Plattsburgh St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 973 (#420) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 992 (#388) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1009 (#368) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -9.4 (#251) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -11.5 (#552) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.528 (#446) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.244 (#492) | AdjNet -9.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.239 (#492) | AdjNet -10.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.339 (#495) | AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 81.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.418 (#556) | AdjO 73.8 | AdjD 77.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.356 (#536) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.373 (#529) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1025 (#321) | RD 102 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-05 | @ | Vermont | L | 62 - 113 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Skidmore | W | 80 - 73 |
| 2025-11-11 | vs | Norwich | W | 67 - 60 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | St. Lawrence | L | 79 - 87 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Union (NY) | L | 73 - 80 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Middlebury | L | 89 - 92 |
| 2025-12-05 | vs | Fredonia | W | 94 - 78 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Buffalo St. | W | 83 - 58 |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | Clarkson | W | 76 - 72 |
| 2026-01-09 | @ | SUNY Canton | W | 76 - 63 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Oswego St. | L | 66 - 74 |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | SUNY Potsdam | W | 101 - 78 |
| 2026-01-16 | vs | SUNY Morrisville | W | 81 - 74 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Cortland | L | 56 - 61 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | SUNY Oneonta | L | 75 - 89 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | SUNY New Paltz | L | 62 - 88 |
| 2026-01-27 | @ | SUNY Potsdam | W | 69 - 66 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Oswego St. | L | 60 - 84 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | SUNY Canton | W | 84 - 76 |
| 2026-02-06 | @ | Cortland | L | 62 - 81 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | SUNY Morrisville | W | 100 - 98 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Plesser | - | 1 | 36.3 | 33.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 24.0 | 19.0 | 53 | 2.6 | 27.4 | 62.5 | 100.0 | 66.7 | 0.46 | 65.2 | 64.6 |
| Reem Welch | - | 18 | 37.6 | 27.0 | 8.1 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 3.2 | 18.4 | 19.2 | -60 | -3.0 | -7.6 | 51.8 | 35.2 | 83.7 | 1.32 | 61.3 | 54.7 |
| Mike Hancock | - | 1 | 36.9 | 24.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 25.0 | -165 | -7.9 | -26.9 | 56.2 | 50.0 | 66.7 | -1.02 | 64.4 | 62.5 |
| Christian Dufort | - | 1 | 37.8 | 16.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 18.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 80.0 | 0 | - | 80.0 | 80.0 |
| Bobby Kemokai | - | 1 | 29.6 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 6.0 | -129 | -6.1 | -25.6 | 46.7 | 22.2 | 0 | -0.15 | 53.3 | 53.3 |
| Matthew Garside | - | 1 | 33.6 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 25 | 1.2 | 12.6 | 38.5 | 37.5 | 0 | 2.05 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Tanner Tedesco | - | 1 | 36.7 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 59 | 3.0 | 24.6 | 44.4 | 0.0 | 71.4 | 4.23 | 53.8 | 44.4 |
| Elijah Morris | - | 9 | 32.1 | 12.3 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 10.3 | 9.1 | 6 | 0.7 | 4.5 | 38.7 | 40.9 | 70.0 | 1.53 | 52.3 | 48.4 |
| Jaiden Gladney | - | 17 | 35.3 | 11.9 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 12.4 | 5.1 | -89 | -4.7 | -13.0 | 33.8 | 24.2 | 72.0 | -0.78 | 43.5 | 39.5 |
| Xavier Leveille | - | 1 | 29.2 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 61 | 4.4 | 33.7 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -1.21 | 55.0 | 55.0 |
| Timothy Hardy | - | 1 | 33.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 11.0 | -88 | -4.4 | -18.6 | 38.5 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.37 | 42.3 | 42.3 |
| Irwayne Connell Jr. | - | 13 | 24.1 | 10.8 | 5.2 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 9.1 | 8.7 | -35 | -2.2 | -13.7 | 43.2 | 37.0 | 54.9 | -1.14 | 49.8 | 47.5 |
| Khalil Screen | - | 15 | 27.9 | 10.2 | 8.0 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 6.9 | 12.3 | -71 | -3.9 | -13.2 | 61.2 | 29.4 | 61.1 | -0.54 | 64.4 | 63.6 |
| Isaiah Austin | - | 1 | 29.5 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 55 | 4.2 | 24.4 | 37.5 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 3.33 | 56.3 | 50.0 |
| Aaron Coston | - | 1 | 38.2 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 163 | 9.6 | 34.0 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 2.4 | 56.2 | 56.2 |
| Joel Davis | - | 1 | 30.1 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 128 | 7.5 | 31.0 | 36.4 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 4.01 | 37.9 | 40.9 |
| Nolan Raymond | - | 1 | 23.1 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 51 | 3.6 | 24.0 | 42.9 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -0.73 | 50.8 | 50.0 |
| Gaige Armbrewster | - | 1 | 24.7 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 179 | 10.5 | 45.0 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 4.93 | 90.2 | 83.3 |
| Bryson Brown | - | 1 | 34.7 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | -1.0 | -203 | -9.7 | -37.0 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -3.81 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| David McKnight Jr. | - | 17 | 19.8 | 5.3 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 5.8 | 2.4 | -43 | -2.3 | -11.8 | 36.4 | 25.0 | 46.2 | -0.72 | 43.0 | 42.4 |
| Harrison Collins | - | 1 | 18.3 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 48 | 2.4 | 24.1 | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.21 | 106.4 | 100.0 |
| Gavyn Pacheco | - | 1 | 13.6 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | -1.0 | 57 | 3.8 | 27.5 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.13 | 28.6 | 28.6 |
| Ethan Baksh | - | 1 | 25.9 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | -71 | -3.7 | -21.7 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -2.0 | 17.7 | 10.0 |
| Colin Hartig | - | 18 | 14.5 | 3.0 | 3.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 2.9 | 3.7 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.8 | 42.3 | 38.5 | 55.6 | 0.81 | 48.2 | 47.1 |
| Chris McDonald | - | 1 | 11.7 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 46 | 2.9 | 33.5 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.81 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jaylen Singh | - | 1 | 16.8 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | -111 | -5.3 | -29.2 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -1.75 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Batualp Ozen | - | 1 | 8.6 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | -97 | -5.1 | -56.2 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | -2.13 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Aidan McGuire | - | 16 | 11.4 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 2.1 | -31 | -1.7 | -14.7 | 24.4 | 0.0 | 58.3 | 0.15 | 29.2 | 24.4 |
| Scott Schmitt | - | 1 | 9.2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -2 | -0.1 | -3.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 25.0 | 1.83 | 13.3 | 0.0 |
| Matty Stolfo | - | 10 | 6.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | -0.8 | -11 | -1.2 | -14.7 | 11.8 | 6.2 | 50.0 | 0.22 | 16.8 | 14.7 |
| Pat Cullinan | - | 1 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 47 | 2.9 | 50.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.45 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Neil Daterao | - | 1 | 19.8 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 59 | 3.9 | 90.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.11 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Cade Furse | - | 1 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9 | 0.6 | 11.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.72 | 0 | 0 |
| Trace Moffitt | - | 1 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36 | 3.3 | 72.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.23 | 0 | 0 |
| Landon Cox | - | 1 | 14.5 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | -1.0 | -36 | -1.8 | -15.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.97 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Nate Pondexter Jr. | - | 1 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -23 | -4.6 | -15.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG