Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 856 (#343) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 844 (#331) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.9 (#276) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.096 (#539) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.172 (#317) | NetEff -12.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.131 (#573) | AdjNet -16.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.131 (#571) | AdjNet -16.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.284 (#568) | AdjO 61.2 | AdjD 71.4 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Giles | - | 30 | 28.6 | 12.5 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 10.9 | 4.6 | -107 | -2.9 | -3.0 | 33.6 | 34.5 | 74.6 | -0.54 | 48.8 | 42.5 |
| Ari Bleda | - | 30 | 31.7 | 10.9 | 6.5 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 3.0 | 11.4 | 7.5 | -83 | -3.1 | -2.9 | 38.5 | 27.9 | 67.4 | -0.1 | 44.9 | 43.0 |
| Camille Fultz | - | 30 | 28.3 | 10.5 | 7.0 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 9.5 | 7.6 | -101 | -2.7 | -2.7 | 48.1 | 0.0 | 53.8 | -0.68 | 49.5 | 48.1 |
| Emma Pavelek | - | 30 | 27.6 | 10.2 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 2.8 | 8.5 | 6.5 | -110 | -4.1 | -4.2 | 40.8 | 27.3 | 68.6 | -0.72 | 50.0 | 44.3 |
| Aichata Ballo | - | 30 | 28.1 | 8.0 | 6.5 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 5.3 | 9.1 | 4.8 | -62 | -2.3 | -2.2 | 33.7 | 16.0 | 49.1 | -0.28 | 37.6 | 34.4 |
| Chloe Williams | - | 28 | 14.3 | 4.1 | 4.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 3.7 | 4.8 | -29 | -1.3 | -0.4 | 42.7 | 25.0 | 54.5 | -0.58 | 46.6 | 43.7 |
| Janiah Tillman | - | 26 | 10.1 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 3.1 | 0.7 | -20 | -1.0 | -2.2 | 32.5 | 27.3 | 68.4 | -0.28 | 40.2 | 36.2 |
| Kelly Luck | - | 17 | 8.9 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 3.6 | -0.2 | -22 | -2.4 | -7.2 | 19.4 | 17.8 | 70.0 | -0.3 | 29.4 | 25.8 |
| Isabella Pelaia | - | 13 | 5.5 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 0.8 | -6 | -1.2 | -4.0 | 30.4 | 31.2 | 100.0 | -0.07 | 44.0 | 41.3 |
| Coral Homs | - | 29 | 12.7 | 1.4 | 3.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 3.0 | -46 | -2.1 | -4.3 | 21.6 | 32.0 | 85.7 | -0.55 | 36.7 | 29.4 |
| Kayla Walter | - | 29 | 5.6 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.4 | -0.5 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 17.5 | 22.2 | 50.0 | -0.29 | 23.2 | 22.5 |
| Mackenzie Stoner | - | 19 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.3 | -0.3 | -49 | -3.3 | -15.8 | 20.0 | 21.4 | 0 | -0.21 | 26.0 | 26.0 |
| Fatim Sarr Ndow | - | 10 | 4.1 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | -15 | -1.9 | -4.2 | 27.3 | 0 | 0 | 0.76 | 27.3 | 27.3 |
| Nyla Rozier | - | 10 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | - | 21.3 | 20.0 |
| Essence Davis | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kaylin Zaal | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Egypt Coleman | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.32 | 0 | 0 |
| Nia Rogers | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Natasha Harrison | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG