Point Loma
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1157 (#53) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1178 (#50) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1147 (#40) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +19.3 (#24) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +5.9 (#272) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.764 (#262) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.865 (#156) | NetEff +14.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.846 (#248) | AdjNet +14.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.873 (#238) | AdjNet +16.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.722 (#237) | AdjO 70.9 | AdjD 60.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.656 (#116) | AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 61.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.731 (#151) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.729 (#150) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1184 (#54) | RD 104 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Cal Poly Pomona | L | 62 - 71 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Cal St. San Marcos | L | 50 - 62 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Cal St. Dom. Hills | W | 73 - 48 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Saint Martin's | W | 75 - 65 |
| 2025-11-28 | vs | Western Ore. | W | 93 - 67 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Northwest Nazarene | W | 76 - 56 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Jessup | W | 81 - 60 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Fresno Pacific | W | 67 - 56 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Dominican (CA) | W | 76 - 71 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Azusa Pacific | L | 65 - 72 |
| 2026-01-01 | @ | Dominican (CA) | L | 74 - 80 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Menlo | W | 86 - 69 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | CUI | W | 70 - 65 |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | Biola | W | 76 - 64 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Azusa Pacific | W | 80 - 55 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Vanguard | W | 59 - 57 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Chaminade | W | 79 - 50 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Fresno Pacific | L | 65 - 68 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Menlo | W | 78 - 62 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eiley Tippins | - | 17 | 24.9 | 14.8 | 5.6 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 10.1 | 11.4 | 107 | 5.9 | 35.2 | 58.1 | 0 | 73.9 | 3.15 | 62.0 | 58.1 |
| Ruby Vlahov | - | 19 | 28.3 | 13.1 | 6.2 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 9.5 | 9.8 | 111 | 5.5 | 33.9 | 52.5 | 44.2 | 64.5 | -1.0 | 63.7 | 63.0 |
| Izzy Navarro | - | 19 | 30.8 | 11.5 | 4.5 | 6.9 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 3.3 | 11.8 | 12.6 | 190 | 9.5 | 63.1 | 37.3 | 22.4 | 52.4 | 4.3 | 43.1 | 41.1 |
| Hannah Golan | - | 19 | 29.1 | 11.4 | 8.1 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 9.3 | 11.7 | 210 | 10.5 | 86.5 | 50.0 | 38.5 | 73.8 | 2.46 | 55.8 | 52.8 |
| Maddie Mersch | - | 16 | 18.9 | 6.4 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 4.4 | 6.1 | 69 | 4.3 | 55.8 | 52.1 | 100.0 | 55.1 | -0.16 | 55.1 | 52.8 |
| Jocelyn Pascual | - | 19 | 21.3 | 5.7 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 4.7 | 2.4 | 89 | 4.5 | 33.1 | 32.6 | 32.1 | 74.4 | 1.14 | 50.0 | 42.7 |
| Maddie Morrow | - | 19 | 21.6 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 4.4 | 2.8 | 79 | 4.0 | 37.4 | 35.7 | 34.3 | 100.0 | -0.16 | 50.7 | 50.0 |
| Emma Sales | - | 19 | 13.3 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 4.5 | 0.9 | -5 | -0.2 | -3.1 | 34.1 | 24.4 | 47.4 | -4.22 | 41.8 | 40.6 |
| Cassidy Bartolotto | - | 19 | 13.5 | 3.2 | 3.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 4.5 | 32 | 1.6 | 19.1 | 41.2 | 45.8 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 54.2 | 52.0 |
| Alyssa Malla | - | 14 | 5.4 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 7 | 0.4 | 5.9 | 50.0 | 60.0 | 83.3 | -0.47 | 75.2 | 68.8 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG