🐻⬇️🏀

Pfeiffer

Also known as: Pfeiffer
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1004 (#380) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1019 (#354) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1089 (#105) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -3.1 (#162) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -1.4 (#367) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.442 (#503) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -5.6 More → 0.344 (#430) AdjNet -5.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.7 More → 0.340 (#428) AdjNet -5.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.1 | AdjD 81.1 More → 0.411 (#425) AdjO 77.1 | AdjD 81.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.8 | AdjD 76.1 More → 0.516 (#362) AdjO 76.8 | AdjD 76.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.492 (#406) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.508 (#398) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 104 | GP 22 More → 1099 (#173) RD 104 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Maryville (TN) L 72 - 84
2025-11-08 @ Centenary (LA) W 78 - 77
2025-11-11 vs JWU Charlotte W 92 - 78
2025-11-13 @ Lynchburg W 95 - 89
2025-11-22 @ Colorado Col. W 91 - 86
2025-11-23 @ Hampden-Sydney L 71 - 84
2025-11-25 @ Guilford L 85 - 121
2025-11-29 @ Va. Wesleyan L 67 - 83
2025-11-30 @ Chris. Newport L 66 - 80
2025-12-03 @ Longwood L 55 - 101
2025-12-28 @ High Point L 64 - 123
2025-12-30 vs Averett L 74 - 86
2026-01-03 @ N.C. Wesleyan L 78 - 80
2026-01-06 @ Methodist L 73 - 74
2026-01-09 vs Southern Va. W 89 - 63
2026-01-10 vs Mary Baldwin W 73 - 69
2026-01-14 @ Brevard W 80 - 71
2026-01-17 @ Greensboro W 88 - 78
2026-01-20 vs Methodist W 89 - 75
2026-01-30 vs N.C. Wesleyan W 98 - 79
2026-02-04 @ William Peace W 79 - 69
2026-02-07 @ Southern Va. W 71 - 69

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Zyir Baskerville - 1 30.0 25.0 10.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 19.0 20.0 - - - 57.9 50.0 0 - 65.8 65.8
KJ Brooks - 1 35.3 20.0 7.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 13.0 14.0 -31 -1.6 -9.3 53.8 100.0 66.7 0.55 63.9 61.5
Dawson Edwards - 1 23.8 19.0 5.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 11.0 21.0 100 4.8 27.8 63.6 60.0 66.7 1.29 77.1 77.3
Jude Ballstaedt - 1 29.1 19.0 6.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 8.0 14.0 6.0 66 3.3 20.0 50.0 25.0 100.0 1.36 60.3 53.6
Amari Moorer - 1 32.0 18.0 5.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 13.0 18.0 107 5.1 25.7 61.5 25.0 50.0 4.57 64.8 65.4
Malcolm Velmar - 1 26.0 17.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 9.0 91 5.1 31.1 55.6 50.0 60.0 1.34 75.9 77.8
Doug Smith - 17 28.4 16.1 8.9 1.9 0.7 2.7 1.8 9.7 18.8 -37 -1.8 -9.3 63.6 0.0 64.3 3.19 65.6 63.6
Tre' Williams - 1 31.8 16.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 11.0 -49 -2.5 -17.3 55.6 57.1 66.7 -0.96 77.5 77.8
Gabe Proctor - 1 29.3 15.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 17.0 5.0 154 7.3 52.4 35.3 11.1 100.0 2.72 41.9 38.2
Rival Axselle - 1 23.9 14.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 10.0 46 2.2 17.3 60.0 0.0 100.0 -0.13 64.3 60.0
Sean Sucarichi - 17 28.7 13.8 4.0 2.4 1.1 0.4 1.8 10.2 9.6 -9 -0.5 -2.2 55.2 29.2 65.9 0.89 60.8 59.2
Reynolds Escher - 1 13.9 13.0 8.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 19.0 69 3.3 38.8 85.7 0 33.3 -0.71 78.1 85.7
Dontavious Pettaway - 1 30.0 12.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 10.0 10.0 -26 -1.3 -8.6 40.0 0.0 80.0 -0.95 49.2 40.0
Miles Hancock - 1 28.0 12.0 13.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 7.0 22.0 -19 -1.1 -28.5 57.1 0 100.0 -1.83 68.5 57.1
Tillman Johnson - 1 37.9 12.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 13.0 -1.0 14 0.7 2.8 38.5 33.3 0 0.14 46.2 46.2
Clayton Robinson - 17 25.6 11.2 2.9 2.3 1.2 0.1 1.2 9.4 7.1 41 2.0 12.9 40.0 38.8 81.1 2.03 54.2 50.3
Tyson Henderson - 1 36.0 11.0 5.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 12.0 -46 -2.7 -94.6 36.4 50.0 66.7 -1.11 44.6 40.9
Ashton Davis - 1 18.7 11.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 12.0 41 2.2 19.5 66.7 0 60.0 0.87 67.1 66.7
Justin Gaten - 17 25.9 9.8 3.5 1.8 0.6 0.1 2.2 7.6 6.0 -1 -0.1 -0.3 43.4 33.8 74.4 -1.24 56.1 51.9
Ethan Ward - 1 26.0 9.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 4.0 - - - 40.0 0 50.0 - 41.4 40.0
DeJaun Sidney - 7 24.9 8.1 5.0 1.0 0.4 1.3 1.9 6.3 7.7 -40 -5.0 -19.8 54.5 57.1 55.6 -2.28 59.4 59.1
O'Montae Daniels - 1 29.1 8.0 5.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 11.0 -5 -0.2 -1.8 50.0 33.3 100.0 -1.85 62.1 58.3
Tomas Stevens - 1 13.1 8.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 4.0 -21 -1.1 -10.8 60.0 0.0 100.0 0.92 68.0 60.0
Austin Mitchell - 1 15.2 8.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 10.0 -40 -2.1 -19.4 100.0 0 0 -0.23 100.0 100.0
Zach Sloan - 17 24.2 7.7 2.8 1.8 0.8 0.0 1.1 6.8 5.2 -28 -1.4 -9.9 42.2 32.4 75.0 1.43 54.0 52.6
Drake Stewart - 17 18.6 7.0 2.6 1.1 1.1 0.1 1.3 4.8 5.7 -65 -3.2 -19.0 48.8 20.0 68.0 1.73 57.2 51.8
Mason Hunter - 1 15.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 43 2.1 17.5 40.0 25.0 100.0 1.01 59.5 50.0
Kody Clayton - 1 17.8 6.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 7.0 136 6.5 47.9 42.9 0 0 2.16 42.9 42.9
DJ Green - 1 38.0 6.0 7.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 9.0 38 1.9 7.0 18.2 0.0 100.0 -0.44 25.3 18.2
Kimoni Small - 2 12.6 5.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.5 2.5 - - - 42.9 33.3 100.0 - 62.8 50.0
Landon Francis - 1 10.6 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 3.0 20 1.2 18.0 40.0 33.3 0 -2.77 50.0 50.0
Luc DeVore - 1 20.0 5.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 12.0 50 2.5 25.0 66.7 0 100.0 4.23 72.7 66.7
Chris McDonald - 3 3.5 4.3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 3.0 2.0 46 2.9 33.5 55.6 40.0 100.0 0.81 68.9 66.7
Brian Bullock - 1 14.9 4.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 -31 -1.5 -12.5 33.3 0.0 100.0 0.32 51.5 33.3
Sean O'Connor - 1 9.8 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 2 0.1 2.5 66.7 0 0 0.62 66.7 66.7
Enzo Geremski - 1 11.9 4.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 3.0 79 4.2 91.7 33.3 0.0 0 1.32 33.3 33.3
Milyan Smith-Walker - 1 12.0 4.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 6.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Simeon Tokoto - 13 9.6 3.1 1.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.8 2.8 2.1 -45 -3.0 -52.3 38.9 27.8 63.6 1.27 49.0 45.8
Christian Bacon - 1 20.6 3.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 - - - 33.3 0 50.0 - 38.7 33.3
Tej Efemini - 1 2.4 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 1 0.1 4.6 100.0 100.0 0 -0.75 150.0 150.0
Demeir Pollard - 1 17.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 7.0 35 1.8 11.7 50.0 50.0 0 1.37 75.0 75.0
Dan Kalonji - 5 7.5 2.8 2.6 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.4 2.4 3.0 -4 -0.6 -4.8 33.3 0.0 66.7 -0.97 43.9 33.3
Brandon Alfonse - 7 9.6 2.4 1.4 0.1 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.7 7 1.0 9.8 63.6 0 60.0 0.18 64.4 63.6
Mikayle Oliphant - 9 8.5 2.3 1.2 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.3 1.6 2.4 0 0.0 0.0 57.1 42.9 66.7 0.92 68.5 67.9
Mike Fee - 1 28.4 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 16 0.8 11.4 25.0 0.0 0.0 0.06 20.5 25.0
Magnus Swinger - 1 10.3 2.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 60 3.2 80.4 25.0 0 0 0.72 25.0 25.0
Tyler Sprague - 1 10.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Josh Johnson - 13 7.1 1.3 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.8 1.8 0.1 -11 -0.8 -15.7 25.0 10.0 80.0 0.56 32.4 27.1
Jackson Fannon - 1 2.4 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 9 1.1 67.1 0.0 0.0 50.0 0.15 17.4 0.0
Hyrum McConkie - 1 16.1 1.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 55 2.8 16.9 0.0 0 33.3 -0.4 11.6 0.0
Elijah Jeffreys - 6 5.5 0.8 1.5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 1.3 1.3 -18 -2.2 -24.0 25.0 0 100.0 -0.93 29.6 25.0
Kenede Marion - 5 3.7 0.6 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 0.4 -4 -0.8 -872.7 0.0 0.0 75.0 0.29 19.3 0.0
Joel Torres - 8 6.3 0.5 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 1.9 - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 23.5 0.0
Chris Johnson - 5 5.5 0.0 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.6 -7 -1.4 -280.0 0.0 0.0 0 -0.46 0.0 0.0
Deuce Rice - 1 7.6 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 -17 -0.8 -10.4 0.0 0.0 0 -2.26 0.0 0.0
Christian Gray - 3 3.6 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.7 0.7 -0.7 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Braylen Salters - 1 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 22 22.0 104.8 0 0 0 -1.76 0 0
Dimitris Olympios - 1 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16 2.7 176.1 0 0 0 0.03 0 0
Cameron Taylor - 1 2.4 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 12 2.0 119.5 0 0 0 -0.04 0 0
Brayden Thorne - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 -26 -5.2 -183.0 0 0 0 0.1 0 0
Abe Connolly - 1 10.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 -17 -0.9 -9.0 0 0 0 -2.59 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG