Point Loma
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1066 (#85) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1109 (#71) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +16.5 (#19) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.739 (#189) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.820 (#77) | NetEff +13.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.858 (#192) | AdjNet +15.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.862 (#190) | AdjNet +15.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.748 (#183) | AdjO 81.4 | AdjD 69.4 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-02 | @ | Fort Lewis | W | 80 - 69 |
| 2024-11-03 | @ | Fla. Southern | W | 90 - 85 |
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Cal St. East Bay | W | 83 - 66 |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Stanislaus St. | W | 68 - 61 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | CSUSB | L | 65 - 76 |
| 2024-11-19 | vs | Cal St. San Marcos | W | 81 - 64 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Saint Martin's | W | 92 - 88 |
| 2024-11-29 | vs | Seattle Pacific | W | 82 - 68 |
| 2024-11-30 | vs | Central Wash. | L | 68 - 69 |
| 2024-12-05 | @ | Dominican (CA) | W | 69 - 56 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Academy of Art | W | 58 - 53 |
| 2024-12-11 | vs | Biola | W | 82 - 67 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | CUI | L | 65 - 68 |
| 2024-12-21 | vs | Westcliff | L | 75 - 81 |
| 2025-01-02 | vs | Fresno Pacific | W | 71 - 60 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Academy of Art | W | 74 - 64 |
| 2025-01-10 | @ | Hawaii Hilo | W | 67 - 57 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Hawaii Pacific | W | 89 - 57 |
| 2025-01-16 | @ | Biola | W | 76 - 70 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Chaminade | W | 97 - 84 |
| 2025-01-23 | @ | Vanguard | W | 86 - 55 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Hawaii Hilo | W | 64 - 62 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | Azusa Pacific | W | 76 - 54 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Jessup | W | 70 - 65 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Westmont | L | 89 - 99 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | CUI | W | 70 - 67 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | Azusa Pacific | W | 70 - 59 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Vanguard | W | 86 - 77 |
| 2025-02-27 | vs | Menlo | W | 69 - 67 |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | Westmont | W | 64 - 48 |
| 2025-03-07 | vs | Hawaii Hilo | W | 71 - 65 |
| 2025-03-08 | vs | Academy of Art | W | 67 - 64 |
| 2025-03-14 | vs | Seattle Pacific | W | 68 - 54 |
| 2025-03-15 | vs | CSUSB | W | 82 - 64 |
| 2025-03-17 | vs | Cal St. Dom. Hills | L | 58 - 61 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zack Paulsen | - | 35 | 33.3 | 17.4 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 10.8 | 13.1 | 138 | 4.6 | 9.6 | 49.7 | 40.6 | 85.3 | 1.86 | 66.8 | 60.6 |
| Luke Haupt | - | 35 | 30.1 | 13.2 | 5.9 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 9.7 | 11.7 | 133 | 4.2 | 9.1 | 47.5 | 37.9 | 72.3 | 2.01 | 56.3 | 51.2 |
| Tyce Paulsen | - | 35 | 26.4 | 10.4 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 8.8 | 6.7 | 90 | 2.1 | 7.3 | 39.9 | 34.8 | 79.3 | 1.14 | 54.7 | 51.8 |
| Coby Barnes | - | 35 | 29.3 | 9.3 | 3.9 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 7.4 | 7.5 | 54 | 1.6 | 3.8 | 40.3 | 34.9 | 79.0 | 0.71 | 53.6 | 47.5 |
| Wynton Brown | - | 31 | 18.1 | 6.8 | 3.8 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4.3 | 7.5 | 29 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 56.4 | 66.7 | 59.8 | 0.78 | 59.8 | 57.1 |
| Andrew Hommes | - | 35 | 14.1 | 5.3 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 77 | 2.6 | 17.1 | 43.0 | 33.0 | 72.2 | 0.61 | 56.1 | 53.4 |
| Pierce Davis | - | 35 | 17.1 | 4.9 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 3.0 | 5.7 | 90 | 5.3 | 26.5 | 66.3 | 0.0 | 72.9 | 0.58 | 69.1 | 66.3 |
| Jaden Matingou | - | 34 | 18.3 | 4.9 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 4.3 | 3.9 | 147 | 5.4 | 37.7 | 36.7 | 32.8 | 73.5 | 0.54 | 49.2 | 44.2 |
| Luke Smith | - | 26 | 11.7 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | -11 | -0.9 | -9.0 | 31.1 | 27.9 | 66.7 | -0.33 | 45.6 | 41.7 |
| Matur Dhal | - | 35 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.9 | -27 | -2.5 | -75.1 | 64.3 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.7 | 63.1 | 64.3 |
| Nick Watkins | - | 35 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | -4 | -0.5 | -34.2 | 62.5 | 66.7 | 37.5 | -1.17 | 65.1 | 75.0 |
| Tyler Curvy | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jake Lifgren | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| David Scariano | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Mason Shifflett | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Tommy Wight | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG