 -83 -2.8 -3.1 31.2 21.5 65.9 -0.64 40.5 35.6
Ashley Stephens - 24 27.8 8.5 3.3 0.7 0.8 1.2 3.2 9.3 1.9 -110 -3.8 -4.7 34.8 20.0 62.0 -0.59 40.2 35.9
Raegan Peck - 25 24.5 8.3 2.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 1.7 8.7 0.9 -82 -2.8 -4.0 31.8 32.0 83.3 -1.22 45.5 43.1
Sophie George - 14 21.9 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.8 6.9 1.1 -46 -2.6 -3.4 27.1 25.4 72.7 -0.45 37.7 35.4
Sabrina Vlahovic - 23 23.1 4.8 5.5 1.4 1.2 0.1 2.0 3.6 7.4 -5 -0.2 -0.3 43.4 15.0 60.3 0.28 50.7 45.2
Alessia Salzillo - 22 20.5 4.8 3.6 2.2 2.4 0.1 2.6 5.7 4.9 -22 -1.1 -1.9 32.0 19.0 56.8 -0.25 37.2 33.6
Kaley Goodhart - 21 18.5 4.2 1.4 1.5 1.1 0.0 2.7 4.7 0.9 -37 -1.7 -2.9 31.6 26.3 54.8 -0.51 39.9 36.7
Allison Ingalls - 16 16.8 4.2 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.6 1.7 5.4 0.9 -16 -1.0 -1.7 23.3 20.0 71.4 -0.04 35.2 30.2
Elli Cox - 21 20.6 4.1 6.6 1.6 1.5 0.5 2.5 5.0 6.8 -26 -1.2 -1.4 30.5 0.0 56.1 -0.24 35.4 30.5
Carley Simmons - 1 23.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 - - - 33.3 0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Jillian York - 2 24.0 2.0 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 6.0 -2.0 - - - 16.7 0.0 0 0.04 16.7 16.7
Torle Adumene - 23 9.5 1.5 2.4 0.3 0.7 0.0 1.2 1.7 2.0 -33 -1.3 -3.9 27.5 33.3 44.4 -0.4 33.7 28.7
Delaney Curley - 2 19.0 1.5 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.0 1.0 - - - 16.7 25.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Alli Ingalls - 7 13.6 1.1 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.1 1.1 3.9 -1.6 -16 -1.0 -1.7 11.1 11.8 0.0 -0.15 14.3 14.8
Raven Premont - 19 10.5 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.8 1.9 0.4 - - - 18.9 0.0 50.0 0.08 21.4 18.9
Camden Smith - 20 2.0 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.6 -14 -1.3 -5.9 25.0 20.0 85.7 -0.13 49.6 31.2
Kayley Merrifield - 20 1.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.9 -0.3 -10 -0.6 -5.5 5.6 0.0 66.7 -0.29 21.5 5.6
Stephanie Dorcas - 18 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 - - - 0 0 100.0 - 113.6 0
Bridget Devine - 20 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Pailin Hample - 2 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Isabella Abruzese - 10 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Hayleigh Gates - 1 21.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 4.0 -5.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Delani Osborne - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG