Pfeiffer
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1004 (#380) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1019 (#354) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1089 (#105) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -3.1 (#162) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -1.4 (#367) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.442 (#503) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.344 (#430) | AdjNet -5.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.340 (#428) | AdjNet -5.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.411 (#425) | AdjO 77.1 | AdjD 81.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.516 (#362) | AdjO 76.8 | AdjD 76.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.492 (#406) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.508 (#398) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1099 (#173) | RD 104 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Maryville (TN) | L | 72 - 84 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Centenary (LA) | W | 78 - 77 |
| 2025-11-11 | vs | JWU Charlotte | W | 92 - 78 |
| 2025-11-13 | @ | Lynchburg | W | 95 - 89 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Colorado Col. | W | 91 - 86 |
| 2025-11-23 | @ | Hampden-Sydney | L | 71 - 84 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Guilford | L | 85 - 121 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Va. Wesleyan | L | 67 - 83 |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | Chris. Newport | L | 66 - 80 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Longwood | L | 55 - 101 |
| 2025-12-28 | @ | High Point | L | 64 - 123 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Averett | L | 74 - 86 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | N.C. Wesleyan | L | 78 - 80 |
| 2026-01-06 | @ | Methodist | L | 73 - 74 |
| 2026-01-09 | vs | Southern Va. | W | 89 - 63 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Mary Baldwin | W | 73 - 69 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Brevard | W | 80 - 71 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Greensboro | W | 88 - 78 |
| 2026-01-20 | vs | Methodist | W | 89 - 75 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | N.C. Wesleyan | W | 98 - 79 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | William Peace | W | 79 - 69 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Southern Va. | W | 71 - 69 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zyir Baskerville | - | 1 | 30.0 | 25.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 19.0 | 20.0 | - | - | - | 57.9 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 65.8 | 65.8 |
| KJ Brooks | - | 1 | 35.3 | 20.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 14.0 | -31 | -1.6 | -9.3 | 53.8 | 100.0 | 66.7 | 0.55 | 63.9 | 61.5 |
| Dawson Edwards | - | 1 | 23.8 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 21.0 | 100 | 4.8 | 27.8 | 63.6 | 60.0 | 66.7 | 1.29 | 77.1 | 77.3 |
| Jude Ballstaedt | - | 1 | 29.1 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 66 | 3.3 | 20.0 | 50.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 1.36 | 60.3 | 53.6 |
| Amari Moorer | - | 1 | 32.0 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 107 | 5.1 | 25.7 | 61.5 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 4.57 | 64.8 | 65.4 |
| Malcolm Velmar | - | 1 | 26.0 | 17.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 91 | 5.1 | 31.1 | 55.6 | 50.0 | 60.0 | 1.34 | 75.9 | 77.8 |
| Doug Smith | - | 17 | 28.4 | 16.1 | 8.9 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 9.7 | 18.8 | -37 | -1.8 | -9.3 | 63.6 | 0.0 | 64.3 | 3.19 | 65.6 | 63.6 |
| Tre' Williams | - | 1 | 31.8 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | -49 | -2.5 | -17.3 | 55.6 | 57.1 | 66.7 | -0.96 | 77.5 | 77.8 |
| Gabe Proctor | - | 1 | 29.3 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 154 | 7.3 | 52.4 | 35.3 | 11.1 | 100.0 | 2.72 | 41.9 | 38.2 |
| Rival Axselle | - | 1 | 23.9 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 46 | 2.2 | 17.3 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.13 | 64.3 | 60.0 |
| Sean Sucarichi | - | 17 | 28.7 | 13.8 | 4.0 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 10.2 | 9.6 | -9 | -0.5 | -2.2 | 55.2 | 29.2 | 65.9 | 0.89 | 60.8 | 59.2 |
| Reynolds Escher | - | 1 | 13.9 | 13.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 19.0 | 69 | 3.3 | 38.8 | 85.7 | 0 | 33.3 | -0.71 | 78.1 | 85.7 |
| Dontavious Pettaway | - | 1 | 30.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | -26 | -1.3 | -8.6 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 80.0 | -0.95 | 49.2 | 40.0 |
| Miles Hancock | - | 1 | 28.0 | 12.0 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 22.0 | -19 | -1.1 | -28.5 | 57.1 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.83 | 68.5 | 57.1 |
| Tillman Johnson | - | 1 | 37.9 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | -1.0 | 14 | 0.7 | 2.8 | 38.5 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.14 | 46.2 | 46.2 |
| Clayton Robinson | - | 17 | 25.6 | 11.2 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 9.4 | 7.1 | 41 | 2.0 | 12.9 | 40.0 | 38.8 | 81.1 | 2.03 | 54.2 | 50.3 |
| Tyson Henderson | - | 1 | 36.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 12.0 | -46 | -2.7 | -94.6 | 36.4 | 50.0 | 66.7 | -1.11 | 44.6 | 40.9 |
| Ashton Davis | - | 1 | 18.7 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 41 | 2.2 | 19.5 | 66.7 | 0 | 60.0 | 0.87 | 67.1 | 66.7 |
| Justin Gaten | - | 17 | 25.9 | 9.8 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 7.6 | 6.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 43.4 | 33.8 | 74.4 | -1.24 | 56.1 | 51.9 |
| Ethan Ward | - | 1 | 26.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 41.4 | 40.0 |
| DeJaun Sidney | - | 7 | 24.9 | 8.1 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 6.3 | 7.7 | -40 | -5.0 | -19.8 | 54.5 | 57.1 | 55.6 | -2.28 | 59.4 | 59.1 |
| O'Montae Daniels | - | 1 | 29.1 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | -5 | -0.2 | -1.8 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -1.85 | 62.1 | 58.3 |
| Tomas Stevens | - | 1 | 13.1 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | -21 | -1.1 | -10.8 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.92 | 68.0 | 60.0 |
| Austin Mitchell | - | 1 | 15.2 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | -40 | -2.1 | -19.4 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.23 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Zach Sloan | - | 17 | 24.2 | 7.7 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 6.8 | 5.2 | -28 | -1.4 | -9.9 | 42.2 | 32.4 | 75.0 | 1.43 | 54.0 | 52.6 |
| Drake Stewart | - | 17 | 18.6 | 7.0 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 4.8 | 5.7 | -65 | -3.2 | -19.0 | 48.8 | 20.0 | 68.0 | 1.73 | 57.2 | 51.8 |
| Mason Hunter | - | 1 | 15.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 43 | 2.1 | 17.5 | 40.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 1.01 | 59.5 | 50.0 |
| Kody Clayton | - | 1 | 17.8 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 136 | 6.5 | 47.9 | 42.9 | 0 | 0 | 2.16 | 42.9 | 42.9 |
| DJ Green | - | 1 | 38.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 38 | 1.9 | 7.0 | 18.2 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.44 | 25.3 | 18.2 |
| Kimoni Small | - | 2 | 12.6 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 62.8 | 50.0 |
| Landon Francis | - | 1 | 10.6 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 20 | 1.2 | 18.0 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -2.77 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Luc DeVore | - | 1 | 20.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 50 | 2.5 | 25.0 | 66.7 | 0 | 100.0 | 4.23 | 72.7 | 66.7 |
| Chris McDonald | - | 3 | 3.5 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 46 | 2.9 | 33.5 | 55.6 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 0.81 | 68.9 | 66.7 |
| Brian Bullock | - | 1 | 14.9 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | -31 | -1.5 | -12.5 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.32 | 51.5 | 33.3 |
| Sean O'Connor | - | 1 | 9.8 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | 0.62 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Enzo Geremski | - | 1 | 11.9 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 79 | 4.2 | 91.7 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.32 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Milyan Smith-Walker | - | 1 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Simeon Tokoto | - | 13 | 9.6 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.8 | 2.1 | -45 | -3.0 | -52.3 | 38.9 | 27.8 | 63.6 | 1.27 | 49.0 | 45.8 |
| Christian Bacon | - | 1 | 20.6 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 38.7 | 33.3 |
| Tej Efemini | - | 1 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 4.6 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.75 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Demeir Pollard | - | 1 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 35 | 1.8 | 11.7 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 1.37 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Dan Kalonji | - | 5 | 7.5 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 3.0 | -4 | -0.6 | -4.8 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.97 | 43.9 | 33.3 |
| Brandon Alfonse | - | 7 | 9.6 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 2.7 | 7 | 1.0 | 9.8 | 63.6 | 0 | 60.0 | 0.18 | 64.4 | 63.6 |
| Mikayle Oliphant | - | 9 | 8.5 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 57.1 | 42.9 | 66.7 | 0.92 | 68.5 | 67.9 |
| Mike Fee | - | 1 | 28.4 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 16 | 0.8 | 11.4 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.06 | 20.5 | 25.0 |
| Magnus Swinger | - | 1 | 10.3 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 60 | 3.2 | 80.4 | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.72 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Tyler Sprague | - | 1 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Josh Johnson | - | 13 | 7.1 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 0.1 | -11 | -0.8 | -15.7 | 25.0 | 10.0 | 80.0 | 0.56 | 32.4 | 27.1 |
| Jackson Fannon | - | 1 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 9 | 1.1 | 67.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.15 | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Hyrum McConkie | - | 1 | 16.1 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 55 | 2.8 | 16.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 33.3 | -0.4 | 11.6 | 0.0 |
| Elijah Jeffreys | - | 6 | 5.5 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | -18 | -2.2 | -24.0 | 25.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.93 | 29.6 | 25.0 |
| Kenede Marion | - | 5 | 3.7 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.4 | -4 | -0.8 | -872.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 0.29 | 19.3 | 0.0 |
| Joel Torres | - | 8 | 6.3 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.9 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 23.5 | 0.0 |
| Chris Johnson | - | 5 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | -7 | -1.4 | -280.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.46 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Deuce Rice | - | 1 | 7.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -17 | -0.8 | -10.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.26 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Christian Gray | - | 3 | 3.6 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | -0.7 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Braylen Salters | - | 1 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22 | 22.0 | 104.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.76 | 0 | 0 |
| Dimitris Olympios | - | 1 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16 | 2.7 | 176.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 |
| Cameron Taylor | - | 1 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 12 | 2.0 | 119.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.04 | 0 | 0 |
| Brayden Thorne | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | -26 | -5.2 | -183.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Abe Connolly | - | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -17 | -0.9 | -9.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.59 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG