Pittsburg St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 977 (#301) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1081 (#129) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1030 (#170) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +17.6 (#51) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +15.9 (#91) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.703 (#213) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.937 (#88) | AdjNet +23.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.931 (#94) | AdjNet +22.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.821 (#100) | AdjO 83.7 | AdjD 66.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.725 (#59) | AdjO 78.1 | AdjD 67.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.773 (#85) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.762 (#85) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1061 (#167) | RD 101 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-01 | @ | West Tex. A&M | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-02 | @ | Minnesota St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Sioux Falls | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | MSU Moorhead | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-20 | vs | Maryville (MO) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Okla. Baptist | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-24 | vs | Quincy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Bethany (KS) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Central Okla. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Rogers St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | UT Permian Basin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Midwestern St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-01 | @ | Ark.-Fort Smith | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Northeastern St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-06 | @ | Mo. Southern St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-08 | vs | Newman | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Rogers St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Central Okla. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Northeastern St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Ark.-Fort Smith | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Emporia St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Newman | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Rogers | - | 22 | 33.3 | 20.0 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 13.7 | 11.1 | -12 | -0.5 | -2.3 | 48.8 | 41.5 | 87.4 | -2.62 | 62.9 | 57.0 |
| Mason English | - | 22 | 30.8 | 14.7 | 4.0 | 5.9 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 12.5 | 11.0 | 69 | 3.1 | 13.1 | 42.2 | 32.4 | 86.2 | 3.19 | 53.2 | 48.5 |
| Ethan Sage | - | 14 | 33.2 | 10.4 | 6.8 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 7.4 | 12.5 | 29 | 2.1 | 4.9 | 56.7 | 35.3 | 66.7 | 0.82 | 63.7 | 62.5 |
| Donald Coats | - | 22 | 23.0 | 8.5 | 5.8 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 6.1 | 8.8 | 26 | 1.2 | 6.3 | 50.0 | 35.4 | 75.0 | -0.43 | 60.3 | 56.3 |
| Alijah Curry | - | 21 | 20.1 | 7.7 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 5.6 | 5.1 | 54 | 2.6 | 16.8 | 52.1 | 38.5 | 76.3 | 0.26 | 60.2 | 56.4 |
| Landon Short | - | 22 | 19.7 | 7.5 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 6.7 | 6.3 | 58 | 2.6 | 19.5 | 36.5 | 33.9 | 66.7 | 2.68 | 51.7 | 50.0 |
| Hayden Shanks | - | 22 | 25.8 | 5.6 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 4.2 | 7.0 | 32 | 1.5 | 7.5 | 50.0 | 37.8 | 58.1 | 0.86 | 58.7 | 57.6 |
| Evan Jackson | - | 16 | 10.9 | 4.2 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 3.8 | 3.1 | 27 | 1.7 | 35.0 | 52.5 | 20.0 | 60.0 | -0.13 | 53.8 | 53.3 |
| Darrell Washington | - | 8 | 7.8 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 3.6 | 2.5 | -36 | -4.5 | -143.0 | 44.8 | 0.0 | 42.9 | -3.98 | 45.5 | 44.8 |
| Tane Prictor | - | 5 | 7.5 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 3.6 | -9 | -1.8 | -15.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 83.3 | -2.27 | 58.1 | 50.0 |
| David Cobin Jr. | - | 20 | 15.4 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 23 | 1.2 | 7.7 | 52.0 | 36.0 | 45.5 | -0.49 | 60.2 | 61.0 |
| Maddox Dow | - | 5 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 1.2 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 60.0 | 25.0 | - | 61.5 | 68.8 |
| EJ Breland | - | 5 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 16 | 3.2 | 365.7 | 50.0 | 60.0 | 25.0 | - | 61.5 | 68.8 |
| Domonic Turner Jr. | - | 4 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -0.5 | 26 | 2.0 | 28.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 1.87 | 20.5 | 0.0 |
| Jack Perry | - | 5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 14 | 2.8 | 320.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG